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VRDN

Viridian Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock (VRDN) fair value

Healthcare · Biotechnology · NASDAQ · United States
$22.37-1.97%
Market cap $2.6BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 17, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$22.37
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $21.79
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionViridian Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock (VRDN)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$18.40
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $22.37 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
46
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
17 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 1.0x
1-year return
+1.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Viridian Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Viridian is a clinical-stage biotech developing veligrotug, an intravenous anti-IGF-1R antibody for thyroid eye disease, and VRDN-001 and VRDN-003 for the same indication and for other IGF-1R-mediated disorders. Its edge rests on the drug's dosing profile and on a regulatory path to market in a condition with few approved options, though the company has no approved product yet and the investment case depends entirely on pipeline execution. Reported revenue growth of 278.7% reflects collaboration or licensing income off a very small base, not product sales, and the operating margin of roughly -44,000% shows a company spending far more than it earns. The near-term catalysts are Phase 3 readouts and regulatory filings, and the score of 46/100 with no index membership suggests the data does not yet support a higher conviction view. This warrants a deeper look at the trial data and cash runway, not a conclusion from these numbers alone.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Heavy cash burn
    Free cash flow is -$276.9M against a $2.5B market cap, and operating margin is -44,460.6%. The company is spending far more than it earns and will need new capital or partners.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest stands at 16.4% of the float. That is a meaningful bet against the stock and can amplify price swings on news.
  • moderate
    Price above ACCE target
    The stock trades 21.6% above the ACCE price target of $18.40, with the current price at $22.37. The score has risen 9 points over 90 days, but the valuation gap is still wide.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 278.7% year over year, and the company has averaged 132.2% annual growth over five years.
  • Analysts' mean price target sits 63.8% above the current share price of $22.37.
Why it could disappoint
  • The company still loses money, with a net margin of 0.0% and free cash flow of -$277M over the last twelve months.
  • Shareholders are diluted: the diluted share count rose 24.9% in the last fiscal year.
  • The latest earnings per share missed expectations, coming in at -1.05 against -0.97 expected, an 8.2% surprise.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where VRDN's valuation models land
Price
$22.37
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $21.79
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Sales comps
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 17 covering analysts
● Strong buy 14● Buy 3● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+17.6%
1 month
+4.4%
3 months
+16.1%
6 months
+62.9%
YTD
-28.1%
1 year
+1.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$18.40first publication$18.66

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value11Quality31Momentum77Total46
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
1.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
4.30x
EV / Revenue
25.1x
Book value/sh
$4.98
Enterprise value
$1.8B
Profitability
ROE
-65.7%
FCF yield
-10.71%
ROIC
-36.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.07
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.10

Price

+0.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about VRDN

Answered from Viridian Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 254.2x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -66%-66%high 20%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
VRDN Viridian Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock$22.37----65.7%3146
BIOA-B.ST BioArctic AB (publ)kr 300.00kr 25916% above254.2x5.2%6238
BAVA.CO Bavarian Nordic A/Skr 247.40kr 2574% below12.7x12.2%8686
ZEAL.CO Zealand Pharma A/Skr 226.00--5.8x16.3%9051
CAMX.ST Camurus AB (publ)kr 666.00kr 325105% above58.8x15.9%9055
BIOCON.NS Biocon Limited₹323.50--97.7x-6752
KRYS Krystal Biotech Inc. Common Stock$311.50$153104% above40.1x20.1%9571

Sector report card

Where VRDN ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 2, 2026
    Viridian Therapeutics to Participate in the Wells Fargo 21st Annual Healthcare Conference
  • Business Wire•Aug 6, 2026
    Viridian Therapeutics Highlights Recent Business Progress and Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
  • PR Newswire•Jul 29, 2026
    Graves Ophthalmopathy Market Expected to Witness Rapid Expansion at a CAGR of 9% During the Forecast Period (2026-2036), Driven by the Recent Approval of Viridian's LUMVOA and the Launch of Emerging Therapies | DelveInsight
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
32 filings of 40
August 2026
Aug 20
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-19
View on SEC →
Aug 18
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-14
View on SEC →
Aug 6
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-06
View on SEC →
29 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR