BOOT

ACCE-researched
Boot Barn Holdings Inc. Common Stock
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail · NYSE · United States
$122.92+0.07%
Market cap $3.7BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Sep 19, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$122.92+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 4 of 6 models
Now $122.92
$122.92
$84.88$200.24
BuyBronze51
Price vs fair value
17.6% below
+21.3% to fair value
ACCE score
63
out of 100
Analysts
93% buy
15 covering
P/E
15.6x
forward 14.2x
1-year return
-31.2%
Dividend yield
0.00%
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Overview

ACCE thesis

Boot Barn operates 400+ western and work wear stores across the US, selling boots, apparel, and accessories from brands like Ariat, Carhartt, and Wrangler to ranchers, construction workers, and fashion-conscious consumers. The company benefits from the structural shift toward casual dress codes and the growing popularity of western fashion among younger demographics, particularly in expanding Sun Belt markets. Management targets 900 total stores by 2030, with new locations generating average annual sales of $2.8 million and reaching maturity within three years. Revenue jumped 16% last quarter while same-store sales climbed 5.8%, driven by exclusive product launches and the company's private label expansion. Trading at 15x forward earnings with 18.5% ROE, Boot Barn offers exposure to a fragmented market where the largest competitor has less than 2% share.

Written May 15, 2026
Reports in 44 days, last quarter beat by 0.4%.

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Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Price

-30.0% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

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The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish93% buy · 15 covering analysts
Strong buy 12 Buy 2 Hold 1 Sell 0 Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 6.3x15.6xhigh 15.6x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low 14%19%high 46%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 3.5%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
JD.LJD Sports Fashion$4.7B8.213.7%0.181.6%-Compare
AEOAmerican Eagle Outfitters Inc. Common Stock$2.5B7.720.0%0.193.4%-Compare
ANFAbercrombie & Fitch Company Common Stock$5.8B12.040.6%0.170.0%-Compare
URBNUrban Outfitters Inc. Common Stock$6.4B11.920.9%0.080.0%-Compare
BKEBuckle Inc. (The) Common Stock$2.1B9.345.8%0.203.5%-Compare
GAPGap Inc. (The) Common Stock$7.2B6.333.8%0.563.3%-Compare

Sector report card

Where BOOT ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 44 days, last quarter beat by 0.4%.

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Recent performance

1 week
-14.9%
1 month
-27.3%
3 months
-29.4%
6 months
-22.1%
YTD
-30.3%
1 year
-31.2%

SEC filings

31 filings of 40
September 2026
Sep 14
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-14
August 2026
Aug 27
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-26
July 2026
Jul 29
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-27
28 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR