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ANNA

AleAnna Inc. Class A Common Stock (ANNA) fair value

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P · NASDAQ · United States
$2.51+5.91%
Market cap $103MNext earnings 2026-11-11Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 202% above our fair value
Price
$2.51
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$0.83
Model range
$0.75 to $0.91
Fair value $0.83
Price $2.51
2 models fit AleAnna Inc. Class A Common Stock and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow and Graham number.
ACCE opinionAleAnna Inc. Class A Common Stock (ANNA)
Fair value (2 models)
$0.83
ACCE price target
$2.70
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST; previously $1.07 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
Price used: $2.51 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
201.7% above
-66.9% to fair value
ACCE score
67
out of 100
P/E
13.2x
1-year return
-32.2%
Dividend yield
0.00%

AleAnna Inc. Class A Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

AleAnna is a small Italian-focused natural gas producer, with its operations concentrated in the Po Valley, where it sells gas into the domestic market and has been building out production. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 13.5 and a 21.6% return on equity, and revenue grew 153.5% over the period, a rate that reflects the company scaling up from a small base rather than a mature business compounding. The thesis rests on whether that growth converts into durable cash flow: the 18.7% operating margin is respectable for an E&P at this size, but the 79.8% gross margin mostly reflects how the figure is defined for a producer and should not be read as pricing power. The near-term question for a PM is execution on the development drilling schedule and how much of the Italian gas price exposure is hedged, since both will determine whether the earnings base holds up. At a market capitalization of about $105M and no index membership, liquidity and coverage are thin, so this is a name that merits a deeper look only if the team is comfortable with small-cap E&P risk and the volatility that comes with it.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Insider selling outweighs buying
    Last 10 disclosed insider transactions show $0.00M in buys and $1.38M in sales, with no insider purchases in the window.
  • moderate
    Growth driven by sharp rebound
    Revenue up 153.5% YoY and earnings up 570.9% YoY from a low base; the 5y revenue CAGR is n/a, so the trend is hard to judge.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 15, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 153.5% year over year, and the company keeps a net margin of 25.2%.
  • Debt is small against equity, with a debt to equity ratio of 0.05, and return on equity reached 21.6%.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on invested capital is only 4.0%, and free cash flow over the last twelve months was just $3M.
  • The share count rose 6.1% last fiscal year, diluting existing holders, and the price implies 9.9% yearly cash flow growth forever.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 11, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where ANNA's valuation models land
Price
$2.51
Model fair value
$0.83
Model range
$0.75 to $0.91
Fair value $0.83
Price $2.51
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Graham number
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-1.6%
1 month
-8.7%
3 months
-24.6%
6 months
-36.5%
YTD
-12.8%
1 year
-32.2%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$2.38
21 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair value$0.83$1.07$2.38
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.07$1.11$2.65
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$2.70first publication$2.66
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.11$1.13$2.57
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.13$1.15$2.71
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.15$1.10$2.76
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.10$1.15$2.74
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.15$1.21$3.50
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.21$1.17$3.29

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value61Quality91Momentum17Total67
Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.2x
Forward P/E
no data
PEG
0.02
P/B
2.78x
EV / Revenue
2.0x
Book value/sh
$0.99
Enterprise value
$80M
Profitability
ROE
21.6%
FCF yield
3.27%
ROIC
4.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.05
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
-1.60

Price

-29.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about ANNA

Answered from AleAnna Inc. Class A Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 6.2x13.2xhigh 482.0x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 1%22%high 30%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 3.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
ANNA AleAnna Inc. Class A Common Stock$2.51$1202% above13.2x21.6%9167
CAPX.BA Capex S.AARS 3060.00--6.2x14.1%6664
VIST.BA Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V.ARS 40760.00--482.0x29.8%9165
TVE.TO Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.C$14.65C$143% above301.2x1.2%6379
PSK.TO PrairieSky Royalty Ltd.C$36.31C$15135% above35.3x9.3%8579
LB LandBridge Company LLC Class A Shares Representing Limited Liability Company Interests$76.96$23240% above70.0x11.5%6870
MUR Murphy Oil Corporation Common Stock$42.37$2757% above22.0x6.5%7584

Sector report card

Where ANNA ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 13, 2026
    AleAnna, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
  • GlobeNewswire•May 21, 2026
    AleAnna, Inc. Announces Receipt of Large D&M Prospective Resource Report and Significant Expansion of its 5-Year Development Plan
  • GlobeNewswire•May 14, 2026
    AleAnna, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2026 Results
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
27 filings of 34
August 2026
Aug 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-05
View on SEC →
Aug 13
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-13
View on SEC →
Aug 13
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
24 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR