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TKC

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS Common Stock (TKC) fair value

Communication Services · Telecom Services · NYSE · United States
$4.61-3.56%
Market cap $4.2BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 50% below our fair value
Price
$4.61
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$9.19
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS Common Stock (TKC)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$5.40
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $4.61 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
43
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
2 covering
P/E
9.4x
forward 31.1x
1-year return
-21.7%
Dividend yield
2.21%

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Turkcell is Turkey's largest mobile operator, selling prepaid and postpaid mobile plans, fixed broadband, and fintech and digital services such as its Paycell payments business. Its moat is scale in a three-operator Turkish market, where it holds the largest subscriber base and the strongest network position, which has kept it the leading earner in its home market. Revenue growth is only 2.5%, and the trailing P/E of 9.4 sits well below the forward P/E of 31.1, a gap that signals analysts expect earnings to fall or to be depressed by one-off effects, so the near-term catalyst is whether margins recover from the current 0.0% operating margin. The stock is cheap on trailing earnings and carries 4.3 billion dollars of market value, but the 6.8% ROE and absent index membership mean the case rests on a margin recovery that the data does not yet show. A deeper look should start with the reconciliation between trailing and forward earnings and with Turkish inflation accounting, which drives reported figures in lira.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings declining despite revenue growth
    Revenue grew 2.5% year over year but earnings fell 5.5%, and operating margin is reported at 0.0%. Profit is not keeping pace with the top line.
  • moderate
    Score down sharply in 90 days
    The ACCE score dropped from 61 to 43 over 90 days, with growth at 19 and momentum at 17, the weakest components.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 24, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached TRY 73.9B, and the stock offers a 34.8% free cash flow yield at current prices.
  • At a trailing P/E of 8.7x, the stock trades well below the sector median forward P/E of 16.7x.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on equity is only 6.8%, so shareholders earn a thin return on the capital they have put into the business.
  • Revenue grew just 2.5% over the past year, far below the 28.3% average annual growth of the last five years.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TKC's valuation models land
Price
$4.61
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$9.19
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 2 covering analysts
● Strong buy 1● Buy 1● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-6.5%
1 month
-10.7%
3 months
-17.1%
6 months
-27.5%
YTD
-15.7%
1 year
-21.7%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$5.40first publication$5.02
20 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.39$4.25$5.40
12 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.25first publication$5.50

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth19Value85Quality50Momentum17Total43
Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.4x
Forward P/E
31.1x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.71x
EV / Revenue
1.3x
Book value/sh
TRY 111.67
Enterprise value
$6.5B
Profitability
ROE
6.8%
FCF yield
35.71%
ROIC
148.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.61
Dividend yield
2.21%
Beta
0.64

Price

-23.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about TKC

Answered from Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 9.4x9.4xhigh 77.4x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low 2%7%high 45%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%2.2%high 6.5%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TKC Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS Common Stock$4.61--9.4x6.8%5043
3774.T Internet Initiative Japan Inc.¥3500.00--25.6x16.3%5671
TATACOMM.NS Tata Communications Limited₹1654.40--42.8x33.8%5758
SINCH.ST Sinch AB (publ)kr 46.44kr 4113% above77.4x1.9%3458
TECO2.BA Telecom ArgentinaARS 4235.00--11.6x10.8%6771
INDUSTOWER.NS Indus Towers Limited₹380.00--14.0x18.9%8764
TEL2-A.ST Tele2 AB (publ)kr 156.00kr 11140% above10.6x45.1%8760

Sector report card

Where TKC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 5, 2026
    Turkcell’s CEO Dr. Ali Taha Koc Elected to GSMA Board
  • Business Wire•Aug 13, 2026
    Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri: Second Quarter 2026 Results
  • Business Wire•Jul 7, 2026
    Turkcell CEO Ali Taha Koç Appointed Chair of the GSMA Technology Group
5 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 20
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-20
View on SEC →
Oct 9
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-09
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 25
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-25
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR