3 models fit Valvoline Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Discount(i)Silver62
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionValvoline Inc. Common Stock (VVV)
Fair value (3 models)
$41.10
ACCE price target
$34.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST; previously $41.67 since 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: $31.63 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
23.0% below
+29.9% to fair value
ACCE score
60
out of 100
Analysts
75% buy
16 covering
P/E
39.0x
forward 16.1x
1-year return
-6.5%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Valvoline Inc. Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Valvoline runs quick-lube service centers under the Valvoline Instant Oil Change banner and sells its own branded motor oils, filters and automotive chemicals through them and through retail channels. The franchise and company-owned store base gives it a recurring, maintenance-driven revenue stream that is less exposed to new-vehicle sales cycles than most of the auto sector. Revenue growth of 24.1% is well ahead of what a mature service business would usually post, and a 21.0% operating margin with a 28.4% ROE says the economics are working, not just the top line. The stock trades at 39.0 times trailing earnings but 13.5 times forward, a gap that implies the market is either skeptical of the current earnings base or expects sharp normalization, which is the question to answer before going further.