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AMH
ACCE-researched

American Homes 4 Rent Common Shares of Beneficial Interest (AMH) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Residential · NYSE · United States
$31.92+0.06%
Market cap $13.1BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 42% above our fair value
Price
$31.92
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$22.44
Model range
$9.18 to $31.02
Fair value $22.44
Price $31.92
3 models fit American Homes 4 Rent Common Shares of Beneficial Interest and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Bronze51
Valued as a REIT (property company): Price to FFO, Dividend discount, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionAmerican Homes 4 Rent Common Shares of Beneficial Interest (AMH)
Fair value (3 models)
$22.44
ACCE price target
$33.10
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $21.99 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $28.00 since 9 May 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $31.92 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: EV/EBITDA comparison, Dividend discount, and Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
42.2% above
-29.7% to fair value
ACCE score
55
out of 100
Analysts
63% buy
24 covering
P/E
25.3x
forward 200.0x
1-year return
-4.1%
Dividend yield
4.07%

American Homes 4 Rent Common Shares of Beneficial Interest in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

American Homes 4 Rent owns and operates a portfolio of single-family rental homes across the Sun Belt and Midwest, leasing detached houses to households that want a yard and a longer tenancy than apartments typically offer. Its structural edge is scale in a fragmented market: with a 12.7B market cap it can run centralized maintenance, renovation and leasing platforms that smaller landlords cannot match, and that cost base supports the 25.9% operating margin shown here. The near-term story is modest, with revenue growing 2.8% and the forward P/E of 200.0 signalling that earnings are depressed or expected to recover sharply, so the case rests on whether rent growth and occupancy can lift per-home income faster than costs. It is worth a deeper look now because the 7.1% ROE and a 24.6 trailing P/E frame a stock whose valuation depends heavily on the earnings trajectory rather than on current profitability. The composite score of 52/100 and absence from any index suggest the market is not yet paying up for the scale advantage, which is the gap a concentrated process should test.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Forward P/E valuation spike
    Forward P/E of 45.6 vs trailing 24.3 signals sharp earnings deceleration expected.
  • moderate
    ACCE score deterioration
    Score fell 4 points in 90 days (56 to 52). Growth subscore weak at 39; QoQ revenue turned negative at -0.4%.
  • moderate
    Earnings growth sustainability risk
    YoY earnings +10.6% but revenue only +2.8% and QoQ negative. Margin expansion may not persist; ROE modest at 7.1%.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-09 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Strong historical growth of 7.5% annually over five years shows the business model works at scale.
  • Free cash flow yield of 6.5% and dividend yield of 4.3% provide current income to shareholders.
  • Analyst consensus targets $37.11, implying 20.3% upside from the current $30.85 share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Forward P/E of 45.6x is nearly double the trailing 24.3x, signaling earnings growth expectations may not materialize.
  • ROIC of 3.1% and ROE of 7.1% are both weak, suggesting capital is not being deployed efficiently.
  • Consensus fair value of $23.24 sits 24.7% below the current price, with all three valuation models agreeing.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where AMH's valuation models land
Price
$31.92
Model fair value
$22.44
Model range
$9.18 to $31.02
Fair value $22.44
Price $31.92
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Price to FFO
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish63% buy · 24 covering analysts
● Strong buy 9● Buy 6● Hold 9● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.0%
1 month
+3.2%
3 months
-4.3%
6 months
+4.5%
YTD
-0.6%
1 year
-4.1%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$30.89
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$22.44$21.99$30.89
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$33.10$28.00$31.28
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$21.99$23.24$30.64
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$23.24$19.67$30.85
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$19.67$19.39$30.64
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$19.39$20.00$30.67
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$20.00$19.61$31.28
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$19.61$20.51$31.28
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$20.51$19.79$31.62

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth39Value49Quality77Momentum56Total55
Valuation
Trailing P/E
25.3x
Forward P/E
200.0x
PEG
29.82
P/B
1.63x
EV / Revenue
8.6x
Book value/sh
$18.92
Enterprise value
$16.2B
Profitability
ROE
7.1%
FCF yield
5.71%
ROIC
3.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.73
Dividend yield
4.07%
Beta
0.79

Price

-4.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about AMH

Answered from American Homes 4 Rent Common Shares of Beneficial Interest fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 22.7x25.3xhigh 88.1x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low 2%7%high 22%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 3.6%4.1%high 5.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
AMH American Homes 4 Rent Common Shares of Beneficial Interest$31.92$2242% above25.3x7.1%7755
UDR UDR Inc. Common Stock$36.18$2544% above22.7x13.7%7252
ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. Common Stock$61.17--29.3x22.3%7748
CPT Camden Property Trust Common Stock$102.74$1021% above33.9x7.9%7241
MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc. Common Stock$121.17$10515% above35.4x7.0%6948
SUI Sun Communities Inc. Common Stock$119.86$9723% above88.1x1.7%5938
INVH Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock$27.53$1854% above24.6x7.0%7263

Sector report card

Where AMH ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 8, 2026
    AMH Announces Dates of Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call
  • PR Newswire•Sep 9, 2026
    AMH to Participate in BofA Securities 2026 Global Real Estate Conference
  • PR Newswire•Aug 20, 2026
    AMH Announces Distributions
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 14
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-10
View on SEC →
Sep 9
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-09
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 26
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-24
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR