Guardforce AI Co. Limited Ordinary Shares (GFAI) fair value
Industrials · Security & Protection Services · NASDAQ · United States
$0.19+3.97%
Market cap $6MNext earnings 2025-09-22Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 79% below our fair value
Price
$0.19
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $0.92
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Net cash floor.
ACCE opinionGuardforce AI Co. Limited Ordinary Shares (GFAI)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$0.24
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $0.19 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Net cash floor and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
27
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
1 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 22.6x
1-year return
-81.6%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Guardforce AI Co. Limited Ordinary Shares in four questions
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Guardforce AI makes security robots and the AI software that runs them, sold mainly to banks, cash-handling firms and retailers for patrolling sites and detecting intrusions. Its real appeal is that the business is shifting toward recurring software and service revenue, which should lift gross margins from the current 14.5% if the mix moves as intended. Revenue is growing 6.4%, but the operating margin of -16.9% and ROE of -19.6% show the company is still losing money on each dollar of sales and has not yet proven it can scale. At a 6M USD market cap, the stock is a micro-cap with thin liquidity, no index membership, and a 27/100 score, so this is a turnaround bet on margin expansion rather than a quality compounder. A deeper look is worth it only if the next few reporting periods show gross margin climbing and operating losses narrowing, since the forward P/E of 22.6 gives little support for the current earnings base.
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
severe
Negative free cash flow
Free cash flow was $-1,653,182 against a $6M market cap, with operating margin at -16.9% and net margin at -20.7%. The business is burning cash it does not clearly have.
high
Micro-cap with thin liquidity
At a $6M market cap and a $0.19 share price, the stock is very small and illiquid, so position sizing should be small and exits may be costly.
moderate
Score drifting lower
The ACCE score fell from 30 to 27 over 90 days, with the Momentum component at just 17/100, signalling weakening trend and quality.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Revenue grew 6.4% year over year in the latest 10-Q, a sign the top line is moving up again.
Analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and their mean price target sits far above the current price.
Debt is modest, with debt to equity at 0.12, so the balance sheet carries little borrowing burden.
Why it could disappoint
The company loses money on each dollar of sales, with a net margin of -20.7% in the latest 10-Q.
Free cash flow over the last twelve months was negative at -$2M, so the business is consuming cash.
The diluted share count rose 96.4% last fiscal year, which spreads any future profit across far more shares.
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Walk me through this stock
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where GFAI's valuation models land
Price
$0.19
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $0.92
Model
Fair value
Upside
Net cash floor
Sales comps
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Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
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