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EPI-A.ST
ACCE-researched

Epiroc AB (publ) (EPI-A.ST) fair value

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · Nasdaq Stockholm · Sweden
kr 250.70+1.13%
Market cap kr 303.3BNext earnings 2026-10-28Updated Oct 22, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 94% above our fair value
Price
kr 250.70
Model fair valueConfidence: good
kr 129
Model range
kr 74.27 to kr 193
Fair value kr 129
Price kr 251
4 models fit Epiroc AB (publ) and they partly agree: 2 of 4 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze44
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionEpiroc AB (publ) (EPI-A.ST)
Fair value (4 models)
kr 129
ACCE price target
kr 247
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CEST.
Rating published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
Price used: kr 251 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
94.4% above
-48.6% to fair value
ACCE score
58
out of 100
P/E
34.3x
forward 30.0x
1-year return
+12.9%
Dividend yield
1.53%

Epiroc AB (publ) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Epiroc makes underground mining equipment, including drill rigs, loaders and trucks, plus rock tools and aftermarket parts, and sells them to miners worldwide. Its moat sits in the installed base: once a mine standardises on Epiroc rigs and consumables, the recurring parts and service revenue is sticky and carries a 35.7% gross margin. Growth is tracking at 10.4%, and the near-term driver is the shift toward battery-electric and automated underground fleets, which lets Epiroc sell higher-priced machines and digital systems into a replacement cycle. At 29.6x forward earnings and a 21.2% return on equity, the market is already paying a premium for that quality, so the question for a deeper look is whether the 19.9% operating margin can hold as the mix shifts toward new technology.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 1 flagAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Rich valuation multiples
    Trailing P/E of 35.7 and EV/EBITDA of 20.2 leave little room for an earnings miss. Forward P/E of 26.8 is still demanding for a machinery maker.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 10.4% year over year, and it has averaged 11.4% growth per year over five years.
  • A 21.2% return on equity and 14.2% net margin show the business earns strong returns on its shareholders' money.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached SEK 9.0B, and debt to equity sits at a modest 0.48.
Why it could disappoint
  • At 35.7x trailing earnings and 2.9% free cash flow yield, the shares look expensive against the cash they generate.
  • Latest earnings per share came in 2.9% below expectations, missing 2.09 with 2.03.
  • Analysts' mean price target of SEK 283.85 implies only 11.4% upside, a modest cushion for a stock at this multiple.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 28, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where EPI-A.ST's valuation models land
Price
kr 250.70
Model fair value
kr 129
Model range
kr 74.27 to kr 193
Fair value kr 129
Price kr 251
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

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  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

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Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
-5.1%
1 month
-4.3%
3 months
+1.3%
6 months
+0.2%
YTD
+19.4%
1 year
+12.9%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CESTACCE price targetkr 247first publicationkr 255
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair valuekr 129first publicationkr 255
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publicationkr 255

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in SEK. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth68Value42Quality76Momentum47Total58
Valuation
Trailing P/E
34.3x
Forward P/E
30.0x
PEG
2.15
P/B
7.11x
EV / Revenue
5.0x
Book value/sh
kr 36.85
Enterprise value
kr 311.4B
Profitability
ROE
21.2%
FCF yield
3.00%
ROIC
11.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.48
Dividend yield
1.53%
Beta
1.21

Price

+12.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about EPI-A.ST

Answered from Epiroc AB (publ) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 9.2x34.3xhigh 46.0x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low 4%21%high 21%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%1.5%high 4.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
EPI-A.ST Epiroc AB (publ)kr 250.70kr 12994% above34.3x21.2%7658
DTG.DE Daimler Truck Holding€40.43€4611% below27.8x5.1%4360
6301.T Komatsu Ltd.¥6782.00--16.4x11.6%5962
6326.T Kubota Corporation¥2615.00--11.1x10.0%6370
CNH CNH Industrial N.V. Common Shares$11.58$842% above46.0x3.9%2542
8TRA.DE Traton SE€33.02€6851% below9.2x9.7%4363
PCAR PACCAR Inc. Common Stock$109.59$7742% above22.5x12.8%5146

Sector report card

Where EPI-A.ST ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…