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XXI

Twenty One Capital Inc. Class A Common Stock (XXI) fair value

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services · NYSE · United States
$5.59-0.36%
Market cap $3.6BNext earnings 2026-11-13Updated Oct 23, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$5.59
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $5.57
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Treated as a pre-revenue company. None of the usual models had enough data, so this uses Net asset value instead.
ACCE opinionTwenty One Capital Inc. Class A Common Stock (XXI)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$6.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $5.59 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Net asset value.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
25
out of 100
1-year return
-71.2%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Twenty One Capital Inc. Class A Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Twenty One Capital is a Bitcoin-focused holding vehicle, and the sector and industry tags on this record (Consumer Defensive, Education & Training Services) don't match that business, so verify the classification before reading anything into it. The data supplied shows a $4.0B market cap, an ROE of 422.2%, and zero for P/E, forward P/E, revenue growth, gross margin and operating margin, which means the earnings and revenue series are either absent or not meaningful for a balance-sheet-driven asset. The ROE figure is the only fundamental number here worth attention, and it likely reflects a small equity base against large mark-to-market or holding gains rather than operating strength. The composite score of 27/100 and absence from any index argue against a deeper look on the current evidence. A deeper look would need to start with the actual holdings, the share count and the accounting for digital assets before any valuation work makes sense.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • severe
    Negative free cash flow
    Free cash flow is $-2,369,670 with zero reported revenue, margins, or earnings, so the business shows no operating cash generation to support its $3.7B market cap.
  • high
    Heavy insider ownership and short interest
    Insiders hold 63.1% of shares while short interest sits at 15.7%, a combination that leaves a thin free float and makes price moves more volatile.
  • moderate
    Score remains very weak
    The ACCE score is 25/100 with quality at 54 and momentum at 17, and the score moved only +2 over 90 days, so there is little sign of improvement.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Return on equity of 422.2% shows the business earns very large returns on the small equity base shareholders have put in.
  • Debt to equity of 0.14 means the company carries little borrowed money against its equity base.
  • The share price of $5.59 sits below the ACCE price target of $6.00, which leaves room for the stock to rise toward that level.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow over the last 12 months was negative at -$2M, so the business is spending more cash than it brings in.
  • Return on invested capital of -4.5% means the money put into the business is currently losing value rather than earning a return.
  • The diluted share count rose 361.8% in the last fiscal year, so each existing share now represents a much smaller slice of the company.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 13, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where XXI's valuation models land
Price
$5.59
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $5.57
Model
Fair value
Upside
Net asset value
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Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
-0.5%
1 month
-17.8%
3 months
+23.7%
6 months
-28.3%
YTD
-36.2%
1 year
-71.2%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$6.00first publication$6.29

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value23Quality54Momentum17Total25
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
no data
PEG
no data
P/B
0.00x
EV / Revenue
0.0x
Book value/sh
$6.28
Enterprise value
$2.7B
Profitability
ROE
422.2%
FCF yield
-0.06%
ROIC
-4.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.14
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
-1.21

Price

-71.5% · 1Y

Ask anything about XXI

Answered from Twenty One Capital Inc. Class A Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low 0%422%high 422%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
XXI Twenty One Capital Inc. Class A Common Stock$5.59---422.2%5425
LRN Stride Inc. Common Stock$80.68$16451% below11.1x20.9%7256
LOPE Grand Canyon Education Inc. Common Stock$165.46$14216% above19.7x31.0%8966
CVSA Covista Inc. Common Shares$131.62$1406% below17.6x18.6%8077
MH McGraw Hill Inc. Common Stock$14.80$2028% below30.8x17.3%5971
LAUR Laureate Education Inc. Common Stock$38.79$3316% above17.7x29.3%8584
DAO Youdao Inc. American Depositary Shares each representing one Class A Ordinary Share$19.35--100.1x0.0%3748

Sector report card

Where XXI ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
31 filings
October 2026
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-02
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 9
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-08
View on SEC →
Sep 9
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-08
View on SEC →
28 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR