AACCE Investments
ScreenerStocksIndicesPicksETFsBlogPricing

© 2026 ACCE Investments. All rights reserved.

ACCE Investments - Institutional-grade stock research for retail investors | BetaList
IndicesStocksETFsScreenerBlogGlossaryCompareMarket dataAdvisors
TermsPrivacyCookiesDisclaimerLegal noticeProfessional termsAboutContact
KHC
ACCE-researched

The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock (KHC) fair value

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods · NASDAQ · United States
$24.80-1.16%
Market cap $29.8BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 30% below our fair value
Price
$24.80
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$35.61
Model range
$32.59 to $38.19
Fair value $35.61
Price $24.80
3 models fit The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock and they agree: 3 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Gold83
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionThe Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock (KHC)
Fair value (3 models)
$35.61
ACCE price target
$25.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $35.09 since 4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $24.80 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
30.3% below
+43.6% to fair value
ACCE score
55
out of 100
Analysts
10% buy
20 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 11.1x
1-year return
-2.4%
Dividend yield
6.81%

The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Kraft Heinz sells branded packaged foods across condiments, sauces, cheese, meals and beverages, with heritage brands such as Heinz ketchup, Kraft Mac & Cheese and Philadelphia cream cheese. The moat is brand scale and shelf presence in grocery, which is real but has been eroding: revenue is shrinking 1.4% and the company posts a negative return on equity of -8.8%. Its 33.5% gross margin and 15.5% operating margin still show pricing power on the core portfolio, and the stock trades at a forward P/E of 10.8. The case rests on whether cost discipline and portfolio simplification can stabilize top-line volume, and the current 45/100 score says the evidence for that is not yet there. Worth a deeper look only if you want to underwrite a turnaround in a stock the index does not currently hold.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Revenue shrinking, net loss
    Revenue fell 1.4% YoY and the 5-year revenue CAGR is -1.0%. Net margin is -13.6% and ROE is -8.8%, so the business is losing money on a net basis.
  • moderate
    Score slipping over 90 days
    The ACCE score dropped from 52 to 47 over 90 days, with growth at 27/100 and quality at 48/100 pulling it down.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest is 10.8% of the float, which signals meaningful bearish positioning against the stock.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 16, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $3.7B, a cash return that supports the shares at today's price.
  • At $22.43, the stock trades on a forward P/E of 11.1x against a sector median of 18.1x.
  • The latest quarter beat expectations, with earnings per share of 0.56 against 0.53 expected.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue shrank 1.4% year over year, and the five-year average annual change is also negative at -1.0%.
  • Net margin of -13.6% and return on equity of -8.8% show the company is still losing money on its book value.
  • Only 2 of 20 analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, a 10% share that signals widespread scepticism.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where KHC's valuation models land
Price
$24.80
Model fair value
$35.61
Model range
$32.59 to $38.19
Fair value $35.61
Price $24.80
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
P/E comparison
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.

See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish10% buy · 20 covering analysts
● Strong buy 1● Buy 1● Hold 14● Sell 4● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
0 buys · 1 sell
Since Apr 14, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
23 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+4.7%
1 month
+4.2%
3 months
-3.4%
6 months
+13.0%
YTD
+2.3%
1 year
-2.4%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $KHC ACCE Score Drops 13 Points to 47 - What Changed
    The Kraft Heinz Company's ACCE composite score fell from 60 to 47. Here's what likely drove the move and what the current data shows.
    2026-06-10

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$23.68
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$35.61$35.09$23.68
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$35.09$36.00$22.19
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.00$37.00$23.63
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$25.00first publication$24.00
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$37.00$37.42$24.43
18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$37.42$36.94$24.73
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.94$37.38$24.27
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$37.38$38.19$24.60
7 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$38.19$39.47$24.85

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

Get the full KHC page, free

Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the full page.

Snapshot

Growth27Value80Quality48Momentum63Total55
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
11.1x
PEG
0.99
P/B
0.78x
EV / Revenue
1.8x
Book value/sh
$30.36
Enterprise value
$44.5B
Profitability
ROE
-8.8%
FCF yield
12.30%
ROIC
-7.6%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.51
Dividend yield
6.81%
Beta
0.11

Price

-1.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about KHC

Answered from The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 227.4x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -10%-9%high 80%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%6.8%high 8.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
KHC The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock$24.80$3630% below--8.8%4855
2802.T Ajinomoto Co., Inc.¥5046.00--35.1x18.5%6962
NESTLEIND.NS Nestlé India Limited₹1189.90--56.2x79.9%8955
JBS JBS N.V. Class A Common Shares$12.37--11.6x13.4%3550
BN.PA Danone€62.38€4731% above20.6x12.2%6352
NUTRESA.CL Grupo NutresaCOP 309660.00--227.4x7.8%5036
GIS General Mills Inc. Common Stock$35.18$5333% below--10.5%3834

Sector report card

Where KHC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 14, 2026
    HEINZ Takes Soup Beyond the Can with New Ready-To-Eat Soup Collection
  • Business Wire•Oct 12, 2026
    The Kraft Heinz Company to Report Third Quarter 2026 Results on November 4, 2026
  • Business Wire•Oct 6, 2026
    Kraft Mac & Cheese Enters First New Category in Nearly 20 Years with Cheesy Ramen
12 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 7
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-07
View on SEC →
Oct 6
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-02
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 26
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-24
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR