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WPC
ACCE-researched

W. P. Carey Inc. REIT (WPC) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Diversified · NYSE · United States
$63.90-0.99%
Market cap $14.7BNext earnings 2026-10-27Updated Oct 19, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 14% above our fair value
Price
$63.90
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$56.28
Model range
$28.41 to $84.15
Fair value $56.28
Price $63.90
2 models fit W. P. Carey Inc. REIT and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Bronze45
Valued as a REIT (property company): Price to FFO, Dividend discount, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionW. P. Carey Inc. REIT (WPC)
Fair value (2 models)
$56.28
ACCE price target
$66.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST; previously $38.49 since 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST.
Price used: $63.90 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount and Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
13.5% above
-11.9% to fair value
ACCE score
65
out of 100
Analysts
53% buy
15 covering
P/E
22.1x
forward 24.2x
1-year return
-5.9%
Dividend yield
5.91%

W. P. Carey Inc. REIT in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

W. P. Carey owns a diversified portfolio of net-leased industrial, warehouse, office and retail properties, with tenants on long-term triple-net leases that push most property costs onto the occupier. The structural edge is that rent escalators and contractual lease terms give it highly visible cash flow, reflected in a 94.4% gross margin and a 59.3% operating margin. The near-term growth driver is its ability to keep acquiring net-leased assets at spreads over its cost of capital, with reported revenue growth of 18.4% signalling that this acquisition engine is working. At a 21.8x trailing and 20.2x forward P/E, the stock is priced for continued execution, while a 7.8% ROE is modest for a company of its size and leverage profile, so the question for a deeper look is whether acquisition-led growth is translating into per-share returns. The name is outside major index memberships, which keeps it off many passive flows, and the 65/100 score sits in the middle of our screen, so this warrants a closer review of the lease maturity schedule and funding costs before any position is considered.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    ACCE score deterioration
    Score fell 6 points to 62/100 in 90 days. Momentum subscore at 25/100 signals weakening technical setup despite solid fundamentals.
  • moderate
    Valuation stretched vs model
    Forward P/E 20.1 and EV/EBITDA 15.1 are elevated for a REIT with 5y CAGR of only 5.1%.
  • moderate
    Earnings spike not sustainable
    YoY earnings up 256.5% but revenue only +18.4%, suggesting one-time gains or accounting items. QoQ growth slowed to 1.1%, indicating deceleration.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue jumped 18.4% year over year while free cash flow reached $1.1B, showing strong operational momentum.
  • Free cash flow yield of 7.6% exceeds the dividend yield of 6.0%, leaving room for distribution growth.
  • Analyst mean price target of $78.14 implies 23.3% upside from the current $63.37 share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on invested capital of 2.3% and ROE of 7.8% are weak for a REIT trading at 21.7x trailing P/E.
  • Debt to equity of 1.02 leaves limited cushion if refinancing costs rise or occupancy declines.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 27, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where WPC's valuation models land
Price
$63.90
Model fair value
$56.28
Model range
$28.41 to $84.15
Fair value $56.28
Price $63.90
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Price to FFO
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed53% buy · 15 covering analysts
● Strong buy 4● Buy 4● Hold 7● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-1.9%
1 month
-3.9%
3 months
-16.7%
6 months
-12.6%
YTD
-0.7%
1 year
-5.9%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$65.14
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTFair value$56.28$38.49$65.14
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$38.49$45.67$63.37
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$45.67$46.19$64.52
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$46.19$46.82$65.82
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$66.00first publication$65.95
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$46.82$47.34$65.95
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$47.34$49.53$69.19
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$49.53$50.36$69.55
31 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$50.36$50.92$70.51

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth88Value65Quality76Momentum31Total65
Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.1x
Forward P/E
24.2x
PEG
0.09
P/B
1.75x
EV / Revenue
13.3x
Book value/sh
$38.07
Enterprise value
$23.8B
Profitability
ROE
7.8%
FCF yield
7.42%
ROIC
2.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.07
Dividend yield
5.91%
Beta
0.77

Price

-4.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about WPC

Answered from W. P. Carey Inc. REIT fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 8.6x22.1xhigh 22.5x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low 5%8%high 15%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 1.1%5.9%high 7.8%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
WPC W. P. Carey Inc. REIT$63.90$5614% above22.1x7.8%7665
VICI VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock$23.76$241% below9.0x9.8%8155
LAND.L Land Securities Group Plc£6.58£545% above14.5x5.3%7763
SGP.AX StocklandA$4.25A$513% below10.4x9.5%7364
CHC.AX Charter Hall GroupA$20.03A$1352% above22.5x15.3%8142
GPT.AX The GPT GroupA$4.75A$624% below8.6x10.0%8155
GMG.AX Goodman GroupA$25.27A$2216% above19.7x11.5%8564

Sector report card

Where WPC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 6, 2026
    W. P. Carey to Release Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on Tuesday, October 27, 2026
  • PR Newswire•Sep 18, 2026
    W. P. Carey Increases Quarterly Dividend to $0.950 per Share
  • PR Newswire•Sep 10, 2026
    W. P. Carey Provides Business Update on Investment Activity and Tenant Credit
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 10
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-10
View on SEC →
July 2026
Jul 29
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR