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EXA.PA

Exail Technologies (EXA.PA) fair value

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · Euronext Paris · France
€125.30+0.08%
Market cap €2.1BNext earnings 2027-03-18Updated Oct 22, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 220% above our fair value
Price
€125.30
Model fair valueConfidence: good
€39.14
Model range
€37.37 to €40.92
Fair value €39.14
Price €125
2 models fit Exail Technologies and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze54
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionExail Technologies (EXA.PA)
Fair value (2 models)
€39.14
ACCE price target
€122
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST.
Rating published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
Price used: €125 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
220.1% above
-68.8% to fair value
ACCE score
67
out of 100
P/E
0.0x
forward 27.3x
1-year return
+51.1%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Exail Technologies in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Exail Technologies makes naval and underwater systems, including sonar, inertial navigation, and robotic underwater vehicles, alongside precision photonics and nuclear medicine components sold into defence and civil markets. Its strength is a defence-grade niche where qualified products and government certifications take years to replicate, which supports a 49.9% gross margin. Revenue growth of 24.7% is the main driver, with European rearmament and rising naval spending supplying demand for its navigation and seabed systems. Operating margin is currently -8.4%, so profitability depends on the company converting that top-line growth into operating leverage. At a forward P/E of 31.8 and a 31.2% ROE, the market is pricing in that conversion, which makes margin progress the metric to test before going deeper.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026

Next results

Mar 18, 2027
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where EXA.PA's valuation models land
Price
€125.30
Model fair value
€39.14
Model range
€37.37 to €40.92
Fair value €39.14
Price €125
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
-0.2%
1 month
+0.2%
3 months
+0.9%
6 months
+4.9%
YTD
+53.7%
1 year
+51.1%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price target€122first publication€125
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication€125
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair value€39.14first publication€125

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in EUR. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth88Value34Quality67Momentum77Total67
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
27.3x
PEG
no data
P/B
5.11x
EV / Revenue
4.5x
Book value/sh
€-12.62
Enterprise value
€2.2B
Profitability
ROE
31.2%
FCF yield
3.54%
ROIC
0.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.89
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.13

Price

+53.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about EXA.PA

Answered from Exail Technologies fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 71.6x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low 12%31%high 31%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 1.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
EXA.PA Exail Technologies€125.30€39220% above-31.2%6767
COCHINSHIP.NS Cochin Shipyard Limited₹1139.90--44.1x-7534
BDL.NS Bharat Dynamics Limited₹1017.50--71.6x-8054
MAZDOCK.NS Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited₹1860.00₹116759% above26.3x28.8%8449
BWXT BWX Technologies Inc. Common Stock$127.19$60112% above33.0x28.3%6047
EMBJ Embraer S.A. Common Stock$70.84--28.7x12.2%5768
TXT Textron Inc. Common Stock$76.83$9317% below14.5x12.1%6050

Sector report card

Where EXA.PA ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…