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BKE

Buckle Inc. (The) Common Stock (BKE) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail · NYSE · United States
$46.54-1.98%
Market cap $2.4BNext earnings 2026-11-20Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 13% below our fair value
Price
$46.54
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$53.39
Model range
$27.59 to $77.35
Fair value $53.39
Price $46.54
4 models fit Buckle Inc. (The) Common Stock and they partly agree: 2 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Bronze48
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionBuckle Inc. (The) Common Stock (BKE)
Fair value (4 models)
$53.39
ACCE price target
$47.00
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST; previously $54.99 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
Price used: $46.54 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
12.8% below
+14.7% to fair value
ACCE score
56
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
2 covering
P/E
10.9x
forward 13.7x
1-year return
-16.8%
Dividend yield
3.04%

Buckle Inc. (The) Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Buckle sells branded denim, casual apparel and footwear through roughly 450 mall-based and outlet stores across the US, selling mostly its own labels such as Levi's, BKE and Wrangler-adjacent denim lines bought from third-party suppliers. The model's edge is a high gross margin of 58.9% paired with a balance sheet that returns cash, which has produced a 45.8% return on equity and an operating margin of 17.4%. Revenue growth of 4.6% is modest, so the case rests on margin durability and cash returns rather than expansion. At 10.7 times trailing earnings and 13.7 times forward, the stock trades at a discount to the broader apparel group, though a score of 56 and no index membership suggest the market does not yet see a catalyst. The question for a PM is whether mall traffic and the denim cycle can hold these margins through the next year.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Score down 11 points
    ACCE score fell from 67 to 56 over 90 days, with Momentum at 23 and Growth at 28. Earnings are down 2.2% YoY despite revenue up 4.6%.
  • moderate
    Insider selling, no buying
    The last 10 disclosed insider transactions total $8.07M in sales and $0.00M in buys. Insiders hold 38.3% of shares.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest sits at 11.9% of shares, which signals meaningful bearish positioning in the stock.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-13 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Buckle generated $206M of free cash flow over the last twelve months, a large cash stream for a company this size.
  • The stock trades at a 10.1x trailing P/E against a sector median forward P/E of 17.5x, a discount on earnings.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $46.00 sits above the $44.51 share price, and the dividend yield is 3.2%.
Why it could disappoint
  • Analysts are not enthusiastic: none of the two covering analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy.
  • Revenue grew only 4.6% year over year, below the 7.6% average annual growth of the past five years.
  • Forward earnings per share are expected to fall below trailing levels, and the forward P/E of 13.7x already sits above the trailing 10.1x.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 20, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where BKE's valuation models land
Price
$46.54
Model fair value
$53.39
Model range
$27.59 to $77.35
Fair value $53.39
Price $46.54
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 2 covering analysts
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 2● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+0.1%
1 month
+12.3%
3 months
+9.6%
6 months
-17.1%
YTD
-12.9%
1 year
-16.8%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair value$53.39$54.99$46.57
21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$46.57
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$54.99$56.48$44.66
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$47.00first publication$44.16
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$56.48$57.27$42.27
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$57.27$56.68$41.75
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$56.68$57.58$40.29
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$57.58$58.56$40.77
6 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$58.56$59.79$43.15
4 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$59.79$58.98$43.26

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth28Value91Quality80Momentum23Total56
Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.9x
Forward P/E
13.7x
PEG
3.32
P/B
4.37x
EV / Revenue
1.7x
Book value/sh
$9.66
Enterprise value
$2.3B
Profitability
ROE
45.8%
FCF yield
8.68%
ROIC
21.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.90
Dividend yield
3.04%
Beta
1.05

Price

-16.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about BKE

Answered from Buckle Inc. (The) Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 6.1x10.9xhigh 16.6x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low 9%46%high 46%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%3.0%high 7.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
BKE Buckle Inc. (The) Common Stock$46.54$5313% below10.9x45.8%8056
AEO American Eagle Outfitters Inc. Common Stock$17.89$181% below9.2x20.0%5264
BOOT Boot Barn Holdings Inc. Common Stock$119.76$1127% above15.2x19.2%6962
PMV.AX Premier Investments LimitedA$13.37--16.6x13.2%7955
8227.T SHIMAMURA Co., Ltd.¥3300.00--15.6x9.0%5445
2670.T ABC-Mart,Inc.¥2987.00--15.4x12.0%7966
CRI Carter's Inc. Common Stock$33.93$354% below6.1x20.7%7265

Sector report card

Where BKE ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 8, 2026
    The Buckle, Inc. Reports September 2026 Net Sales
  • Business Wire•Sep 15, 2026
    The Buckle, Inc. Reports Quarterly Dividend
  • Business Wire•Sep 3, 2026
    The Buckle, Inc. Reports August 2026 Net Sales
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 19
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 15
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-15
View on SEC →
Sep 10
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-08-01
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR