Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts · NASDAQ · United States
$76.37-6.52%
Market cap $1.9BNext earnings 2026-10-22Updated Oct 18, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 34% below our fair value
Price
$76.37
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$115
Model range
$36.47 to $175
Fair value $115
Price $76.37
5 models fit Visteon Corporation Common Stock and they disagree: 2 of 5 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Bronze52
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionVisteon Corporation Common Stock (VC)
Fair value (5 models)
$115
ACCE price target
$95.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $117 since 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $76.37 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
33.5% below
+50.4% to fair value
ACCE score
41
out of 100
Analysts
64% buy
11 covering
P/E
20.8x
forward 7.6x
1-year return
-30.7%
Dividend yield
1.84%
Visteon Corporation Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Visteon designs and makes automotive cockpit electronics, including digital instrument clusters, infotainment head units and driver-monitoring software, sold mainly to global automakers. Its structural argument rests on a shift in content per vehicle: as cockpits move from analog gauges to large software-defined displays, Visteon's engineering and software capabilities are monetised on more dollars per car, and its cost base is lighter than that of traditional parts makers. The near-term catalyst is order-book conversion into launches, though revenue shrank 0.9% over the period, so the market still needs proof that award volume turns into top-line growth. What makes the name worth a look now is the valuation gap: the trailing P/E of 16.2 compares with a forward P/E of 9.1, implying earnings expected to rise sharply, while a 7.8% operating margin and 9.5% ROE sit above what the weak top line alone would suggest. The score of 43/100 and absence from any index point to a stock the market is still underwriting, so the case depends on whether the forward earnings estimate holds.
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Earnings falling sharply
Earnings are down 30.0% YoY while revenue slipped 0.9%, so margins are compressing. Net margin of +3.8% and operating margin of +7.8% leave little cushion.
high
Heavy short interest
Short interest stands at 18.0% of float. Combined with falling earnings, that signals meaningful bearish positioning and potential for volatility.
moderate
Score deteriorated over 90 days
The ACCE score fell 12 points, from 55 to 43, over 90 days. Quality (44) and momentum (25) are the weak components, while value (96) is strong.
moderate
Insider selling, no buying
Insiders disclosed $0.95M in sales and $0.00M in purchases across the last 10 disclosed transactions. Insider ownership is only 1.8%.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
At $87.25, the stock yields 11.7% in free cash flow, and the company generated $277M over the last twelve months.
The stock trades at 8.4x forward earnings against a sector median of 17.5x, a steep discount to peers.
Five-year revenue has averaged 8.1% annual growth, and the share count fell 1.1% last year, supporting per-share value.
Why it could disappoint
Revenue fell 0.9% year over year, and the latest quarter missed earnings expectations by 14.3%.
Return on invested capital of 7.8% and a 3.8% net margin leave little room for error in a cyclical auto supplier.
The price implies just 1.0% yearly cash flow growth over five years, so the market doubts a recovery, and auto production cycles remain a risk.
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where VC's valuation models land
Price
$76.37
Model fair value
$115
Model range
$36.47 to $175
Fair value $115
Price $76.37
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.
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+Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores