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INVH
ACCE-researched

Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock (INVH) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Residential · NYSE · United States
$27.54+0.04%
Market cap $16.3BNext earnings 2026-10-28Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 55% above our fair value
Price
$27.54
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$17.82
Model range
$11.86 to $23.78
Fair value $17.82
Price $27.54
2 models fit Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver65
Valued as a REIT (property company): Price to FFO, Dividend discount, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionInvitation Homes Inc. Common Stock (INVH)
Fair value (2 models)
$17.82
ACCE price target
$29.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST; previously $17.59 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST.
Price used: $27.54 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount and Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
54.5% above
-35.3% to fair value
ACCE score
63
out of 100
Analysts
56% buy
25 covering
P/E
24.6x
forward 30.4x
1-year return
-4.7%
Dividend yield
4.44%

Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Invitation Homes owns and operates single-family rental homes, leasing detached houses in high-growth Sunbelt and coastal metros to renters who want a yard and more space without buying. Its scale across a fragmented rental market is the core advantage, giving it pricing data, centralized maintenance, and leasing efficiencies that smaller landlords cannot match. Revenue growth of 10.1% is running well ahead of what most residential REITs are delivering, and with a 25.1% operating margin the business is converting that top-line growth into profit. The stock trades at 24.4x trailing earnings but 37.4x forward, a gap that signals the market is either doubting near-term earnings or pricing in a sharp decline in expected profit, and that disconnect is the first thing to resolve. With a 7.0% return on equity and a 63/100 score, the case is not yet clean enough for a position, but at a $15.7B market cap it is worth a deeper look into why forward earnings compress so sharply.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Forward P/E expansion
    Forward P/E of 30.4 vs current 24.6 signals earnings deceleration ahead. QoQ growth at 1.8% suggests momentum is already slowing from YoY 60.5%.
  • moderate
    Valuation score weakness
    ACCE V score 58/100 is the weakest component.
  • moderate
    Management quality score lag
    M score 47/100 is materially below other pillars (G:76, Q:72). Suggests governance or capital allocation concerns warrant scrutiny.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 10.1% year over year, outpacing the 8.4% five-year average, showing accelerating momentum.
  • Free cash flow of $963M supports a 6.1% yield, providing cash returns independent of stock price moves.
  • Analyst consensus targets $33.52, implying 25.1% upside from the current $26.79 share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Forward P/E of 30.4x is stretched relative to a trailing P/E of 24.6x, signaling market expects faster growth ahead.
  • ROE of only 7.0% and ROIC of 2.7% lag cost of capital, indicating capital is not being deployed efficiently.
  • Consensus fair value of $18.06 sits 32.6% below the current price, with 2 of 3 valuation models supporting that discount.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 28, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where INVH's valuation models land
Price
$27.54
Model fair value
$17.82
Model range
$11.86 to $23.78
Fair value $17.82
Price $27.54
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Price to FFO
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed56% buy · 25 covering analysts
● Strong buy 8● Buy 6● Hold 11● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+1.7%
1 month
+2.3%
3 months
-7.5%
6 months
+1.5%
YTD
-0.9%
1 year
-4.7%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTFair value$17.82$17.59$27.07
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$27.07
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$17.59$18.06$26.59
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$18.06$14.47$26.79
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$14.47$14.73$26.04
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$29.00first publication$26.50
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$14.73$14.95$26.50
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$14.95$15.11$27.64
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$15.11$15.32$27.54
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$15.32$15.52$27.56

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth76Value58Quality72Momentum47Total63
Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.6x
Forward P/E
30.4x
PEG
12.92
P/B
1.76x
EV / Revenue
8.5x
Book value/sh
$15.33
Enterprise value
$24.4B
Profitability
ROE
7.0%
FCF yield
6.08%
ROIC
2.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.88
Dividend yield
4.44%
Beta
0.83

Price

-4.6% · 1Y

Ask anything about INVH

Answered from Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 22.7x24.6xhigh 88.1x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low 2%7%high 22%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 3.6%4.4%high 5.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
INVH Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock$27.54$1855% above24.6x7.0%7263
SUI Sun Communities Inc. Common Stock$119.86$9723% above88.1x1.7%5938
MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc. Common Stock$121.17$10515% above35.4x7.0%6948
ESS Essex Property Trust Inc. Common Stock$282.45$21730% above43.3x7.7%7652
UDR UDR Inc. Common Stock$36.18$2544% above22.7x13.7%7252
AMH American Homes 4 Rent Common Shares of Beneficial Interest$31.90$2242% above25.3x7.1%7755
ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. Common Stock$61.17--29.3x22.3%7748

Sector report card

Where INVH ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 7, 2026
    Invitation Homes Announces Dates for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Webcast
  • Business Wire•Sep 11, 2026
    Invitation Homes Announces Cash Dividend
  • Business Wire•Aug 31, 2026
    Invitation Homes Announces Release of 2025 Impact Report
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
37 filings
September 2026
Sep 9
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-09
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 3
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-03
View on SEC →
July 2026
Jul 30
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
34 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR