DLTR

ACCE-researched
Dollar Tree Inc. Common Stock
Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores · NASDAQ · United States
$111.96-2.13%
Market cap $21.0BNext earnings 2026-08-27Updated Sep 19, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$111.96+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 5 of 6 models
Now $111.96
$111.96
$52.91$141.05
HoldSilver68
Price vs fair value
2.1% above
-2.1% to fair value
ACCE score
66
out of 100
Analysts
37% buy
27 covering
P/E
13.7x
forward 14.2x
1-year return
+13.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%
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Overview

⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flags
  • severe
    ACCE score collapse
    Score dropped 17 points in 90 days (80→63), signaling rapid fundamental deterioration across multiple dimensions simultaneously.
  • high
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest at 10.0% of float indicates significant bearish conviction from sophisticated market participants against DLTR.
  • high
    Sequential revenue deceleration
    QoQ revenue growth of -8.7% contrasts sharply with +7.2% YoY, suggesting recent business momentum has stalled materially.
  • moderate
    Growth score weakness
    Growth sub-score of 48/100 is the weakest component, consistent with the QoQ decline and raising questions about near-term trajectory.

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Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Price

+18.5% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish37% buy · 27 covering analysts
● Strong buy 8● Buy 2● Hold 16● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0x13.7xhigh 80.0x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -67%46%high 93%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 2.9%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
DMART.NSAvenue Supermarts Limited$25.5B80.012.9%9.910.0%-Compare
DGDollar General Corporation Common Stock$27.0B15.919.7%0.541.9%-Compare
DOL.TODollarama$33.4B35.093.1%1.800.3%-Compare
BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. Common Stock$11.6B20.127.7%0.240.0%-Compare
TBBBBBB Foods Inc. Class A Common Shares$6.2B--67.3%0.540.0%-Compare
TGTTarget Corporation Common Stock$71.9B16.426.4%1.022.9%-Compare

Sector report card

Where DLTR ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

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Recent performance

1 week
-5.3%
1 month
-15.1%
3 months
+0.3%
6 months
+5.7%
YTD
-9.0%
1 year
+13.9%

SEC filings

40 filings
September 2026
Sep 4
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-04
Sep 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-31
August 2026
Aug 27
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-08-01
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR