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UCB

United Community Banks Inc. Common Stock (UCB) fair value

Financial Services · Banks - Regional · NYSE · United States
$36.99-0.64%
Market cap $4.4BNext earnings 2026-10-20Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$36.99
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$36.35
Model range
$29.09 to $43.73
Fair value $36.35
Price $36.99
3 models fit United Community Banks Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Silver66
Valued as a bank: Residual income, P/E comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionUnited Community Banks Inc. Common Stock (UCB)
Fair value (3 models)
$36.35
ACCE price target
$40.00
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST; previously $36.79 since 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 24 Oct 2026, 03:20 CEST; previously $36.00 since 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CEST.
Price used: $36.99 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison, Graham number, and Residual income.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
1.8% above
-1.7% to fair value
ACCE score
80
out of 100
Analysts
43% buy
7 covering
P/E
12.1x
forward 12.5x
1-year return
+23.9%
Dividend yield
2.71%

United Community Banks Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

United Community Banks is a regional bank holding company whose core products are commercial and small business lending, deposit accounts, and mortgage and wealth services across its Southeastern footprint. Its edge is a deposit franchise built in fast-growing metro markets, which tends to keep funding costs low and gives it pricing room on loans. The main near-term driver is the revenue line: reported revenue growth of 24.4% is well ahead of what most regional peers are posting, and the question for a deeper look is how much of that is organic balance-sheet growth versus acquisition or rate-driven net interest income. At a 12.1x trailing and 10.7x forward P/E, with a 10.3% ROE, the market is pricing it as an ordinary bank rather than a high-return franchise. That gap between growth and valuation is what makes it worth a closer look, though the 10.3% ROE means the returns case is not yet proven.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 24, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Score slipping slightly
    ACCE score fell 2 points over 90 days, from 75 to 73, with the Momentum sub-score at only 47 against 88 for Growth.
  • moderate
    Insider selling outweighs buying
    Last 10 disclosed insider trades total $0.94M in sales against $0.07M in buys, though insiders hold only 0.4% of shares.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 24.4% over the past year, well ahead of its 17.2% average annual pace over five years.
  • The company keeps 34.1% of revenue as profit, and its free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $408M.
  • At a 10.3% free cash flow yield and 3.0% dividend yield, the stock pays investors well while they wait.
Why it could disappoint
  • Last quarter's earnings per share missed expectations by 11.3%, with 0.71 reported against 0.80 expected.
  • Return on equity of 10.3% and return on invested capital of 7.0% are modest for a bank earning this much revenue growth.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where UCB's valuation models land
Price
$36.99
Model fair value
$36.35
Model range
$29.09 to $43.73
Fair value $36.35
Price $36.99
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Graham number
P/E comparison
Residual income
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed43% buy · 7 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 1● Hold 4● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+8.5%
1 month
+10.4%
3 months
+4.9%
6 months
+11.8%
YTD
+18.5%
1 year
+23.9%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 03:20 CESTACCE price target$40.00$36.00$36.99
23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair value$36.35$36.79$37.23
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$36.79$35.89$35.47
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$33.78
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$35.89$37.46$33.38
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$36.00first publication$33.38
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$37.46$38.41$34.23
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$38.41$38.89$35.29
22 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$38.89$42.27$35.69
19 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$42.27$42.86$36.35

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth88Value71Quality85Momentum77Total80
Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.1x
Forward P/E
12.5x
PEG
0.24
P/B
1.10x
EV / Revenue
4.9x
Book value/sh
$29.27
Enterprise value
$3.6B
Profitability
ROE
4.1%
FCF yield
9.20%
ROIC
7.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.06
Dividend yield
2.71%
Beta
0.90

Price

+23.6% · 1Y

Ask anything about UCB

Answered from United Community Banks Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 50% of peers
low 8.2x12.1xhigh 47.2x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low 1%4%high 10%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%2.7%high 5.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
UCB United Community Banks Inc. Common Stock$36.99$362% above12.1x4.1%8580
PFDAVVNDA.CL Davivienda Group preferredCOP 28740.00--8.2x10.3%5382
BOGOTA.CL Banco de BogotaCOP 38240.00--9.0x9.2%6149
BMA.BA Banco Macro SA BARS 10870.00--15.4x7.1%7957
ITAUCL.SN Banco Itau ChileCLP 22500.00--12.3x9.4%8171
PFAVAL.CL Grupo Aval preferredCOP 780.00--10.8x10.0%5871
GGAL.BA Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.ARS 6260.00--47.2x1.1%5942

Sector report card

Where UCB ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 13, 2026
    United Community adds five international banking specialists
  • PR Newswire•Oct 13, 2026
    UCB Launches Wear It Out, a Community-Driven Program Created For and With People Living With Hidradenitis Suppurativa, Plaque Psoriasis, and Psoriatic Arthritis
  • PR Newswire•Oct 9, 2026
    UCB Dedicates Site for New U.S. Biologics Manufacturing Campus in Georgia
18 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 20
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-20
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 9
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-08
View on SEC →
Sep 8
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-08
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR