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UVE

UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC Common Stock (UVE) fair value

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · NYSE · United States
$48.84+0.91%
Market cap $1.3BNext earnings 2026-10-22Updated Oct 19, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 44% below our fair value
Price
$48.84
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$87.18
Model range
$77.37 to $98.95
Fair value $87.18
Price $48.84
2 models fit UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC Common Stock and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Gold87
Valued as an insurer: Residual income, P/E comparison, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionUNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC Common Stock (UVE)
Fair value (2 models)
$87.18
ACCE price target
$48.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $87.65 since 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST.
Price used: $48.84 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount, P/E comparison, and Residual income.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
44.0% below
+78.5% to fair value
ACCE score
80
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
1 covering
P/E
6.4x
forward 10.0x
1-year return
+70.6%
Dividend yield
1.34%

UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Universal Insurance Holdings writes homeowners coverage in Florida through its Universal Property & Casualty subsidiary and runs a fast-growing agency and reinsurance-sidecar business alongside it, with a footprint concentrated in one of the most hurricane-exposed states in the country. The structural edge is the company's position as a large, established writer in a market where capacity has been scarce and rates have reset upward since 2022, which has let it grow premium while peers retreated. The near-term driver is continued rate adequacy in Florida homeowners plus the earnings leverage that comes with a 40.2% ROE on a business trading at 6.2 times trailing earnings and 10.0 times forward. Revenue growth of 6.7% and a 19.1% operating margin suggest the profit pool is holding up even as catastrophe exposure remains the obvious swing factor, so the valuation gap versus the broader P&C group is the first thing to test before anything else. Worth a deeper look to check reserve adequacy, reinsurance costs for the coming season, and how much of the current multiple reflects a normalised hurricane year.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 1 flagAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Revenue growth slowing
    Revenue grew 6.7% year over year against a 5-year CAGR of 8.3%, and quarter over quarter revenue fell 3.5%. Earnings strength is not yet matched by top-line momentum.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow of $377M over the last twelve months shows the business turns its earnings into real cash.
  • Return on equity of 40.2% and debt to equity of 0.18 suggest strong profitability on a lightly borrowed balance sheet.
  • The latest quarterly earnings beat expectations, with earnings per share of 1.84 against 1.43 expected, a surprise of +28.7%.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue grew 6.7% year over year, slower than its 8.3% average over five years.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $45.00 sits 4.5% below the current price, and none rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where UVE's valuation models land
Price
$48.84
Model fair value
$87.18
Model range
$77.37 to $98.95
Fair value $87.18
Price $48.84
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
P/E comparison
Residual income
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 1 covering analyst
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+3.7%
1 month
+15.0%
3 months
+17.4%
6 months
+23.7%
YTD
+44.5%
1 year
+70.6%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$47.12
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$86.65$87.65$47.08
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$48.00first publication$45.85
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$87.65$72.35$46.97
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$72.35$73.30$42.14
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$73.30$74.34$43.03
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$74.34$75.25$44.70
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$75.25$76.76$44.33
8 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$76.76$66.95$44.14
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$66.95$75.84$44.77

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value74Quality85Momentum97Total80
Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.4x
Forward P/E
10.0x
PEG
0.09
P/B
1.86x
EV / Revenue
0.5x
Book value/sh
$22.89
Enterprise value
$748M
Profitability
ROE
40.2%
FCF yield
27.99%
ROIC
23.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.18
Dividend yield
1.34%
Beta
0.70

Price

+52.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about UVE

Answered from UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0x6.4xhigh 19.1x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -27%40%high 54%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%1.3%high 1.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
UVE UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC Common Stock$48.84$8744% below6.4x40.2%8580
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. Common Stock$60.39$577% above14.0x17.3%6882
SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings Inc. Common Stock$28.55$5448% below6.7x53.9%10088
LMND Lemonade Inc. Common Stock$44.92----27.0%3936
PLMR Palomar Holdings Inc. Common stock$141.78$10437% above19.1x22.2%8075
Q.MX Qualitas ControladoraMXN 190.30MXN 11960% above17.8x17.2%5356
WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd. Common Stock$2225.24$364039% below5.1x20.4%9175

Sector report card

Where UVE ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 8, 2026
    Universal Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Dates
  • Business Wire•Jun 22, 2026
    KBRA Assigns Rating to Senior Unsecured Notes Issued by Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-11
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 7
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-05
View on SEC →
July 2026
Jul 30
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-07-28
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR