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VILN.SW

Villars Holding S.A. (VILN.SW) fair value

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores · SIX · Switzerland
CHF 580.00+0.00%
Market cap CHF 61MNext earnings 2020-09-08Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 16% above our fair value
Price
CHF 580.00
Model fair valueConfidence: good
CHF 502
Model range
CHF 146 to CHF 768
Fair value CHF 502
Price CHF 580
3 models fit Villars Holding S.A. and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionVillars Holding S.A. (VILN.SW)
Fair value (3 models)
CHF 502
ACCE price target
CHF 560
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CEST.
Rating published on 23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CEST.
Price used: CHF 580 at the close on 22 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
15.6% above
-13.5% to fair value
ACCE score
39
out of 100
P/E
27.5x
1-year return
-4.1%
Dividend yield
1.55%

Villars Holding S.A. in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Villars Holding runs a small Swiss grocery and retail operation, a niche player in a market dominated by larger chains, valued at about CHF 61M. Its moat is local and modest rather than structural: a 39.2% gross margin suggests some pricing or mix advantage in its stores, but a 4.4% operating margin and a 2.3% ROE show little of it reaching shareholders. Revenue is shrinking 1.5% a year, and the stock trades at 27.5 times trailing earnings with no forward estimate, so there is no visible earnings catalyst in the data. What makes it worth a look is the gap between a healthy gross margin and a thin operating margin, which points to either cost inefficiency that could be fixed or a structurally unprofitable store base. Only a closer read of the filings will tell which, and it should be done before any position is considered.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where VILN.SW's valuation models land
Price
CHF 580.00
Model fair value
CHF 502
Model range
CHF 146 to CHF 768
Fair value CHF 502
Price CHF 580
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
-2.5%
1 month
-0.9%
3 months
-3.3%
6 months
-3.3%
YTD
+0.0%
1 year
-4.1%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publicationCHF 580
23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CESTFair valueCHF 502first publicationCHF 580
23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CESTACCE price targetCHF 560first publicationCHF 580

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in CHF. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value60Quality47Momentum40Total39
Valuation
Trailing P/E
27.5x
Forward P/E
no data
PEG
no data
P/B
0.60x
EV / Revenue
1.1x
Book value/sh
CHF 1039.37
Enterprise value
CHF 74M
Profitability
ROE
2.3%
FCF yield
17.84%
ROIC
1.6%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.37
Dividend yield
1.55%
Beta
0.17

Price

-4.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about VILN.SW

Answered from Villars Holding S.A. fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0x27.5xhigh 27.5x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -47%2%high 10%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%1.6%high 2.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 22, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
VILN.SW Villars Holding S.A.CHF 580.00CHF 50216% above27.5x2.3%4739
CO.PA Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A.€0.18----46.7%2438
VHUB VenHub Global Inc. Common Stock$0.34---0.0%1626
DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Limited American Depositary Shares (each two representing three Ordinary Shares)$1.96---1.0%3247
DNUT Krispy Kreme Inc. Common Stock$2.82----13.7%2119
HFG.DE HelloFresh€3.09€863% below--5.3%3835
VLGEA Village Super Market Inc. Class A Common Stock$45.09$5721% below12.2x10.3%4759

Sector report card

Where VILN.SW ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…