PCAR

ACCE-researched
PACCAR Inc. Common Stock
Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · NASDAQ · United States
$116.06-1.11%
Market cap $61.1BNext earnings 2026-10-20Updated Sep 20, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$116.06+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 4 of 6 models
Now $116.06
$116.06
$60.94$144.75
TrimBronze53
Price vs fair value
29.1% above
-22.5% to fair value
ACCE score
50
out of 100
Analysts
32% buy
19 covering
P/E
24.7x
forward 15.8x
1-year return
+14.4%
Dividend yield
1.14%
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Overview

⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flags
  • high
    Revenue declining sharply
    Revenue fell 8.9% YoY, signaling meaningful demand deterioration in heavy truck cycle, despite earnings growth from margin/mix effects.
  • moderate
    Thin gross margin risk
    Gross margin of only 13.6% leaves little buffer; cyclical downturns in truck demand could quickly compress profitability further.
  • moderate
    Elevated valuation vs cycle
    P/E 26.5x and EV/EBITDA 20x appear stretched for a cyclical industrial with -8.9% revenue growth and forward P/E still at 21x.
Reports in 29 days, last quarter beat by 0.1%.

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Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Price

+19.6% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish32% buy · 19 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 1● Hold 13● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 18.9x24.7xhigh 53.8x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low 4%13%high 57%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.7%1.1%high 4.3%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
VOLV-B.STAB Volvo B$68.7B18.920.9%1.392.5%-Compare
DTG.DEDaimler Truck Holding$37.9B30.05.1%1.264.3%-Compare
CNHCNH Industrial N.V. Common Shares$21.6B53.83.9%4.760.7%-Compare
DEDeere & Company Common Stock$184.4B38.218.2%2.460.9%-Compare
METSO.HEMetso Oyj$16.3B28.720.0%0.552.3%-Compare
CATCaterpillar Inc. Common Stock$371.9B34.457.0%2.030.8%-Compare

Sector report card

Where PCAR ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 29 days, last quarter beat by 0.1%.

Press releases mentioning this company

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Recent performance

1 week
-5.4%
1 month
-9.0%
3 months
-2.4%
6 months
+4.3%
YTD
+6.0%
1 year
+14.4%

SEC filings

40 filings
September 2026
Sep 4
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-02
Sep 4
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-02
Sep 4
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-02
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR