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W

Wayfair Inc. Class A Common Stock (W) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail · NYSE · United States
$112.49-0.88%
Market cap $15.5BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 161% above our fair value
Price
$112.49
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$43.12
Model range
$33.20 to $52.22
Fair value $43.12
Price $112
2 models fit Wayfair Inc. Class A Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze49
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
ACCE opinionWayfair Inc. Class A Common Stock (W)
Fair value (2 models)
$43.12
ACCE price target
$105
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CEST; previously $40.34 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CEST.
Price used: $112 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
160.9% above
-61.7% to fair value
ACCE score
47
out of 100
Analysts
61% buy
33 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 25.8x
1-year return
+35.3%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Wayfair Inc. Class A Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Wayfair sells furniture, home goods and home décor online through its own sites (Wayfair, AllModern, Joss & Main, Birch Lane) and runs one of the largest home-category e-commerce catalogs in the US, with a logistics network built to ship bulky items direct. The structural case rests on that scale and on the catalog depth it supports, though a 3.0% operating margin against a 30.3% gross margin shows how much of the economics still goes to fulfillment and marketing. Revenue growth of 7.5% is the number to watch: it signals the top line is recovering from a weak housing and discretionary cycle, but the margin structure has to convert that growth into operating leverage before the stock earns a deeper look. The forward P/E of 27.7 prices in that improvement, and the trailing P/E is not meaningful because earnings are thin. With a 47/100 score and no index membership, the name screens as a turnaround candidate that needs evidence of sustained margin expansion before it merits a full model.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Insider selling, no buys
    Insiders disclosed $29.80M in sales across the last 10 filings and zero buys, while the stock trades 160.9% above the model fair value of $43.12.
  • high
    Earnings falling sharply
    Earnings are down 55.1% year on year while revenue grew 7.5%, and net margin is -2.5%, so the top line is not reaching the bottom line.
  • moderate
    Heavy short interest
    Short interest stands at 13.8% of shares, meaning a meaningful bearish bet is already in place against the stock.
  • moderate
    Thin operating margin, negative equity
    Operating margin is 3.0% and debt to equity is -1.46, a sign of negative book equity that leaves little cushion if sales soften.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Trailing free cash flow of $329M shows the business still generates real cash despite losses.
  • Revenue grew 7.5% year over year, and the latest quarter beat earnings expectations by 54.5%.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $122.69 sits 9.6% above the current share price, and 61% of analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin of -2.5% means the company still loses money on each dollar of sales.
  • Shares trade at 160.9% above the model fair value of $43.12, and both valuation models point well below the price.
  • Revenue has shrunk 2.5% a year on average over five years, and the share count rose 6.0% last fiscal year.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where W's valuation models land
Price
$112.49
Model fair value
$43.12
Model range
$33.20 to $52.22
Fair value $43.12
Price $112
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish61% buy · 33 covering analysts
● Strong buy 15● Buy 5● Hold 12● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
3 buys · 0 sells
Since May 1, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
20 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+4.9%
1 month
+13.1%
3 months
+33.6%
6 months
+42.8%
YTD
+12.0%
1 year
+35.3%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$112
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTFair value$43.12$40.34$112
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$40.34$32.05$108
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$105first publication$105
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$32.05$32.85$101
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$32.85$29.85$98.15
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$29.85$33.07$103
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$33.07$33.48$105
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$33.48$34.08$98.57
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$34.08$34.56$100

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth28Value32Quality29Momentum97Total47
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
25.8x
PEG
23.50
P/B
2679.46x
EV / Revenue
1.2x
Book value/sh
$-20.43
Enterprise value
$15.8B
Profitability
ROE
0.0%
FCF yield
2.20%
ROIC
no data
Health and risk
Debt / equity
-1.46
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
3.02

Price

+35.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about W

Answered from Wayfair Inc. Class A Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 358.8x
ROEbetter than 40% of peers
low -38%0%high 72%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 2.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
W Wayfair Inc. Class A Common Stock$112.49$43161% above-0.0%2947
DHER.DE Delivery Hero SE€37.45----37.8%2154
CART Maplebear Inc. Common Stock$51.68$4030% above27.5x16.0%7976
4689.T LY Corporation¥522.80--17.7x8.3%7171
NYKAA.NS FSN E-Commerce Ventures Limited₹321.90--358.8x-5560
CPNG Coupang Inc. Class A Common Stock$13.99$1131% above--20.0%3031
CHWY Chewy Inc. Class A Common Stock$22.33$2010% above32.8x72.0%5754

Sector report card

Where W ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 14, 2026
    Introducing Perigold Insider, an Elevated Loyalty Program Designed for Luxury Home
  • PR Newswire•Oct 1, 2026
    Wayfair Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call
  • Business Wire•Sep 25, 2026
    Baseten Names Sheila Vashee Chief Marketing Officer
7 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 19
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
Oct 19
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
Oct 19
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR