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THRM

Gentherm Inc Common Stock (THRM) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts · NASDAQ · United States
$28.60+9.37%
Market cap $1.6BNext earnings 2026-10-22Updated Oct 24, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 43% above our fair value
Price
$28.60
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$19.98
Model range
$10.42 to $51.80
Fair value $19.98
Price $28.60
5 models fit Gentherm Inc Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 5 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze44
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionGentherm Inc Common Stock (THRM)
Fair value (5 models)
$19.98
ACCE price target
$35.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $30.75 since 24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $28.60 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
43.2% above
-30.1% to fair value
ACCE score
51
out of 100
Analysts
67% buy
9 covering
P/E
102.1x
forward 9.3x
1-year return
-23.0%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Gentherm Inc Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Gentherm makes automotive seat climate-control systems (heated and ventilated seats), thermal management modules for batteries and powertrains, and lumbar and massage seating components for OEMs, so its revenue rides on vehicle content rather than on the aftermarket. The moat is engineering integration: its thermoelectric and climate-control parts are specified into platforms years before launch, which makes switching costs high once a program is awarded. Revenue growth of 11.0% is decent for an auto supplier, and the gap between a trailing P/E of 33.8 and a forward P/E of 11.1 says the market expects earnings to recover sharply as the current cycle works through. The thin 7.1% operating margin and 3.7% ROE show that this recovery is not yet in the reported numbers, so the question for a deeper look is whether thermal content on EV and premium platforms can lift margins from here.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Thin net margin
    Net margin is only +1.7% and ROE +3.7% despite a 24.0% gross margin, so most operating profit is lost before reaching shareholders. The +798.1% earnings jump starts from a very small base.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest stands at 8.4% of float, which is meaningful and can add volatility around earnings or sector news.
  • moderate
    Quality score weak
    The Quality sub-score is 39/100 and Momentum 41/100, both well below the Growth score of 76, pointing to inconsistent profitability for a business of this size.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 11.0% year over year, ahead of the 10.4% average annual pace over five years.
  • At 9.0 times forward earnings, the stock trades well below the sector median of 18.1 times.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin of 1.7% and return on equity of 3.7% leave little profit for shareholders from each dollar of sales.
  • Trailing earnings put the price-to-earnings ratio at 33.8 times, far above the forward figure of 9.0 times.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where THRM's valuation models land
Price
$28.60
Model fair value
$19.98
Model range
$10.42 to $51.80
Fair value $19.98
Price $28.60
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish67% buy · 9 covering analysts
● Strong buy 4● Buy 2● Hold 3● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-1.5%
1 month
-18.9%
3 months
-33.0%
6 months
-6.1%
YTD
-21.4%
1 year
-23.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value$19.98$30.75$28.60
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedFairly valued$28.60
24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CESTFair value$30.75$24.53$28.60
23 Oct 2026, 10:03 CESTRatingFairly valuedOvervalued$26.15
22 Oct 2026, 14:04 CESTFair value$24.53$24.82$28.44
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair value$24.82$25.35$28.44
18 Oct 2026, 15:05 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$29.04
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$35.00first publication$29.68
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$25.35$26.30$29.68
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$26.30$30.41$29.93

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth76Value71Quality39Momentum17Total51
Valuation
Trailing P/E
102.1x
Forward P/E
9.3x
PEG
0.13
P/B
1.50x
EV / Revenue
0.8x
Book value/sh
$23.60
Enterprise value
$1.2B
Profitability
ROE
3.7%
FCF yield
3.92%
ROIC
1.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.41
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.37

Price

-23.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about THRM

Answered from Gentherm Inc Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 8.3x102.1xhigh 414.3x
ROEbetter than 25% of peers
low 2%4%high 9%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 4.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
THRM Gentherm Inc Common Stock$28.60$2043% above102.1x3.7%3951
2025.HK Ruifeng Power Group Company LimitedHK$12.20--414.3x2.2%3534
EXIDEIND.NS Exide Industries Limited₹331.95--30.3x-6760
6471.T NSK Ltd.¥988.80¥75631% above15.5x4.9%4367
5110.T Sumitomo Rubber Industries, Ltd.¥1943.50--8.3x9.0%5262
ENDURANCE.NS Endurance Technologies Limited₹2237.40--33.8x-7153
5991.T NHK Spring Co., Ltd.¥3088.00--18.1x8.1%4864

Sector report card

Where THRM ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 9, 2026
    Gentherm Announces Date for 2026 Third Quarter News Release and Conference Call
  • PR Newswire•Oct 1, 2026
    Modine Completes Spin-off and Combination of its Performance Technologies Business with Gentherm
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 1, 2026
    Gentherm Completes Combination with Modine’s Performance Technologies Business
6 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 22
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
Oct 22
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-22
View on SEC →
Oct 9
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-29
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR