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EDU
ACCE-researched

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) (EDU) fair value

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services · NYSE · United States
$58.38-0.51%
Market cap $9.1BNext earnings 2026-10-28Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 19% below our fair value
Price
$58.38
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$72.44
Model range
$41.74 to $120
Fair value $72.44
Price $58.38
5 models fit New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) and they disagree: 2 of 5 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Discount(i)Gold82
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionNew Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) (EDU)
Fair value (5 models)
$72.44
ACCE price target
$69.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $59.05 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $58.38 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
19.4% below
+24.1% to fair value
ACCE score
76
out of 100
Analysts
80% buy
20 covering
P/E
19.6x
forward 12.3x
1-year return
-3.0%
Dividend yield
2.05%

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

New Oriental Education & Technology Group runs test-prep courses, language training and K-12 tutoring across China, alongside its Oriental Yanxuan retail and book business and an online learning platform. Its scale and brand in exam preparation are the moat, and the gross margin of 54.6% shows the courses carry real pricing power even though operating margin is thin at 5.6% after heavy spending on teachers, facilities and marketing. Revenue growth of 23.0% is the headline number, and the rebuilding of after-school tutoring and the reopening of the offline campus network have driven it. The stock trades at 19.5 times trailing earnings but only 11.6 times forward, a gap that implies the market expects earnings to recover sharply, so the case rests on whether margins widen as the business keeps growing. With a 12.5% return on equity and a 76/100 score, the name deserves a deeper look, with the margin trajectory and China's regulatory posture for private tutoring as the two questions to resolve first.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Earnings volatility and base effects
    720.6% YoY earnings growth is exceptional but likely reflects a low prior-year base. Verify sustainability; 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.8% suggests slower underlying growth.
  • moderate
    Insider selling concentration
    $4.1M in sales over last 10 disclosures with zero buys. Pattern warrants monitoring, though absolute dollar amounts remain modest relative to $9.1B market cap.
  • moderate
    Quality score lagging valuation
    Quality subscore of 68/100 is the weakest component of the 76 overall ACCE score. Forward P/E of 12.3 prices in significant earnings growth; execution risk is material.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-05-31 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue jumped 23.0% year over year, showing strong rebound momentum after regulatory headwinds.
  • Free cash flow yield of 11.3% and 0.21 debt to equity signal financial strength and capital return potential.
  • Analyst consensus targets $73.62, implying 25.6% upside, with 80% of analysts rating Buy or Strong Buy.
Why it could disappoint
  • Forward P/E of 12.3x looks cheap, but reverse DCF implies the market prices in negative 8.4% cash flow growth.
  • Five-year revenue growth averaged only 5.8% annually, so current 23.0% growth may not be sustainable.
  • Net margin of 8.4% and ROE of 12.5% are modest for a consumer defensive stock, leaving little room for error.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 28, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where EDU's valuation models land
Price
$58.38
Model fair value
$72.44
Model range
$41.74 to $120
Fair value $72.44
Price $58.38
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish80% buy · 20 covering analysts
● Strong buy 13● Buy 3● Hold 4● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
0 buys · 4 sells
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-4.1%
1 month
+4.1%
3 months
+18.6%
6 months
+12.9%
YTD
+6.1%
1 year
-3.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$60.88
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value$72.44$59.05$60.88
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$59.05$60.82$58.62
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$60.82$59.94$58.63
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$59.94$61.75$56.47
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$69.00first publication$56.47
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$61.75$58.63$57.08
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$58.63$59.23$55.64
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$59.23$58.09$56.82
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$58.09$61.05$54.58

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth88Value83Quality68Momentum63Total76
Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.6x
Forward P/E
12.3x
PEG
0.97
P/B
2.18x
EV / Revenue
0.8x
Book value/sh
$25.73
Enterprise value
$4.3B
Profitability
ROE
12.5%
FCF yield
11.13%
ROIC
8.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.21
Dividend yield
2.05%
Beta
0.18

Price

-2.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about EDU

Answered from New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 6.6x19.6xhigh 19.6x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low 12%12%high 422%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%2.1%high 2.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands)$58.38$7219% below19.6x12.5%6876
TAL TAL Education Group American Depositary Shares$10.17$1947% below6.6x23.7%8778
LAUR Laureate Education Inc. Common Stock$39.03$3317% above17.7x29.3%8584
CVSA Covista Inc. Common Shares$131.82$1406% below17.6x18.6%8077
LOPE Grand Canyon Education Inc. Common Stock$162.83$14215% above19.3x31.0%8966
XXI Twenty One Capital Inc. Class A Common Stock$5.59---422.2%5425
LRN Stride Inc. Common Stock$79.40$16452% below10.5x20.9%7256

Sector report card

Where EDU ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 8, 2026
    New Oriental to Hold Annual General Meeting on November 13, 2026
  • PR Newswire•Sep 29, 2026
    New Oriental to Report First Quarter 2027 Financial Results on October 28, 2026
  • PR Newswire•Sep 22, 2026
    New Oriental Announces Filing of Annual Report on Form 20-F for Fiscal Year 2026
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
22 filings of 40
October 2026
Oct 13
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-13
View on SEC →
Oct 8
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-08
View on SEC →
Oct 8
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-08
View on SEC →
19 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR