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XYF

X Financial American Depositary Shares each representing six Class A Ordinary Shares (XYF) fair value

Financial Services · Credit Services · NYSE · United States
$4.82-0.82%
Market cap $178MNext earnings 2026-11-19Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 20% below our fair value
Price
$4.82
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $6.00
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Treated as a growth company. None of the usual models had enough data, so this uses Analyst consensus and Dividend discount instead.
ACCE opinionX Financial American Depositary Shares each representing six Class A Ordinary Shares (XYF)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$5.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $4.82 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
47
out of 100
P/E
2.3x
forward 0.0x
1-year return
-62.0%
Dividend yield
11.52%

X Financial American Depositary Shares each representing six Class A Ordinary Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

X Financial is a China-based consumer credit platform that connects borrowers with bank and trust funding partners, and it earns service fees on loans it facilitates rather than carrying most of the balance sheet itself. The business is under heavy pressure: reported revenue fell 56.3% year over year, which is the core issue any investor has to get past before the low multiple means anything. Trailing earnings are still positive, with a 2.5 P/E, a 49.9% operating margin and 7.3% return on equity, but the forward P/E of 0.0 signals that the data provider has no usable earnings estimate, so the cheapness rests on a shrinking top line. The score of 53/100 and the absence of index membership point to a stock that screens as a deep-value or special-situation candidate rather than a quality compounder. It merits a deeper look only if the work can establish whether the revenue decline reflects a durable contraction in China's consumer lending demand or a one-time regulatory and partner-mix reset that could stabilize.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026

Next results

Nov 19, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where XYF's valuation models land
Price
$4.82
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $6.00
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Dividend discount
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-3.2%
1 month
-7.8%
3 months
+0.6%
6 months
-4.0%
YTD
-13.9%
1 year
-62.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$5.00first publication$5.03
6 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$5.01$4.14$5.53
28 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.14$4.75$5.29
26 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.75$4.23$5.21
20 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.23$3.62$5.45
14 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.62$3.69$5.27
9 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.69$3.64$4.99
2 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.64first publication$4.85

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value70Quality79Momentum31Total47
Valuation
Trailing P/E
2.3x
Forward P/E
0.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.17x
EV / Revenue
0.1x
Book value/sh
$30.93
Enterprise value
$71M
Profitability
ROE
7.3%
FCF yield
no data
ROIC
13.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.15
Dividend yield
11.52%
Beta
0.43

Price

-62.6% · 1Y

Ask anything about XYF

Answered from X Financial American Depositary Shares each representing six Class A Ordinary Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0x2.3xhigh 17.0x
ROEbetter than 20% of peers
low -11%7%high 26%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%11.5%high 11.5%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
XYF X Financial American Depositary Shares each representing six Class A Ordinary Shares$4.82--2.3x7.3%7947
INTRUM.ST Intrum AB (publ)kr 1.83----11.4%4635
HOFI.ST Hoist Finance AB (publ)kr 178.70kr 1639% above11.5x20.8%8185
HUDCO.NS Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited₹146.02--6.9x-7667
8252.T Marui Group Co., Ltd.¥2801.00--17.0x12.4%6253
GENTERA.MX GenteraMXN 37.41MXN 5532% below6.7x26.2%10059
8253.T Credit Saison Co., Ltd.¥4135.00--9.0x9.3%6462

Sector report card

Where XYF ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Aug 24, 2026
    X Financial Reports Second Quarter 2026 Unaudited Financial Results
  • PR Newswire•Aug 18, 2026
    X Financial to Report Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on August 24, 2026
  • PR Newswire•Jun 17, 2026
    X Financial Announces Leadership Change
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
10 filings of 36
August 2026
Aug 24
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-08-24
View on SEC →
Aug 3
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-01
View on SEC →
Aug 3
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-01
View on SEC →
7 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR