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TREE

LendingTree Inc. Common Stock (TREE) fair value

Financial Services · Insurance Brokers · NASDAQ · United States
$26.81-2.72%
Market cap $376MNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 56% below our fair value
Price
$26.81
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$60.71
Model range
$54.85 to $70.32
Fair value $60.71
Price $26.81
3 models fit LendingTree Inc. Common Stock and they agree: 3 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Silver61
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionLendingTree Inc. Common Stock (TREE)
Fair value (3 models)
$60.71
ACCE price target
$28.30
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $59.54 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $26.81 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
55.8% below
+126.5% to fair value
ACCE score
63
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
6 covering
P/E
2.1x
forward 4.0x
1-year return
-55.3%
Dividend yield
0.00%

LendingTree Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

LendingTree operates a online marketplace where consumers compare mortgage, personal loan, credit card, and insurance offers, and sells the resulting leads to lenders and insurers, with its ValuePenguin and Monito brands adding comparison content and deal sites. Its edge is the scale of its consumer traffic and its lender network, which together make the platform hard to replicate and lift gross margin to 96.4% because the marginal lead carries little cost. Revenue growth of 25.3% suggests the business is regaining share in a credit cycle that has hurt many of its peers, and operating margin of 7.8% shows that growth is starting to reach the bottom line. The stock screens cheaply at 1.9 times trailing earnings and 3.5 times forward earnings, with an 82.8% return on equity that partly reflects a thin equity base. The main question for a deeper look is whether a lead-generation model tied to mortgage and lending volumes can sustain this growth and margin profile as rates and origination activity move.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Score collapsed in 90 days
    ACCE score fell 18 points, from 81 to 63, over 90 days. Momentum (M:17) is the weakest component, so the price trend is working against the stock.
  • moderate
    Leverage elevated
    Debt/Equity is 1.53. With $61M of free cash flow against a $356M market cap, the balance sheet has less room for a downturn in lead-gen demand.
  • moderate
    Earnings growth lagging revenue
    Revenue grew 25.3% year over year, but earnings grew only 4.6%. Operating margin of 7.8% suggests much of the top-line growth is not reaching profit.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 25.3% year over year, far ahead of the 4.2% average annual growth over five years.
  • The business is highly profitable, with a 14.3% net margin and 17.1% return on invested capital.
  • Free cash flow yield of 17.0% and $61M of free cash flow over the last twelve months support the valuation.
Why it could disappoint
  • The stock trades 55.8% below the model fair value of $60.71, yet the three models behind it can disagree sharply.
  • Debt to equity of 1.53 leaves the balance sheet heavily leveraged, which matters if earnings weaken.
  • Shares outstanding rose 6.0% last fiscal year, diluting existing holders, and the latest EPS missed by 1.1%.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TREE's valuation models land
Price
$26.81
Model fair value
$60.71
Model range
$54.85 to $70.32
Fair value $60.71
Price $26.81
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 6 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 3● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+5.6%
1 month
+11.7%
3 months
-31.3%
6 months
-44.4%
YTD
-49.5%
1 year
-55.3%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$25.38
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$60.71$59.54$25.38
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$59.54$61.61$24.17
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$28.30first publication$24.78
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$61.61$67.38$25.19
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$67.38$68.06$24.51
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$68.06$66.40$24.62
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$66.40$67.93$24.00
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$67.93$69.13$26.81
7 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$69.13$68.17$28.35

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value100Quality71Momentum17Total63
Valuation
Trailing P/E
2.1x
Forward P/E
4.0x
PEG
0.45
P/B
1.05x
EV / Revenue
0.5x
Book value/sh
$22.86
Enterprise value
$663M
Profitability
ROE
82.8%
FCF yield
16.26%
ROIC
17.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.53
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
2.05

Price

-57.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about TREE

Answered from LendingTree Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 75% of peers
low 0.0x2.1xhigh 44.8x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -112%83%high 176%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 3.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TREE LendingTree Inc. Common Stock$26.81$6156% below2.1x82.8%7163
TWFG TWFG Inc. Class A Common Stock$28.67$269% above44.8x19.3%8282
XHG XChange TEC.INC American Depositary Shares $3.80--0.0x0.0%1656
GSHD Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A Common Stock$50.62$3261% above35.4x175.8%6859
AIFU AIFU Inc. Class A Ordinary Share$11.33----112.3%5634
SLQT SelectQuote Inc. Common Stock$0.33---10.2%4741
AUB.AX AUB Group LimitedA$28.98A$2610% above36.8x6.3%7156

Sector report card

Where TREE ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Sep 30, 2026
    Cars.com Announces Chief Financial Officer Transition
  • Business Wire•Sep 3, 2026
    loanDepot Named a Top U.S. Mortgage and Home Equity Lender
  • PR Newswire•Aug 5, 2026
    Achieve earns Top 3 ranking for personal loan customer satisfaction from LendingTree
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
July 2026
Jul 31
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
Jul 29
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-07-29
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR