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ALAQU.PA

Aquila SA (ALAQU.PA) fair value

Industrials · Security & Protection Services · Euronext Paris · France
€3.70+0.00%
Market cap €6MUpdated Oct 22, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 22% below our fair value
Price
€3.70
Model fair valueConfidence: good
€4.75
Model range
€3.04 to €6.18
Fair value €4.75
Price €3.70
2 models fit Aquila SA and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Discount(i)Bronze55
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionAquila SA (ALAQU.PA)
Fair value (2 models)
€4.75
ACCE price target
€3.50
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 22 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CEST.
Rating published on 22 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: €3.70 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
22.2% below
+28.5% to fair value
ACCE score
46
out of 100
P/E
11.6x
1-year return
-8.0%
Dividend yield
6.68%

Aquila SA in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Aquila SA is a small French security and protection services business with a market capitalisation of roughly EUR 6 million, operating on thin margins: a 2.6% gross margin and 1.8% operating margin. Revenue growth is 1.4%, and the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 11.6 with an 11.0% return on equity, so the earnings base is small and the profit per euro of sales is slim. The data provided does not identify specific products or the contracts that drive the top line, nor any catalyst, so a deeper look would need to start with the business mix and customer base. The attraction is the low multiple on a company with positive returns, but at this size, liquidity, index exclusion and thin margins are the first questions to test.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where ALAQU.PA's valuation models land
Price
€3.70
Model fair value
€4.75
Model range
€3.04 to €6.18
Fair value €4.75
Price €3.70
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+8.8%
1 month
+8.8%
3 months
-3.1%
6 months
+2.2%
YTD
+3.4%
1 year
-8.0%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CESTACCE price target€3.50first publication€3.70
22 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTFair value€4.75first publication€3.74
22 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication€3.74

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in EUR. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth19Value70Quality39Momentum56Total46
Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.6x
Forward P/E
no data
PEG
no data
P/B
1.53x
EV / Revenue
0.1x
Book value/sh
€2.20
Enterprise value
€4M
Profitability
ROE
11.0%
FCF yield
no data
ROIC
9.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.00
Dividend yield
6.68%
Beta
0.61

Price

-8.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about ALAQU.PA

Answered from Aquila SA fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0x11.6xhigh 25.5x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -108%11%high 11%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%6.7%high 6.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
ALAQU.PA Aquila SA€3.70€522% below11.6x11.0%3946
LEVEL.ST Nordic LEVEL Group AB (publ.)kr 0.30----14.2%3931
GFAI Guardforce AI Co. Limited Ordinary Shares$0.19----19.6%3127
BKYI BIO-key International Inc. Common Stock$3.39----107.9%4736
PREC.ST Precise Biometrics AB (publ)kr 0.47----18.1%4723
IRIS.ST Irisity AB (publ)kr 0.22----50.2%3156
MBQ.DE Mobotix AG€0.76€260% below25.5x3.1%4643

Sector report card

Where ALAQU.PA ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…