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AGNCM

AGNC Investment Corp. Depositary Shares rep 6.875% Series D Fixed-to-Floating Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (AGNCM) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · NASDAQ · United States
$24.44-0.21%
Market cap $8.8BNext earnings 2025-07-21Updated Oct 21, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 57% below our fair value
Price
$24.44
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$56.39
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a REIT (property company): Price to FFO and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionAGNC Investment Corp. Depositary Shares rep 6.875% Series D Fixed-to-Floating Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (AGNCM)
Fair value (3 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$24.50
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $24.44 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount and Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
58
out of 100
1-year return
-1.0%
Dividend yield
8.65%

AGNC Investment Corp. Depositary Shares rep 6.875% Series D Fixed-to-Floating Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

AGNCM is a preferred depositary share, each representing a fractional interest in AGNC Investment Corp.'s 6.875% Series D Fixed-to-Floating Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, so the claim on cash flow sits ahead of common equity while carrying no voting rights. AGNC's parent runs a leveraged portfolio of agency mortgage-backed securities, and the preferred gives holders a fixed coupon that resets to a floating rate, which makes the instrument's behavior tied to where short-term rates and the mortgage market settle. The reported 546.1% revenue growth and 95.6% operating margin mostly reflect the mechanics of a levered mortgage portfolio's interest income rather than an operating business, so those headline figures should not be read as a sign of durable expansion. The relevant question is whether the coupon is covered and whether the common dividend stays intact, since preferred holders depend on the same balance sheet. An ROE of 19.8% and an 8.8 billion USD market cap indicate scale, but the analyst's next step is to pull the parent's book value trend, leverage and dividend coverage before deciding whether the security merits a deeper look.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Leverage elevated for a REIT
    Debt/Equity of 8.21 is high even for a mortgage REIT, leaving little cushion if funding costs rise or mortgage spreads widen. Score fell 8 points over 90 days to 63.
  • moderate
    Multi-year revenue decline
    The 5-year revenue CAGR is -11.2%. The +546.1% year-on-year jump looks like a rebound from a depressed base and should not be read as sustained growth.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 15, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • The preferred pays a dividend yield of 8.6% at the current price, well above what most fixed income alternatives offer.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months came to $653M, a sizeable cash base behind the payouts.
  • Return on equity of 19.8% shows the company is turning its capital into earnings at a healthy rate.
Why it could disappoint
  • Debt to equity of 8.21 means the company runs very heavy leverage, which magnifies losses when rates swing.
  • The diluted share count rose 30.2% last fiscal year, diluting existing holders of the capital structure.
  • Return on invested capital of 1.2% is thin, suggesting the money put to work earns little beyond its cost.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where AGNCM's valuation models land
Price
$24.44
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$56.39
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
Price to FFO
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
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The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-1.1%
1 month
-2.9%
3 months
-1.9%
6 months
-1.7%
YTD
-0.3%
1 year
-1.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$24.50first publication$24.46
14 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$17.31$18.23$25.18
24 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$18.23$17.21$24.98
9 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$17.21$18.18$24.93
2 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$18.18first publication$24.88

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value29Quality62Momentum40Total58
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
no data
PEG
no data
P/B
0.00x
EV / Revenue
0.0x
Book value/sh
$9.08
Enterprise value
$105.1B
Profitability
ROE
0.9%
FCF yield
7.40%
ROIC
1.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
8.21
Dividend yield
8.65%
Beta
1.34

Price

-0.6% · 1Y

Ask anything about AGNCM

Answered from AGNC Investment Corp. Depositary Shares rep 6.875% Series D Fixed-to-Floating Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low 1%1%high 7%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 8.7%8.7%high 16.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
AGNCM AGNC Investment Corp. Depositary Shares rep 6.875% Series D Fixed-to-Floating Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock$24.44---0.9%6258
AGNCN AGNC Investment Corp. Depositary Shares Each Representing a 1/1000th Interest in a Share of 7.00% Series C Fixed-To-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock$25.22---0.9%6258
AGNC AGNC Investment Corp. Common Stock$8.89--177.8x0.9%6260
AGNCP AGNC Investment Corp. Depositary Shares Each Representing a 1/1000th Interest in a Share of 6.125% Series F Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock$24.67---0.9%6259
NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc. Common Stock$18.34--12.5x7.3%6762
RITM Rithm Capital Corp. Common Stock$8.68--15.7x5.6%4941
STWD STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST INC. Starwood Property Trust Inc.$12.58--21.0x3.7%4542

Sector report card

Where AGNCM ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 7, 2026
    AGNC Investment Corp. Declares Monthly Common Stock Dividend of $0.12 per Common Share for October 2026
  • PR Newswire•Sep 30, 2026
    AGNC Investment Corp. Announces Date for Third Quarter Earnings Release and Stockholder Call
  • PR Newswire•Sep 16, 2026
    AGNC Investment Corp. to Join the S&P MidCap 400 Index
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
37 filings
October 2026
Oct 19
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-19
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 11
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-11
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 21
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-19
View on SEC →
34 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR