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URGN

UroGen Pharma Ltd. Ordinary Shares (URGN) fair value

Healthcare · Biotechnology · NASDAQ · United States
$34.49-1.88%
Market cap $1.7BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 12% below our fair value
Price
$34.49
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $39.23
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionUroGen Pharma Ltd. Ordinary Shares (URGN)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$48.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $34.49 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
58
out of 100
Analysts
88% buy
8 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 36.5x
1-year return
+99.0%
Dividend yield
0.00%

UroGen Pharma Ltd. Ordinary Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

UroGen Pharma sells JELMYTO and ZUSDURI, two uro-oncology drugs delivered directly into the urinary tract via its proprietary hydrogel system, aimed at upper tract urothelial cancer and bladder cancer. Its moat rests on that drug-delivery platform and the regulatory exclusivity around its approved products, which is why gross margin sits at 90.8%. Revenue growth of 199.2% shows the commercial launch is working, though operating margin of just 0.1% means the business has only recently reached break-even and has not yet proven durable profitability. The near-term question is whether sales keep compounding fast enough to bring operating margins meaningfully above zero, since the 36.5x forward P/E already prices in a good deal of that improvement. With a 52/100 score and a negative ROE of -1481.3%, this is a name that merits a deeper look at launch trajectory and cash burn before any further consideration.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Cash burn despite revenue growth
    Revenue grew 199.2% year on year, yet free cash flow was -$162.7M and net margin is -51.7%. The business is still consuming cash at scale.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest stands at 16.2% of shares outstanding, a meaningful bet against the stock that can amplify volatility in either direction.
  • moderate
    Insider selling without buying
    Insiders disclosed $3.85M in sales across their last 10 transactions and no purchases. Insiders own just 3.5% of the company.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 199.2% year over year, with the five-year average running at 56.2% a year.
  • The latest quarter beat expectations, with earnings per share of -0.28 against -0.38 expected, a 26.3% surprise.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was negative $163M, so the business is still burning cash.
  • Net margin is -51.7% and return on equity is -1481.3%, showing the company is not yet profitable.
  • The diluted share count rose 12.2% last fiscal year, and continued cash burn could mean more dilution for existing holders.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where URGN's valuation models land
Price
$34.49
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $39.23
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Sales comps
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish88% buy · 8 covering analysts
● Strong buy 6● Buy 1● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-0.2%
1 month
-17.2%
3 months
-15.8%
6 months
+43.1%
YTD
+47.3%
1 year
+99.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$48.00first publication$36.83

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value40Quality29Momentum97Total58
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
36.5x
PEG
no data
P/B
19.27x
EV / Revenue
11.2x
Book value/sh
$-2.71
Enterprise value
$2.1B
Profitability
ROE
-1481.3%
FCF yield
-9.47%
ROIC
no data
Health and risk
Debt / equity
-1.22
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.58

Price

+81.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about URGN

Answered from UroGen Pharma Ltd. Ordinary Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 254.2x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -1481%-1481%high 20%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
URGN UroGen Pharma Ltd. Ordinary Shares$34.49----1481.3%2958
ZEAL.CO Zealand Pharma A/Skr 226.00--5.8x16.3%9051
BIOA-B.ST BioArctic AB (publ)kr 300.00kr 25916% above254.2x5.2%6238
BAVA.CO Bavarian Nordic A/Skr 247.40kr 2574% below12.7x12.2%8686
CAMX.ST Camurus AB (publ)kr 666.00kr 325105% above58.8x15.9%9055
BIOCON.NS Biocon Limited₹323.50--97.7x-6752
KRYS Krystal Biotech Inc. Common Stock$311.50$153104% above40.1x20.1%9571

Sector report card

Where URGN ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 4, 2026
    UroGen Pharma Announces Inducement Grants Under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635(c)(4)
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 2, 2026
    UroGen Pharma to Present at Upcoming Investor Conferences
  • PR Newswire•Aug 20, 2026
    IntraGel Therapeutics and UroGen Pharma Sign Strategic Collaboration and Investment Agreements to Advance Sustained-Released Investigational Oncology Therapies
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 9
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-08
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 9
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-07
View on SEC →
Sep 9
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-07
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR