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NOVT

Novanta Inc. Common Stock (NOVT) fair value

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments · NASDAQ · United States
$140.80+3.03%
Market cap $5.3BNext earnings 2026-11-09Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 187% above our fair value
Price
$140.80
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$49.00
Model range
$34.22 to $61.32
Fair value $49.00
Price $141
2 models fit Novanta Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver64
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionNovanta Inc. Common Stock (NOVT)
Fair value (2 models)
$49.00
ACCE price target
$154
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CEST; previously $74.40 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CEST.
Price used: $141 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: EV/EBITDA comparison and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
187.3% above
-65.2% to fair value
ACCE score
60
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
3 covering
P/E
89.1x
forward 32.2x
1-year return
+18.5%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Novanta Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Novanta makes precision photonics and motion components, including laser scanning modules, galvo and motion control systems, and medical-grade sensors, sold largely into OEM medical device and industrial laser customers. Its edge is embedding in customer platforms, where its components are specified early and then stay in production for years, which supports the 44.5% gross margin. Revenue growth of 10.3% is the number to test, since it depends on medical and industrial laser volumes recovering and on the company converting that growth into operating leverage; the 11.5% operating margin says it has not yet done so. The valuation is the interesting tension: a trailing P/E of 85.3 sits against a forward P/E of 8.4, which means earnings are expected to step up sharply, and that gap is the first thing to verify. With a 5.1B market cap, no index membership and a 5.1% ROE, the name is under-followed and the bull case rests on margin delivery rather than a narrative.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Short interest elevated
    Short interest stands at 15.6%, a meaningful bet against the stock that can amplify volatility if sentiment turns.
  • moderate
    Insider selling without buys
    Insiders sold $5.77M across the last 10 disclosed transactions with no buys, and insiders hold only 0.7% of shares.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 10.3% year over year and has averaged 10.7% a year over five years, a steady growth record.
  • Earnings per share beat expectations by 7.2%, coming in at 0.89 against 0.83 expected last quarter.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on invested capital is only 2.7%, and free cash flow of $48M gives a yield of just 1.0% at the current price.
  • The trailing P/E is 81.5x against a sector median forward P/E of 29.1x, and the forward multiple relies on earnings that may be non-GAAP.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 9, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where NOVT's valuation models land
Price
$140.80
Model fair value
$49.00
Model range
$34.22 to $61.32
Fair value $49.00
Price $141
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 3 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 1● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
1 buy · 0 sells
Since May 18, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
18 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+9.3%
1 month
-2.5%
3 months
-0.5%
6 months
+5.0%
YTD
+18.3%
1 year
+18.5%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CESTFair value$49.00$74.40$132
20 Oct 2026, 15:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$132
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$74.40$51.54$140
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$154first publication$136
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$51.54$52.74$151
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$52.74$50.84$149
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$50.84$52.15$142
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$52.15$53.88$144
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$53.88$51.13$144
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$51.13$51.70$133

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth76Value40Quality64Momentum61Total60
Valuation
Trailing P/E
89.1x
Forward P/E
32.2x
PEG
0.59
P/B
3.38x
EV / Revenue
4.9x
Book value/sh
$42.74
Enterprise value
$5.0B
Profitability
ROE
5.1%
FCF yield
0.92%
ROIC
2.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.26
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.73

Price

+9.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about NOVT

Answered from Novanta Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 14.2x89.1xhigh 89.1x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low 3%5%high 29%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 1.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
NOVT Novanta Inc. Common Stock$140.80$49187% above89.1x5.1%6460
RSW.L Renishaw plc£53.60£3460% above31.5x12.5%8376
IFCN.SW INFICON Holding AGCHF 166.60CHF 76120% above51.9x24.5%8473
ST Sensata Technologies Holding plc Ordinary Shares$40.70$2469% above67.3x3.1%5059
6856.T HORIBA, Ltd.¥22380.00--21.9x12.7%7672
ESE ESCO Technologies Inc. Common Stock$232.99$17335% above43.1x9.5%7353
VNT Vontier Corporation Common Stock $34.54$3910% below14.2x28.9%7252

Sector report card

Where NOVT ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 13, 2026
    Novanta Inc. Announces Schedule of Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call
  • Business Wire•Aug 28, 2026
    Novanta to Present at Baird Global Healthcare Conference on Tuesday, September 15, 2026
  • Business Wire•Jun 22, 2026
    Novanta to Present at the CJS Securities 26th Annual New Ideas Summer Conference on Thursday, July 9, 2026
1 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 2
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-07-22
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 15
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-11
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 5
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-05
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR