2 models fit Tigo Energy Inc. Common Stock and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Bronze41
Valued as a cyclical company: EV/EBITDA comparison and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionTigo Energy Inc. Common Stock (TYGO)
Fair value (2 models)
$2.48
ACCE price target
$0.78
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST; previously $1.84 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: $1.03 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
58.4% below
+140.3% to fair value
ACCE score
49
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
3 covering
P/E
5.4x
forward 85.5x
1-year return
-58.5%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Tigo Energy Inc. Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
Overview
ACCE thesis
Tigo Energy makes module-level power optimizers and rapid-shutdown devices that sit behind solar panels and feed into its cloud monitoring platform, so it sells hardware plus recurring software into residential and commercial rooftop installers. Its edge is the installed base and the safety-code tailwind: rapid-shutdown rules in the US push installers toward module-level electronics, and Tigo's 42.4% gross margin sits well above what most solar hardware makers earn. Revenue growth is only 5.6%, so the near-term story depends on operating leverage closing a gap that still shows a -6.6% operating margin. The stock looks cheap on trailing earnings at 5.6 times, but the forward P/E of 85.5 says the trailing profit is not expected to persist, so the trailing multiple is a poor guide. At a 64 million dollar market cap and a 49/100 score with no index membership, this is a small, volatile name where the case rests on whether gross margin turns into operating profit, which is worth testing in the filings before anything else.
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Operating losses despite profit
Operating margin is -6.6% while net margin is +9.0%, so the reported profit rests on non-operating items. Earnings growth is flat at 0.0% YoY and the score fell from 58 to 49 over 90 days.
moderate
Sharp sequential revenue drop
Revenue fell 16.1% quarter over quarter, even though annual growth is +5.6%. Short interest of 6.6% suggests some investors are betting on further weakness.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 16, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Free cash flow over the last 12 months reached $10M, and the free cash flow yield stands at 13.5%.
Three of four analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and the latest earnings beat expectations by +400.0%.
Why it could disappoint
Revenue grew only +5.6% over the last year, far below the +25.5% annual average of the past five years.
Return on invested capital is -5.1%, so the company is not yet earning a return above its cost of capital.
The forward P/E of 85.5x sits far above the trailing P/E of 5.5x, implying earnings are expected to fall sharply.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
Walk me through this stock
Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.
PRO
Ask ACCE
Valuation
INVESTOR
Where TYGO's valuation models land
Price
$1.03
Model fair value
$2.48
Model range
$2.21 to $2.61
Fair value $2.48
Price $1.03
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.
See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.
Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.
+A plain reason under every score
+Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores