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TLK
ACCE-researched

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) fair value

Communication Services · Telecom Services · NYSE · United States
$12.13-0.66%
Market cap $12.0BNext earnings 2026-10-29Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 21% below our fair value
Price
$12.13
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$15.40
Model range
$11.52 to $19.64
Fair value $15.40
Price $12.13
4 models fit PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Discount(i)Bronze52
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionPT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK)
Fair value (4 models)
$15.40
ACCE price target
$17.50
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST; previously $14.68 since 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
Price used: $12.13 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
21.2% below
+26.9% to fair value
ACCE score
57
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
1 covering
P/E
11.9x
forward 10.1x
1-year return
-40.3%
Dividend yield
10.00%

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLK) runs Indonesia's largest fixed-line and mobile network operator, with its Telkomsel unit serving the bulk of the country's cellular subscribers, alongside data centres, fibre backbone and enterprise IT services. The structural case rests on scale in a market with low fixed-broadband penetration and a large, still-maturing mobile user base, where incumbency in infrastructure is hard to replicate. Revenue growth of 6.4% and a 58.7% gross margin point to a business still converting its network position into steady top-line expansion, with the digital and data-centre segments the main growth lever. The stock trades at 12.3x trailing and 10.3x forward earnings with a 17.7% ROE, which looks undemanding for a dominant local operator, though the reported 0.0% operating margin is a figure that needs reconciling before anyone leans on the valuation. The composite score of 56/100 and absence from major indices suggest the name is under-owned by global funds, so a deeper look should start with the segment-level margin bridge and the reconciliation of operating profit.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Operating margin collapse
    Operating margin at 0.0% despite 58.7% gross margin signals severe cost control issues. M score of 17/100 reflects deterioration.
  • high
    Sequential revenue cliff
    QoQ growth of -100.0% is a hard stop. Requires immediate clarification on whether this reflects accounting, seasonality, or operational failure.
  • moderate
    Long-term growth stalled
    5-year revenue CAGR of +1.5% is negligible for a telecom. YoY +6.4% may not be sustainable given structural headwinds.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow yield of 16.8% and trailing P/E of 12.5x suggest the stock is deeply undervalued.
  • ROE of 17.7% and net margin of 12.0% show the company generates strong returns on shareholder capital.
  • Dividend yield of 9.5% combined with recent 6.4% revenue growth offers attractive income and modest top-line expansion.
Why it could disappoint
  • Latest earnings missed expectations by 41.5%, raising questions about forward guidance reliability and near-term momentum.
  • Five-year average revenue growth of only 1.5% per year indicates the business is maturing and faces structural headwinds.
  • ROIC of 7.0% lags the cost of capital, meaning the company destroys value despite high ROE and strong margins.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 29, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TLK's valuation models land
Price
$12.13
Model fair value
$15.40
Model range
$11.52 to $19.64
Fair value $15.40
Price $12.13
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 1 covering analyst
● Strong buy 1● Buy 0● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+10.0%
1 month
-9.9%
3 months
-15.9%
6 months
-27.3%
YTD
-42.4%
1 year
-40.3%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $TLK Earnings: Revenue Slips, EPS Drops 57% in Latest Report
    PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia $TLK reported earnings on May 25, 2026. Revenue fell 1.7% YoY and EPS dropped 57.1%. ACCE score sits at 45/100.
    2026-05-25

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$11.64
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$15.40$14.68$11.64
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$14.68$15.09$11.03
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$15.09$11.59$12.65
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.59$11.74$12.55
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.74$11.86$13.20
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$17.50first publication$13.34
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.86$12.15$13.30
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$12.15$12.49$14.24
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$12.49$12.06$15.03

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth56Value91Quality62Momentum17Total57
Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.9x
Forward P/E
10.1x
PEG
2.88
P/B
2.01x
EV / Revenue
1.8x
Book value/sh
IDR 1384.40
Enterprise value
$14.9B
Profitability
ROE
17.7%
FCF yield
18.14%
ROIC
7.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.57
Dividend yield
10.00%
Beta
0.15

Price

-39.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about TLK

Answered from PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 3.3x11.9xhigh 14.0x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low 18%18%high 45%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%10.0%high 10.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TLK PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk$12.13$1521% below11.9x17.7%6257
IDEA.NS Vodafone Idea Limited₹11.53--3.3x-6254
TEL2-B.ST Tele2 Bkr 160.30kr 11638% above10.8x45.1%8761
TEL2-A.ST Tele2 AB (publ)kr 160.50kr 11144% above10.6x45.1%8760
INDUSTOWER.NS Indus Towers Limited₹381.85--14.0x18.9%8764
RCI-B.TO Rogers Communications BC$46.43C$9249% below4.1x30.9%7870
TEL.OL Telenorkr 127.50kr 128At fair value10.7x25.0%8449

Sector report card

Where TLK ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•May 9, 2026
    TelkomGroup Launches Pukpuk Submarine Cable: The First Digital Bridge Connecting Indonesia and Papua New Guinea
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 22
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-22
View on SEC →
Oct 2
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-02
View on SEC →
Oct 2
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-02
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR