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TYGO

Tigo Energy Inc. Common Stock (TYGO) fair value

Technology · Solar · NASDAQ · United States
$1.03+11.22%
Market cap $79MNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 58% below our fair value
Price
$1.03
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$2.48
Model range
$2.21 to $2.61
Fair value $2.48
Price $1.03
2 models fit Tigo Energy Inc. Common Stock and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Bronze41
Valued as a cyclical company: EV/EBITDA comparison and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionTigo Energy Inc. Common Stock (TYGO)
Fair value (2 models)
$2.48
ACCE price target
$0.78
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST; previously $1.84 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: $1.03 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
58.4% below
+140.3% to fair value
ACCE score
49
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
3 covering
P/E
5.4x
forward 85.5x
1-year return
-58.5%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Tigo Energy Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Tigo Energy makes module-level power optimizers and rapid-shutdown devices that sit behind solar panels and feed into its cloud monitoring platform, so it sells hardware plus recurring software into residential and commercial rooftop installers. Its edge is the installed base and the safety-code tailwind: rapid-shutdown rules in the US push installers toward module-level electronics, and Tigo's 42.4% gross margin sits well above what most solar hardware makers earn. Revenue growth is only 5.6%, so the near-term story depends on operating leverage closing a gap that still shows a -6.6% operating margin. The stock looks cheap on trailing earnings at 5.6 times, but the forward P/E of 85.5 says the trailing profit is not expected to persist, so the trailing multiple is a poor guide. At a 64 million dollar market cap and a 49/100 score with no index membership, this is a small, volatile name where the case rests on whether gross margin turns into operating profit, which is worth testing in the filings before anything else.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Operating losses despite profit
    Operating margin is -6.6% while net margin is +9.0%, so the reported profit rests on non-operating items. Earnings growth is flat at 0.0% YoY and the score fell from 58 to 49 over 90 days.
  • moderate
    Sharp sequential revenue drop
    Revenue fell 16.1% quarter over quarter, even though annual growth is +5.6%. Short interest of 6.6% suggests some investors are betting on further weakness.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 16, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last 12 months reached $10M, and the free cash flow yield stands at 13.5%.
  • Three of four analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and the latest earnings beat expectations by +400.0%.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue grew only +5.6% over the last year, far below the +25.5% annual average of the past five years.
  • Return on invested capital is -5.1%, so the company is not yet earning a return above its cost of capital.
  • The forward P/E of 85.5x sits far above the trailing P/E of 5.5x, implying earnings are expected to fall sharply.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TYGO's valuation models land
Price
$1.03
Model fair value
$2.48
Model range
$2.21 to $2.61
Fair value $2.48
Price $1.03
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 3 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 0● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+25.6%
1 month
+15.7%
3 months
-39.1%
6 months
-79.4%
YTD
-25.4%
1 year
-58.5%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$0.85
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTFair value$2.48$1.84$0.85
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.84$1.91$0.84
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$0.78first publication$0.93
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.91$1.96$0.87
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.96$1.91$0.84
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.91$1.94$0.86
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.94$1.88$0.88
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.88$1.92$0.98
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$1.92$1.86$0.97

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth28Value76Quality73Momentum17Total49
Valuation
Trailing P/E
5.4x
Forward P/E
85.5x
PEG
no data
P/B
95.19x
EV / Revenue
2.4x
Book value/sh
$0.58
Enterprise value
$181M
Profitability
ROE
43.1%
FCF yield
12.21%
ROIC
-5.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.10
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.28

Price

-59.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about TYGO

Answered from Tigo Energy Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0x5.4xhigh 5.4x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -48%43%high 57%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TYGO Tigo Energy Inc. Common Stock$1.03$258% below5.4x43.1%7349
SPWR SunPower Inc. Common Stock$0.23---0.0%2832
UMB.MC Umbrella Global Energy, S.A.€2.98----48.3%1718
MIDS.ST Midsummer AB (publ)kr 1.25----5.2%2537
HRPK.DE 7C Solarparken AG€1.73----1.4%5549
TOYO TOYO Co. Ltd Ordinary Shares$3.94$747% below1.8x57.5%8175
PN Skycorp Solar Group Limited Ordinary Shares$2.29----33.3%3132

Sector report card

Where TYGO ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 13, 2026
    Tigo Energy Enables over 11MW of Repowering as Legacy Solar Service Market Grows
  • Business Wire•Oct 12, 2026
    Otovo Surpasses 1,000 Inverter Replacements with Tigo Energy Technology Partnership, Repowering Aging and Orphaned Solar
  • Business Wire•Oct 1, 2026
    Tigo Energy Builds on 80MW of C&I Solar Growth in Czechia with GO Optimized ESS for Residential
10 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 9
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-07
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 18
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-16
View on SEC →
Sep 18
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-16
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR