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BKH

Black Hills Corporation Common Stock (BKH) fair value

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas · NYSE · United States
$79.41+0.13%
Market cap $6.1BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 8% below our fair value
Price
$79.41
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$86.45
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a utility: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionBlack Hills Corporation Common Stock (BKH)
Fair value (3 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$79.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $79.41 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
63
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
6 covering
P/E
20.0x
forward 17.2x
1-year return
+21.3%
Dividend yield
3.55%

Black Hills Corporation Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Black Hills runs regulated electric and natural gas utilities across several Western states, along with a small non-regulated power and gas business, so most of its earnings come from rate-base investment that regulators approve. That regulated model is the structural advantage: returns are set on a guaranteed basis and the company can keep funding transmission, distribution and generation spend that compounds the asset base. Revenue grew 3.1% and the stock trades at 15.0x forward earnings against 19.5x trailing, which implies the market expects earnings to step up as capital projects come into service. ROE of 8.0% and a 21.4% operating margin are modest, so the case rests on whether the rate-base growth and regulatory outcomes hold rather than on margin expansion. At a $5.8B market cap with no index memberships, it is a small regulated utility whose forward multiple is the obvious thing to test against its allowed returns and capital plan.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    Free cash flow is -$146.4M while debt/equity sits at 1.23, so the dividend and capex are being funded by borrowing rather than operating cash.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest is 19.5% of ownership, a level that can amplify volatility if the earnings trajectory disappoints.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-19 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analysts are unanimous, with all six covering analysts rating the stock Buy or Strong Buy.
  • Black Hills beat its latest earnings estimate, reporting 0.54 per share against 0.42 expected, a 28.6% surprise.
  • The stock trades at 15.0x forward earnings, below the sector median of 19.9x, and it pays a 3.6% dividend yield.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was negative, at -$146M, as heavy spending on infrastructure outran operating cash.
  • Return on invested capital is only 2.8%, well below the 5.1% risk-free rate used in our valuation.
  • Shares outstanding grew 4.7% last fiscal year, diluting existing holders' stake in the company.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where BKH's valuation models land
Price
$79.41
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$86.45
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 6 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 1● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+3.6%
1 month
+12.6%
3 months
+5.5%
6 months
+7.1%
YTD
+14.4%
1 year
+21.3%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$79.00first publication$76.52
9 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$67.64$64.99$75.84
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$64.99$65.90$70.46
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$65.90$66.80$69.93
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$66.80$67.67$70.45
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$67.67$68.80$71.30
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$68.80$70.38$72.59
30 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$70.38$66.59$72.80
25 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$66.59$65.30$71.99
20 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$65.30$67.62$73.46

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value57Quality61Momentum70Total63
Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.0x
Forward P/E
17.2x
PEG
0.63
P/B
1.36x
EV / Revenue
4.3x
Book value/sh
$51.71
Enterprise value
$9.8B
Profitability
ROE
8.0%
FCF yield
-2.42%
ROIC
2.8%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.23
Dividend yield
3.55%
Beta
0.66

Price

+20.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about BKH

Answered from Black Hills Corporation Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 50% of peers
low 7.8x20.0xhigh 94.9x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low 7%8%high 14%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.1%3.5%high 6.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
BKH Black Hills Corporation Common Stock$79.41--20.0x8.0%6163
ATGL.NS Adani Total Gas Limited₹552.85--94.9x13.3%6540
SWX Southwest Gas Holdings Inc. Common Stock (DE)$91.08$866% above22.8x6.8%6855
2688.HK ENN Energy Holdings LimitedHK$48.02HK$11257% below7.8x13.4%4950
NJR NewJersey Resources Corporation Common Stock$53.63$4132% above14.7x14.4%5760
ENG.MC Enagas€17.46€1422% above14.3x11.9%6853
SR Spire Inc. Common Stock$85.56--23.8x8.1%5563

Sector report card

Where BKH ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 13, 2026
    Black Hills Corp. Gas Utility Receives Approval for New Rates in Arkansas
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 8, 2026
    Black Hills Corp. Schedules 2026 Third-Quarter Earnings Release and Conference Call
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 6, 2026
    Black Hills Corp. Executes Definitive Agreements to Serve Google’s Planned Data Center in Cheyenne, Wyoming
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
36 filings
October 2026
Oct 6
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-06
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 17
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-17
View on SEC →
Aug 6
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
33 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR