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LB

LandBridge Company LLC Class A Shares Representing Limited Liability Company Interests (LB) fair value

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P · NYSE · United States
$79.14+2.83%
Market cap $6.2BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 18, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 250% above our fair value
Price
$79.14
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$22.60
Model range
$20.65 to $23.58
Fair value $22.60
Price $79.14
2 models fit LandBridge Company LLC Class A Shares Representing Limited Liability Company Interests and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze43
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
ACCE opinionLandBridge Company LLC Class A Shares Representing Limited Liability Company Interests (LB)
Fair value (2 models)
$22.60
ACCE price target
$89.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $14.64 since 25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $79.14 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
250.1% above
-71.4% to fair value
ACCE score
70
out of 100
Analysts
57% buy
7 covering
P/E
70.0x
forward 34.8x
1-year return
+32.4%
Dividend yield
0.62%

LandBridge Company LLC Class A Shares Representing Limited Liability Company Interests in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

LandBridge owns surface acreage in the Delaware Basin of West Texas, earning fees from pipeline rights-of-way, water infrastructure, and caliche and sand sales rather than producing oil itself, which is why gross margin runs at 98.8% and operating margin at 66.1%. The moat is the land: a large, contiguous position across the Permian's core that operators must cross to move oil, gas, and water, and that cannot be replicated. Revenue growth of 40.6% reflects steady expansion of those surface agreements as Permian drilling and midstream buildout continue, with fee income scaling against little incremental capital. Trailing earnings look expensive at 71.9 times, but the forward multiple of 21.6 times suggests the market is pricing in the earnings ramp, and an ROE of 11.5% is modest for a business this capital-light, which is worth probing in the balance sheet. At a 6.4 billion dollar market cap with no index membership, the name is off the radar of many institutional screens, so it merits a closer look at the sustainability of Delaware Basin activity and the lease terms behind the fee stream.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Extreme valuation stretch
    P/E of 72.2 and EV/EBITDA of 19.7 at a market cap of $6.4B. The price trades 250.1% above the model fair value of $22.60, so the model-based gap is wide enough to size positions carefully.
  • high
    Insider selling outweighs buying
    Last 10 disclosed insider trades total $7.95M in sales against $0.33M in buys. Insiders own only 1.1% of the company, so this selling is material relative to their stake.
  • moderate
    Leverage and short interest
    Debt/Equity of 1.65 is elevated, and short interest stands at 13.1% of shares. Heavy leverage plus a sizeable short position can amplify moves in either direction.
  • moderate
    Sequential revenue decline
    Revenue fell 10.2% quarter over quarter even though it grew 40.6% year over year. The recent trend is softer than the annual growth figure suggests.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 40.6% year over year and averaged 56.6% a year over five years, showing strong top-line momentum.
  • Free cash flow of $122M over the last twelve months and a 62.1% cut in the diluted share count give owners a bigger slice of the business.
Why it could disappoint
  • The shares trade 250.1% above the model fair value of $22.60, leaving little room for error if growth slows.
  • At 72.2x trailing earnings and a 1.9% free cash flow yield, the price assumes cash flow growth of 8.3% a year forever.
  • Return on invested capital of 2.7% is thin, and debt equals 1.65 times equity, so the business earns little on the money it uses.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where LB's valuation models land
Price
$79.14
Model fair value
$22.60
Model range
$20.65 to $23.58
Fair value $22.60
Price $79.14
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed57% buy · 7 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 2● Hold 3● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-3.0%
1 month
-3.6%
3 months
+3.7%
6 months
+15.9%
YTD
+61.5%
1 year
+32.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$81.57
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$22.60$14.64$81.57
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$89.00first publication$87.46
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$14.64$15.25$82.11
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$15.25$15.47$85.96
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$15.47$14.44$86.38
7 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$14.44$15.17$86.53
30 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$15.17$14.43$86.94
21 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$14.43$22.03$86.60
19 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$22.03$21.67$79.28

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value34Quality68Momentum77Total70
Valuation
Trailing P/E
70.0x
Forward P/E
34.8x
PEG
1.06
P/B
6.85x
EV / Revenue
13.0x
Book value/sh
$12.59
Enterprise value
$2.9B
Profitability
ROE
11.5%
FCF yield
1.93%
ROIC
2.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.65
Dividend yield
0.62%
Beta
0.18

Price

+32.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about LB

Answered from LandBridge Company LLC Class A Shares Representing Limited Liability Company Interests fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 9.9x70.0xhigh 293.0x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low 1%12%high 21%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 0.6%0.6%high 3.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
LB LandBridge Company LLC Class A Shares Representing Limited Liability Company Interests$79.14$23250% above70.0x11.5%6870
PSK.TO PrairieSky Royalty Ltd.C$36.31C$15135% above35.3x9.3%8579
MUR Murphy Oil Corporation Common Stock$42.37$2757% above22.0x6.5%7584
SCR.TO Strathcona Resources Ltd.C$42.84C$8047% below22.2x8.0%8185
MTDR Matador Resources Company Common Stock$56.79$8432% below9.9x13.6%8383
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation Class A Common Stock$25.27$3016% below11.5x20.8%9581
TVE.TO Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.C$14.65C$143% above293.0x1.2%6379

Sector report card

Where LB ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 13, 2026
    LandBridge Announces Completion of Conversion and Redomestication in Texas
  • Business Wire•Oct 5, 2026
    LandBridge Schedules Third Quarter Earnings Release and Conference Call
  • Business Wire•Sep 22, 2026
    LandBridge Announces Pricing of Upsized $125,000,000 Offering of Additional 6.250% Senior Notes due 2030
9 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 1
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 22
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-22
View on SEC →
Sep 22
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-22
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR