AACCE Investments
ScreenerStocksIndicesPicksETFsBlogPricing

© 2026 ACCE Investments. All rights reserved.

ACCE Investments - Institutional-grade stock research for retail investors | BetaList
IndicesStocksETFsScreenerBlogGlossaryCompareMarket dataAdvisors
TermsPrivacyCookiesDisclaimerLegal noticeProfessional termsAboutContact
EOG
ACCE-researched

EOG Resources Inc. Common Stock (EOG) fair value

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P · NYSE · United States
$163.03+3.21%
Market cap $85.5BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 26% above our fair value
Price
$163.03
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$129
Model range
$109 to $147
Fair value $129
Price $163
4 models fit EOG Resources Inc. Common Stock and they partly agree: 3 of 4 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Silver60
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionEOG Resources Inc. Common Stock (EOG)
Fair value (4 models)
$129
ACCE price target
$150
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $127 since 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $163 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
26.2% above
-20.7% to fair value
ACCE score
90
out of 100
Analysts
33% buy
33 covering
P/E
12.7x
forward 10.4x
1-year return
+50.8%
Dividend yield
2.58%

EOG Resources Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

EOG Resources operates onshore oil and gas fields across the Permian, Eagle Ford, and Bakken, with a focus on low-cost crude production and natural gas liquids. The company's structural advantage lies in its acreage position in the Permian and its ability to generate cash at sub-$40 oil prices, which provides downside protection relative to peers while maintaining production growth. Current commodity prices and disciplined capital allocation are driving free cash flow generation that exceeds debt service and shareholder returns combined. At a forward PE of 10.1 with an ROE of 22.5% and operating margins at 40.7%, the stock trades at a significant discount to historical multiples despite cash generation that has funded $8 billion in share buybacks over the past three years. The combination of fortress-like balance sheet economics and near-term cash return potential makes this worth examining against the broader energy complex.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 12, 2026

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-09 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • EOG trades at 10.1x forward earnings, well below the 15.8x sector median, offering valuation upside.
  • The company generates $3.5B in annual free cash flow with a fortress balance sheet at 0.28 debt to equity.
  • EOG returned 22.5% on equity and 10.7% on invested capital while shrinking share count by 5.2% last year.
Why it could disappoint
  • Consensus fair value sits 14.0% below the current $148.16 share price across all four valuation models.
  • The stock is priced to grow cash flow only 5.4% annually over five years, below historical 18.1% average.
  • Only 34% of analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, suggesting limited conviction among professionals.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where EOG's valuation models land
Price
$163.03
Model fair value
$129
Model range
$109 to $147
Fair value $129
Price $163
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.

See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish33% buy · 33 covering analysts
● Strong buy 10● Buy 1● Hold 22● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+3.2%
1 month
+14.9%
3 months
+11.4%
6 months
+22.5%
YTD
+55.3%
1 year
+50.8%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$158
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$130$127$151
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$127$174$149
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$174$176$141
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$176$180$142
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$150first publication$144
18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$180$183$145
4 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$183$180$149
28 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$180$184$146
20 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$184$164$148

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

Get the full EOG page, free

Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the full page.

Snapshot

Growth100Value76Quality95Momentum90Total90
Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.7x
Forward P/E
10.4x
PEG
1.38
P/B
2.39x
EV / Revenue
3.0x
Book value/sh
$60.64
Enterprise value
$79.4B
Profitability
ROE
22.5%
FCF yield
4.17%
ROIC
10.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.28
Dividend yield
2.58%
Beta
0.37

Price

+53.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about EOG

Answered from EOG Resources Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 7.1x12.7xhigh 38.3x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low 3%23%high 27%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 1.8%2.6%high 5.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
EOG EOG Resources Inc. Common Stock$163.03$12926% above12.7x22.5%9590
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited Common Stock$53.92$4618% above13.3x26.7%9292
CNQ.TO Canadian Natural ResourcesC$75.50C$5635% above13.7x26.7%9292
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation Common Stock$62.50$595% above18.2x10.6%8187
FANG Diamondback Energy Inc. Common Stock$197.14$92114% above38.3x3.5%7080
DVN Devon Energy Corporation Common Stock$49.18$4023% above10.7x11.5%7486
0883.HK CNOOCHK$23.36HK$4952% below7.1x16.8%9081

Sector report card

Where EOG ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Sep 24, 2026
    EOG Resources Announces Ann Janssen's Retirement and Jeff Hibbard as Next CFO
  • PR Newswire•Sep 22, 2026
    EOG Resources Schedules Conference Call and Webcast of Third Quarter 2026 Results for November 6, 2026
  • PR Newswire•Sep 1, 2026
    EOG Resources to Present at Upcoming Conference
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 8
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-08
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 29
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-25
View on SEC →
Sep 29
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-25
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR