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TRMB
ACCE-researched

Trimble Inc. Common Stock (TRMB) fair value

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments · NASDAQ · United States
$63.49-0.81%
Market cap $14.8BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 33% above our fair value
Price
$63.49
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$47.76
Model range
$21.76 to $100
Fair value $47.76
Price $63.49
3 models fit Trimble Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Bronze58
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionTrimble Inc. Common Stock (TRMB)
Fair value (3 models)
$47.76
ACCE price target
$58.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $49.68 since 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $63.49 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
32.9% above
-24.8% to fair value
ACCE score
53
out of 100
Analysts
92% buy
12 covering
1-year return
-21.3%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Trimble Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Trimble makes precision positioning hardware and software for construction, agriculture, and geospatial work, including GNSS receivers, machine-control systems for excavators and tractors, and the Trimble Connect and Viewpoint cloud platforms that tie field data to project management. The moat is in the installed base and the software layer on top of it: once a contractor's fleet, survey crews, and project records run through Trimble's workflows, switching costs are high, and the 71.8% gross margin reflects that mix of recurring software and hardware. Management's growth push is toward subscription and cloud revenue, and the company has been reshaping its portfolio, including the divestiture of its Mobility business, to concentrate on that. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 14.5 on 11.0% revenue growth and a 15.1% operating margin, a multiple that looks modest for a business with this margin profile. Against that, ROE is negative at -1.9%, the stock is not in any major index, and the score of 49/100 says the screen does not yet make a strong case, so this name merits a deeper look at margin trajectory and cash conversion before any conviction is formed.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative net margin and ROE
    Net margin -2.8% and ROE -1.9% despite 71.8% gross margin and 15.1% operating margin. Suggests material non-operating drag or tax headwind eroding profitability.
  • moderate
    Five-year revenue decline
    5-year revenue CAGR of -0.8% conflicts with recent 11% YoY growth. Suggests recovery from prior contraction; sustainability unclear.
  • moderate
    Insider selling without buying
    Last 10 disclosures show $1.22M in sales and $0 in buys. No offsetting insider confidence signal.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue accelerated 11.0% year over year while the company repurchased 3.0% of shares, driving per-share growth.
  • Free cash flow of $686M yields 4.9%, and the balance sheet carries only 0.29x debt to equity.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin is negative at -2.8% and ROE is -1.9%, signaling the software transition is not yet profitable.
  • Five-year average revenue growth is -0.8% per year, so recent 11.0% growth may not be sustainable.
  • At 14.5x forward P/E and 4.9% free cash flow yield, the stock prices in a near-perfect execution of the turnaround.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TRMB's valuation models land
Price
$63.49
Model fair value
$47.76
Model range
$21.76 to $100
Fair value $47.76
Price $63.49
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish92% buy · 12 covering analysts
● Strong buy 9● Buy 2● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
1 buy · 2 sells
Since Apr 14, 2026, 2 members
Average delay
17 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+6.8%
1 month
+7.0%
3 months
+20.0%
6 months
-5.7%
YTD
-19.0%
1 year
-21.3%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $TRMB ACCE Score Jumps 13 Points to 70 - What's Driving It
    Trimble's ACCE composite score moved from 57 to 70. Here's what the data shows about growth, quality, and where caution still applies.
    2026-06-25

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$59.46
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$47.76$49.68$59.46
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$49.68$27.96$59.49
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$27.96$28.33$57.85
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$58.00first publication$57.85
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.33$27.83$57.56
18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$27.83$28.90$57.32
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.90$28.28$58.74
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.28$28.94$57.40
2 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.94$29.38$59.94

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth76Value35Quality60Momentum40Total53
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
15.3x
PEG
no data
P/B
2.70x
EV / Revenue
4.0x
Book value/sh
$21.92
Enterprise value
$15.1B
Profitability
ROE
-1.9%
FCF yield
0.91%
ROIC
4.8%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.24
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.34

Price

-22.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about TRMB

Answered from Trimble Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -2%-2%high 27%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 2.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TRMB Trimble Inc. Common Stock$63.49$4833% above--1.9%6053
MKSI MKS Inc. Common Stock$196.11$14536% above34.3x15.8%6263
FTV Fortive Corporation Common Stock $60.05$4631% above31.7x7.3%7459
CGNX Cognex Corporation Common Stock$54.60$23134% above53.4x11.2%8263
7701.T Shimadzu Corporation¥4304.00--18.9x12.3%7273
HEXA-B.ST Hexagon ABkr 102.05--12.8x27.3%8665
TDY Teledyne Technologies Incorporated Common Stock$620.47$41350% above28.6x9.5%7460

Sector report card

Where TRMB ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Jul 30, 2026
    Announcing Trimble Dimensions 2026 User Conference and Offsite Expo
  • PR Newswire•May 12, 2026
    Trimble to Present at J.P. Morgan 2026 Global Technology, Media and Communications Conference
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 2
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-02
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
View on SEC →
Sep 4
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-02
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR