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TIGO
ACCE-researched

Millicom International Cellular S.A. Common Stock (TIGO) fair value

Communication Services · Telecom Services · NASDAQ · United States
$78.34-1.99%
Market cap $13.4BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 6% above our fair value
Price
$78.34
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$74.04
Model range
$42.67 to $104
Fair value $74.04
Price $78.34
5 models fit Millicom International Cellular S.A. Common Stock and they disagree: 2 of 5 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Bronze40
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionMillicom International Cellular S.A. Common Stock (TIGO)
Fair value (5 models)
$74.04
ACCE price target
$105
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST; previously $86.12 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
Price used: $78.34 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
5.8% above
-5.5% to fair value
ACCE score
69
out of 100
Analysts
13% buy
8 covering
P/E
20.6x
forward 10.0x
1-year return
+65.1%
Dividend yield
3.68%

Millicom International Cellular S.A. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Millicom runs mobile and fixed-line cable networks across Latin America, selling prepaid and postpaid mobile plans alongside broadband and TV bundles under the Tigo brand in markets such as Colombia, Bolivia, Paraguay and Guatemala. Its advantage is scale in several smaller Latin American markets where it is often one of two or three operators, which supports pricing discipline and a 76.5% gross margin. The reported 59.4% revenue growth reflects acquisitions and consolidation, so the question for a PM is how much of that is organic. At a 20.1x trailing P/E against an 11.3x forward P/E, the market is pricing in a sharp earnings step-up, and a 21.7% ROE and 20.7% operating margin suggest the business can support it. This is a name worth a deeper look, focused on integration of recent deals and the sustainability of the margin expansion.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings collapse
    YoY earnings down 84% despite 59% revenue growth. Margin compression or one-time charges warrant investigation.
  • high
    Score deterioration
    ACCE score fell 13 points in 90 days (81 to 68). Quality and Momentum components weakened materially.
  • high
    Insider selling signal
    Last 10 disclosures show $8.27M in insider sales, zero buys. Insiders liquidating despite 46% ownership stake.
  • moderate
    High leverage
    Debt/Equity 4.85x is elevated for telecom. Debt service risk if FCF deteriorates further.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-11 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Strong cash generation of $1.9B supports a 14.1% free cash flow yield, well above the risk-free rate of 5.2%.
  • Analyst mean target of $98.39 implies 23.8% upside, with all 5 valuation models in consensus supporting the case.
Why it could disappoint
  • Debt to equity of 4.85 leaves the company highly exposed to currency swings in Colombia, Guatemala and Bolivia.
  • Five-year revenue growth of 1.1% per year masks that the latest 59.4% jump likely reflects a one-time gain or asset sale.
  • Only 13% of analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, suggesting limited conviction despite the valuation discount.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TIGO's valuation models land
Price
$78.34
Model fair value
$74.04
Model range
$42.67 to $104
Fair value $74.04
Price $78.34
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish13% buy · 8 covering analysts
● Strong buy 1● Buy 0● Hold 6● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-5.5%
1 month
-14.8%
3 months
-17.1%
6 months
-6.8%
YTD
+41.3%
1 year
+65.1%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$79.78
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$74.04$86.12$79.78
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$86.12$84.75$80.34
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$84.75$90.95$79.48
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$90.95$92.14$88.32
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$92.14$93.35$91.74
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$105first publication$91.00
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$93.35$94.58$91.00
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$94.58$96.84$94.26
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$96.84$98.34$96.47

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value80Quality71Momentum61Total69
Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.6x
Forward P/E
10.0x
PEG
0.32
P/B
6.27x
EV / Revenue
3.8x
Book value/sh
$14.64
Enterprise value
$26.4B
Profitability
ROE
21.7%
FCF yield
8.83%
ROIC
8.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
2.60
Dividend yield
3.68%
Beta
0.90

Price

+65.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about TIGO

Answered from Millicom International Cellular S.A. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 3.3x20.6xhigh 20.6x
ROEbetter than 20% of peers
low 19%22%high 45%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%3.7%high 7.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TIGO Millicom International Cellular S.A. Common Stock$78.34$746% above20.6x21.7%7169
IDEA.NS Vodafone Idea Limited₹11.53--3.3x-6254
TEL2-B.ST Tele2 Bkr 160.30kr 11638% above10.8x45.1%8761
TEL2-A.ST Tele2 AB (publ)kr 160.50kr 11144% above10.6x45.1%8760
INDUSTOWER.NS Indus Towers Limited₹381.85--14.0x18.9%8764
RCI-B.TO Rogers Communications BC$46.43C$9249% below4.1x30.9%7870
TEL.OL Telenorkr 127.50kr 128At fair value10.7x25.0%8449

Sector report card

Where TIGO ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 6, 2026
    Millicom (Tigo) raises 2026 Financial Guidance and declares $1.50 per share interim dividend
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 6, 2026
    Millicom (Tigo) Q2 2026 Earnings Release
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 27, 2026
    Millicom (Tigo) notice of second quarter 2026 results and video conference
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
22 filings of 39
August 2026
Aug 6
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-08-06
View on SEC →
July 2026
Jul 6
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-05-20
View on SEC →
Jul 6
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-05-20
View on SEC →
19 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR