TGT

ACCE-researched
Target Corporation Common Stock
Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores · NYSE · United States
$158.19-1.03%
Market cap $71.9BNext earnings 2026-11-18Updated Sep 18, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$158.19+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 5 of 6 models
Now $158.19
$158.19
$80.69$218.79
HoldSilver77
Price vs fair value
5.9% below
+6.3% to fair value
ACCE score
74
out of 100
Analysts
29% buy
38 covering
P/E
16.4x
forward 15.6x
1-year return
+76.9%
Dividend yield
2.85%
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Overview

Investor warnings · 4 flags
  • high
    Earnings collapse YoY
    Earnings down 24.7% YoY and QoQ revenue -16.5%, signaling significant profit deterioration despite modest top-line growth of 6.7%.
  • high
    Thin operating margins
    Operating margin only 4.5% and net margin 3.2%, leaving minimal buffer against cost pressures or demand softness.
  • moderate
    Elevated leverage
    Debt/Equity of 1.02 is high for a retailer with compressed margins; limits financial flexibility if earnings continue declining.
  • moderate
    Insider selling only
    Last 10 disclosed transactions show $0 buys vs $7.75M in sales; no insider conviction buying at current levels.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Price

+82.8% · 1Y

Valuation

INVESTOR
Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish29% buy · 38 covering analysts
Strong buy 9 Buy 2 Hold 24 Sell 3 Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 13.7x16.4xhigh 80.0x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low 13%26%high 93%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%2.9%high 2.9%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
DOL.TODollarama$33.4B35.093.1%1.800.3%-Compare
DGDollar General Corporation Common Stock$27.0B15.919.7%0.541.9%-Compare
DMART.NSAvenue Supermarts Limited$25.5B80.012.9%9.910.0%-Compare
DLTRDollar Tree Inc. Common Stock$21.0B13.746.0%0.910.0%-Compare
COSTCostco Wholesale Corporation Common Stock$397.1B45.029.1%0.220.7%-Compare
BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. Common Stock$11.6B20.127.7%0.240.0%-Compare

Sector report card

Where TGT ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

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Recent performance

1 week
+1.5%
1 month
-0.5%
3 months
+21.0%
6 months
+39.7%
YTD
+61.8%
1 year
+76.9%

SEC filings

40 filings
August 2026
Aug 28
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-08-01
Aug 27
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-25
Aug 26
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-24
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR