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TOYO

TOYO Co. Ltd Ordinary Shares (TOYO) fair value

Technology · Solar · NASDAQ · United States
$3.94+2.07%
Market cap $165MNext earnings 2026-11-18Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 47% below our fair value
Price
$3.94
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$7.47
Model range
$4.92 to $8.75
Fair value $7.47
Price $3.94
2 models fit TOYO Co. Ltd Ordinary Shares and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Bronze56
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionTOYO Co. Ltd Ordinary Shares (TOYO)
Fair value (2 models)
$7.47
ACCE price target
$4.30
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST; previously $9.74 since 18 Aug 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST.
Price used: $3.94 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Graham number and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
47.3% below
+89.7% to fair value
ACCE score
75
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
2 covering
P/E
1.8x
forward 1.9x
1-year return
-46.0%
Dividend yield
0.00%

TOYO Co. Ltd Ordinary Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

TOYO Co. makes solar modules and battery energy storage systems, sold largely to utility-scale and commercial developers from its manufacturing base in Southeast Asia. The case rests on profitability that looks unusual for a solar manufacturer: a 28.8% gross margin, a 19.1% operating margin and a 57.5% ROE, alongside 35.0% revenue growth. The growth driver to watch is the storage business, since battery systems carry a different demand profile from panels and could diversify a segment that has historically been cyclical and price-driven. The stock trades at 1.8 times trailing earnings and 1.9 times forward, a multiple that prices in heavy skepticism about earnings durability, the 1.8 times figure sitting far below what the reported margins alone would suggest. That gap between the margins and the multiple is the reason to open the file, though the first question is whether the earnings are backed by cash and whether customer concentration or the group's Japanese and offshore structure explains the discount.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026

Next results

Nov 18, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TOYO's valuation models land
Price
$3.94
Model fair value
$7.47
Model range
$4.92 to $8.75
Fair value $7.47
Price $3.94
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 2 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 0● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-1.5%
1 month
-9.2%
3 months
-18.3%
6 months
-66.2%
YTD
-32.8%
1 year
-46.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$4.00
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTFair value$7.47$9.74$4.00
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$4.30first publication$4.34
18 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.74$9.93$5.92
17 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.93$9.71$6.07
8 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.71$9.60$5.82
31 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.60$9.85$4.64
2 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.85first publication$6.59

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value100Quality81Momentum17Total75
Valuation
Trailing P/E
1.8x
Forward P/E
1.9x
PEG
0.01
P/B
0.89x
EV / Revenue
0.3x
Book value/sh
$4.91
Enterprise value
$146M
Profitability
ROE
57.5%
FCF yield
23.95%
ROIC
17.6%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.66
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.42

Price

-44.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about TOYO

Answered from TOYO Co. Ltd Ordinary Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0x1.8xhigh 5.4x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -366%57%high 57%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TOYO TOYO Co. Ltd Ordinary Shares$3.94$747% below1.8x57.5%8175
HRPK.DE 7C Solarparken AG€1.76----1.4%5549
SOL.MC Soltec Power Holdings, S.A.€0.49----366.2%2720
TYGO Tigo Energy Inc. Common Stock$0.93$262% below5.4x43.1%7349
SPWR SunPower Inc. Common Stock$0.23---0.0%2832
UMB.MC Umbrella Global Energy, S.A.€2.98----48.3%1718
MIDS.ST Midsummer AB (publ)kr 1.18----5.2%2537

Sector report card

Where TOYO ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 7, 2026
    TOYO Celebrates Completed 2 GW Module Expansion at Texas Facility with Ribbon-Cutting Ceremony
  • PR Newswire•Sep 28, 2026
    TOYO Announces Approximately $240 Million in Binding U.S. Solar Module Supply Agreements Through First Half of 2027
  • PR Newswire•Sep 28, 2026
    TOYO Co., Ltd. Provides Second Half 2026 Business Outlook
15 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
20 filings of 36
October 2026
Oct 6
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-06
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 28
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-28
View on SEC →
Sep 3
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-03
View on SEC →
17 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR