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BMI

Badger Meter Inc. Common Stock (BMI) fair value

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments · NYSE · United States
$151.24+1.07%
Market cap $4.4BNext earnings 2026-10-22Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 66% above our fair value
Price
$151.24
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$91.14
Model range
$51.18 to $115
Fair value $91.14
Price $151
4 models fit Badger Meter Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver63
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionBadger Meter Inc. Common Stock (BMI)
Fair value (4 models)
$91.14
ACCE price target
$140
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 10:03 CEST; previously $124 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 23 Oct 2026, 10:03 CEST.
Price used: $151 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
65.9% above
-39.7% to fair value
ACCE score
50
out of 100
Analysts
73% buy
11 covering
P/E
35.3x
forward 30.5x
1-year return
-19.0%
Dividend yield
1.18%

Badger Meter Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Badger Meter makes water flow meters, ultrasonic metering electronics and the cloud-based software that reads them, selling mainly to municipal water utilities across North America and Europe. Its structural case rests on a sticky installed base: once a utility standardises on Badger's meters and its communications network, replacement cycles run on a multi-decade horizon and switching costs are high. The near-term catalyst is the utility replacement cycle and smart-metering adoption, which should support volumes as aging infrastructure is upgraded, though revenue is currently falling 6.6%, so the thesis depends on that demand turning. The stock trades at 29.6 times trailing earnings and 26.2 times forward, against an operating margin of 17.7% and a return on equity of 18.5%, a combination that is expensive for a business whose top line is shrinking. The score of 40/100 and absence from any major index mean the case needs checking on order intake and margin recovery before it earns a deeper look.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Revenue and earnings declining
    Revenue fell 6.6% year on year and earnings fell 12.8%, with a further 8.4% drop quarter on quarter. The 5-year revenue CAGR of 16.6% is now being reversed.
  • high
    Heavy short interest
    Short interest stands at 23.1% of shares. That is a large bearish bet against a company whose top line is already shrinking.
  • moderate
    Score stalled, quality weak
    The ACCE score has held at 40/100 for 90 days, with momentum at 23 and value at 46. Quality at 84 is the only strong pillar, and it is not enough to lift the overall score.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow of $170M over the last twelve months gives the company real cash to fund its operations and dividend.
  • Debt to equity of 0.00 means the balance sheet carries no debt at all, leaving little financial risk.
  • Eight of eleven analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and their mean price target sits well above the current share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 6.6% year over year, sharply reversing a five-year average growth rate of 16.6% per year.
  • The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 29.6x, above the sector median forward P/E of 28.8x, despite shrinking sales.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where BMI's valuation models land
Price
$151.24
Model fair value
$91.14
Model range
$51.18 to $115
Fair value $91.14
Price $151
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish73% buy · 11 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 3● Hold 2● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+19.6%
1 month
+13.7%
3 months
+19.7%
6 months
+24.1%
YTD
-13.3%
1 year
-19.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 10:03 CESTFair value$91.14$124$150
23 Oct 2026, 10:03 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$150
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$124$125$127
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$125$115$131
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$140first publication$131
23 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$115$119$132
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$119$115$133
10 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$115$117$129
7 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$117$119$132
30 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$119$115$136

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value46Quality84Momentum61Total50
Valuation
Trailing P/E
35.3x
Forward P/E
30.5x
PEG
no data
P/B
5.61x
EV / Revenue
4.2x
Book value/sh
$23.56
Enterprise value
$3.8B
Profitability
ROE
18.5%
FCF yield
4.44%
ROIC
16.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.00
Dividend yield
1.18%
Beta
0.64

Price

-19.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about BMI

Answered from Badger Meter Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 50% of peers
low 14.1x35.3xhigh 89.1x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low 3%18%high 29%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%1.2%high 1.5%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
BMI Badger Meter Inc. Common Stock$151.24$9166% above35.3x18.5%8450
VNT Vontier Corporation Common Stock $34.54$3910% below14.2x28.9%7252
IFCN.SW INFICON Holding AGCHF 166.60CHF 76120% above51.9x24.5%8473
ITRI Itron Inc. Common Stock$88.17$5561% above14.1x16.9%6445
RSW.L Renishaw plc£53.60£3460% above31.5x12.5%8376
NOVT Novanta Inc. Common Stock$136.66$49179% above89.1x5.1%6460
ST Sensata Technologies Holding plc Ordinary Shares$40.70$2469% above67.3x3.1%5059

Sector report card

Where BMI ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 1, 2026
    Badger Meter Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call
  • Business Wire•Sep 28, 2026
    Badger Meter Introduces OneNetwork™ Software Platform for Water and Wastewater Utilities at WEFTEC 2026
  • Business Wire•Aug 14, 2026
    Badger Meter Raises Dividend 10% Representing 34 Years of Consecutive Annual Dividend Growth
1 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
38 filings
October 2026
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
July 2026
Jul 31
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-07-30
View on SEC →
35 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR