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VICI
ACCE-researched

VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock (VICI) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Diversified · NYSE · United States
$23.76-1.08%
Market cap $26.4BNext earnings 2026-10-28Updated Oct 20, 2026
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Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$23.76
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$24.09
Model range
$16.66 to $30.33
Fair value $24.09
Price $23.76
3 models fit VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)
Valued as a REIT (property company): Price to FFO, Dividend discount, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionVICI Properties Inc. Common Stock (VICI)
Fair value (3 models)
$24.09
ACCE price target
$30.00
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $24.63 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $23.76 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: EV/EBITDA comparison, Dividend discount, and Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
1.4% below
+1.4% to fair value
ACCE score
55
out of 100
Analysts
64% buy
25 covering
P/E
9.0x
forward 7.8x
1-year return
-24.4%
Dividend yield
7.78%

VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

VICI Properties owns a portfolio of gaming and experiential real estate, most notably the Caesars Palace and Venetian-related properties it leases to operators under long-term triple-net contracts, so the company collects rent without running the casinos. That lease structure is the core of the case: a 99.3% gross margin and a 70.2% operating margin show how little cost sits between rent received and cash earned. Revenue growth of 5.7% is steady rather than spectacular, and the near-term driver is contractual rent escalators plus new acquisitions funded from its balance sheet. At a trailing P/E of 9.0 and a forward P/E of 7.7, the stock trades cheaply against its earnings, while a 9.8% ROE and a composite score of 53/100 suggest the returns and quality profile are middling and warrant a closer look at leverage and tenant concentration before any conclusion. The name is not in any index membership in this dataset, which may partly explain the low multiple, so the question for the deeper review is whether the discount reflects real risk or simply limited ownership.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings collapse
    YoY earnings down 41.4% despite 5.7% revenue growth. Operating leverage broken; net margin 67.5% masks underlying operational deterioration.
  • high
    ACCE score freefall
    Score dropped 16 points in 90 days (66 to 50). Growth pillar collapsed from prior strength; Quality and Momentum both weak at 81 and 17.
  • moderate
    Valuation disconnect
    Earnings miss and score deterioration suggest model assumptions may not hold.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Trading at 8.9x trailing P/E with 64% of analysts rating Buy or Strong Buy, suggesting meaningful upside.
  • Net margin of 67.5% and free cash flow of $267M demonstrate the REIT's ability to generate cash from its gaming property portfolio.
  • Analyst mean price target of $31.58 implies 38.0% upside from current levels, with all 3 valuation models supporting consensus fair value.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow yield of only 1.1% is thin for a REIT, leaving little margin for error or tenant stress.
  • Revenue growth has decelerated sharply to 5.7% year over year from a 15.5% five-year average, signaling slowing momentum.
  • ROE of 9.8% and ROIC of 5.1% lag the cost of capital for a leveraged REIT, destroying shareholder value over time.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 28, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where VICI's valuation models land
Price
$23.76
Model fair value
$24.09
Model range
$16.66 to $30.33
Fair value $24.09
Price $23.76
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Price to FFO
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish64% buy · 25 covering analysts
● Strong buy 12● Buy 4● Hold 9● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+0.7%
1 month
+0.3%
3 months
-11.1%
6 months
-16.4%
YTD
-15.5%
1 year
-24.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$24.09$24.63$23.10
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$23.10
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$24.63$25.13$22.94
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$25.13$32.20$22.88
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$30.00first publication$23.98
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$32.20$32.56$23.72
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$32.56$33.32$24.83
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$33.32$33.85$24.73
1 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$33.85$35.69$25.87
26 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$35.69$35.19$26.70

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth28Value95Quality81Momentum17Total55
Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.0x
Forward P/E
7.8x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.89x
EV / Revenue
10.7x
Book value/sh
$26.49
Enterprise value
$43.7B
Profitability
ROE
9.8%
FCF yield
9.49%
ROIC
5.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.64
Dividend yield
7.78%
Beta
0.67

Price

-23.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about VICI

Answered from VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 8.6x9.0xhigh 22.5x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low 5%10%high 15%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 1.1%7.8%high 7.8%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
VICI VICI Properties Inc. Common Stock$23.76$241% below9.0x9.8%8155
GMG.AX Goodman GroupA$26.22A$2220% above19.7x11.5%8564
WPC W. P. Carey Inc. REIT$64.54$5615% above22.1x7.8%7665
LAND.L Land Securities Group Plc£6.58£545% above14.5x5.3%7763
SGP.AX StocklandA$4.19A$514% below10.4x9.5%7364
CHC.AX Charter Hall GroupA$19.52A$1348% above22.5x15.3%8142
GPT.AX The GPT GroupA$4.68A$625% below8.6x10.0%8155

Sector report card

Where VICI ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 8, 2026
    CORRECTING and REPLACING: VICI Properties Inc. Announces Release Date for Third Quarter 2026 Results
  • Business Wire•Sep 28, 2026
    VICI Properties Inc. Enters Into Agreements Relating to Century Mile and Century Downs in Alberta, Canada
  • Business Wire•Sep 22, 2026
    VICI Properties Inc. Formally Appoints John M. Sullivan to Board of Directors
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR