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8303.T

SBI Shinsei Bank, Limited (8303.T) fair value

Financial Services · Banks - Regional · TSE · Japan
¥1508.00-0.85%
Market cap ¥1.34TNext earnings 2026-11-02Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 6% above our fair value
Price
¥1508.00
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
¥1423
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a bank: P/E comparison and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionSBI Shinsei Bank, Limited (8303.T)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
¥1521
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CEST.
Price used: ¥1508 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 08:30 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
61
out of 100
P/E
12.0x
1-year return
-100.0%
Dividend yield
1.31%

SBI Shinsei Bank, Limited in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

SBI Shinsei Bank runs a Japanese retail and corporate lending franchise spanning mortgages, consumer and card loans, and deposit-taking, with a notable presence in private banking and an investment banking arm that has grown alongside its ties to the SBI Group ecosystem. Its edge rests on a low-cost digital delivery model and a deep relationship with the SBI Group's brokerage and fintech network, which feeds customer acquisition without the branch overhead of the megabanks. Revenue has grown 25.1% over the latest reported period, and an operating margin of 28.6% against a trailing P/E of 12.1 suggests the market is still pricing this as an ordinary regional lender despite the earnings mix shifting toward fee income. The stock is not in any major index, which keeps coverage thin and may leave valuation gaps for a patient holder to examine. The forward multiple is unavailable in our data, so the case for a deeper look depends on whether the 25% growth rate holds up in the detailed filings.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where 8303.T's valuation models land
Price
¥1508.00
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
¥1423
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

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  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+2.0%
1 month
-7.9%
3 months
+5.9%
6 months
-10.6%
YTD
-13.3%
1 year
-100.0%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CESTACCE price target¥1521first publication¥1521

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in JPY. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth52Value100Quality65Momentum27Total61
Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.0x
Forward P/E
no data
PEG
no data
P/B
no data
EV / Revenue
no data
Book value/sh
no data
Enterprise value
no data
Profitability
ROE
no data
FCF yield
no data
ROIC
no data
Health and risk
Debt / equity
no data
Dividend yield
1.31%
Beta
no data

Price

-100.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about 8303.T

Answered from SBI Shinsei Bank, Limited fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 11.3x12.0xhigh 37.4x
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 1.3%1.3%high 3.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
8303.T SBI Shinsei Bank, Limited¥1508.00--12.0x-6561
7167.T Mebuki Financial Group,Inc.¥1477.50--14.4x9.2%6173
8354.T Fukuoka Financial Group, Inc.¥6859.00¥489440% above14.2x8.7%6171
5831.T Shizuoka Financial Group,Inc.¥2952.50¥201547% above15.7x8.2%6172
5844.T Kyoto Financial Group,Inc.¥4113.00¥216590% above11.3x7.9%6169
8331.T The Chiba Bank, Ltd.¥2467.00¥148666% above17.0x8.3%6180
8421.T Shinkin Central Bank¥187600.00--37.4x2.9%5549

Sector report card

Where 8303.T ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…