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PLMR

Palomar Holdings Inc. Common stock (PLMR) fair value

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · NASDAQ · United States
$141.78-1.90%
Market cap $3.7BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 37% above our fair value
Price
$141.78
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$104
Model range
$92.47 to $119
Fair value $104
Price $142
2 models fit Palomar Holdings Inc. Common stock and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Silver69
Valued as an insurer: Residual income and P/E comparison.
ACCE opinionPalomar Holdings Inc. Common stock (PLMR)
Fair value (2 models)
$104
ACCE price target
$148
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $105 since 29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CEST.
Price used: $142 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison and Residual income.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
36.7% above
-26.9% to fair value
ACCE score
75
out of 100
Analysts
88% buy
8 covering
P/E
19.1x
forward 12.6x
1-year return
+24.7%
Dividend yield
1.24%

Palomar Holdings Inc. Common stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Palomar writes specialty property insurance, mainly earthquake, inland marine and excess and surplus lines, distributed through a network of program managers and retail agents. Its edge is underwriting discipline in catastrophe-exposed lines where few carriers have the expertise, and the 22.2% ROE and 23.8% operating margin reflect that. The main near-term driver is premium growth, with revenue up 54.7%, as hardening rates in property cat reinsurance and an expanding set of programs keep adding business. At a 17.9 trailing P/E and a $3.6B market cap, the stock is a small-cap specialty carrier that is growing far faster than its earnings multiple suggests, though a single large cat event would test that growth and the sustainability of its margins.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Rich valuation versus model
    Price trades 36.7% above the model fair value of $103.69, so the stock already prices in a lot of the growth case.
  • moderate
    Growth may decelerate
    Revenue grew 54.7% year on year, but earnings grew only 15.5%, so profit is lagging the top line and the gap needs watching.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 19, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 54.7% year over year, well above its 39.1% average annual pace over five years.
  • Net margin of 18.6% and return on equity of 22.2% show the business turns sales into profit efficiently.
  • Free cash flow of $402M over the last twelve months, with debt to equity of 0.01, leaves the balance sheet almost free of borrowing.
Why it could disappoint
  • Shares trade at 36.7% above the model fair value of $103.69, which the valuation consensus does not support.
  • The diluted share count rose 4.8% last fiscal year, so each share owns a smaller piece of the business.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where PLMR's valuation models land
Price
$141.78
Model fair value
$104
Model range
$92.47 to $119
Fair value $104
Price $142
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
P/E comparison
Residual income
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish88% buy · 8 covering analysts
● Strong buy 4● Buy 3● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+1.6%
1 month
+11.5%
3 months
+3.1%
6 months
+12.5%
YTD
+5.2%
1 year
+24.7%

SEC filings

Held by ETFs

ETFs we cover that hold Palomar Holdings Inc. Common stock among their largest holdings, by weight.

  • KIE · SPDR S&P Insurance ETF2.0% of the fund
Holdings as of 2026-10-24

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$138
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$148first publication$131
6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$103$105$126
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$105$106$124
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$106$107$132
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$107$106$136
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$106$110$137
8 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$110$112$137
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$112$110$136
31 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$110first publication$132

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth92Value44Quality80Momentum83Total75
Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.1x
Forward P/E
12.6x
PEG
1.23
P/B
3.41x
EV / Revenue
3.3x
Book value/sh
$37.46
Enterprise value
$3.6B
Profitability
ROE
22.2%
FCF yield
10.77%
ROIC
17.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.01
Dividend yield
1.24%
Beta
0.35

Price

+25.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about PLMR

Answered from Palomar Holdings Inc. Common stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0x19.1xhigh 141.6x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -27%22%high 54%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%1.2%high 1.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
PLMR Palomar Holdings Inc. Common stock$141.78$10437% above19.1x22.2%8075
LMND Lemonade Inc. Common Stock$44.92----27.0%3936
Q.MX Qualitas ControladoraMXN 190.30MXN 11960% above17.8x17.2%5356
SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings Inc. Common Stock$28.55$5448% below6.7x53.9%10088
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc. Common Stock$60.39$577% above14.0x17.3%6882
WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd. Common Stock$2225.24$364039% below5.1x20.4%9175
HGTY Hagerty Inc. Class A Common Stock$15.58--141.6x8.9%6060

Sector report card

Where PLMR ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 9, 2026
    AM Best Affirms Credit Ratings for Palomar Holdings, Inc. and Its Member Companies and Affiliate
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 3, 2026
    Palomar Holdings, Inc. Announces Participation in the KBW Insurance Conference
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 31, 2026
    Innventure Announces Board Leadership Changes to Further Enhance Board Independence and Acceleration of CEO Transition
1 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 22
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-21
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 22
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-21
View on SEC →
Sep 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-02
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR