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BJ

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. Common Stock (BJ) fair value

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores · NYSE · United States
$105.84-0.74%
Market cap $13.4BNext earnings 2026-11-20Updated Oct 24, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 45% above our fair value
Price
$105.84
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$73.08
Model range
$41.41 to $91.10
Fair value $73.08
Price $106
4 models fit BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver67
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. Common Stock (BJ)
Fair value (4 models)
$73.08
ACCE price target
$98.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $72.15 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $106 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
44.8% above
-31.0% to fair value
ACCE score
67
out of 100
Analysts
43% buy
23 covering
P/E
23.2x
forward 21.1x
1-year return
+13.2%
Dividend yield
0.00%

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

BJ's Wholesale Club runs membership warehouse clubs on the U.S. East Coast, selling groceries, fuel, and general merchandise in bulk to households and small businesses who pay an annual fee. That fee-based model is the moat: membership income is recurring and sits alongside a gross margin of 18.2% and an operating margin of 4.0%, which lets the company price aggressively against larger rivals without giving up profitability. Its growth driver is the store footprint and gasoline volume, with revenue growth of 15.7% and a return on equity of 27.7% showing the expansion is being funded profitably rather than with dilution. At a trailing P/E of 22.5 and a forward P/E of 20.5, the market is paying for continued earnings growth, so the question for a deeper look is whether the 4.0% operating margin can hold as new clubs mature and fuel prices move. The company carries no index membership at a $13.0B market cap, which is worth checking for any mispricing or flow-driven effect, and the 66/100 score puts it in the middle of our screen rather than at the top.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026

Next results

Nov 20, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where BJ's valuation models land
Price
$105.84
Model fair value
$73.08
Model range
$41.41 to $91.10
Fair value $73.08
Price $106
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed43% buy · 23 covering analysts
● Strong buy 10● Buy 0● Hold 11● Sell 2● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.8%
1 month
+17.6%
3 months
+13.9%
6 months
+12.2%
YTD
+17.6%
1 year
+13.2%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value$73.08$72.15$106
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$106
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$72.15$76.33$103
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$76.33$73.28$98.58
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$98.00first publication$99.04
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$73.28$74.24$93.79
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$74.24$76.36$91.49
7 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$76.36$77.30$93.19
30 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$77.30$75.62$90.60
21 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$75.62$69.36$94.22

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth80Value62Quality58Momentum69Total67
Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.2x
Forward P/E
21.1x
PEG
1.20
P/B
5.17x
EV / Revenue
0.6x
Book value/sh
$17.38
Enterprise value
$14.1B
Profitability
ROE
27.7%
FCF yield
2.48%
ROIC
9.9%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.19
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.17

Price

+15.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about BJ

Answered from BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 40% of peers
low 15.3x23.2xhigh 66.0x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -67%28%high 46%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 1.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. Common Stock$105.84$7345% above23.2x27.7%5867
7532.T Pan Pacific International Holdings Corporation¥744.50--20.3x16.5%5753
DMART.NS Avenue Supermarts Limited₹3157.70--66.0x12.7%5338
DLTR Dollar Tree Inc. Common Stock$125.31$9730% above15.3x46.0%6074
TBBB BBB Foods Inc. Class A Common Shares$58.50----67.3%1759
DG Dollar General Corporation Common Stock$132.69$10921% above18.1x19.7%5272
PSMT PriceSmart Inc. Common Stock$170.95$9678% above33.1x12.3%5760

Sector report card

Where BJ ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 13, 2026
    BJ’s Wholesale Club Awards Hourly Team Members More Than $25 Million for 42 Years of Unbeatable Customer Service
  • Business Wire•Sep 23, 2026
    BJ’s Wholesale Club in Foley, Alabama Set to Open September 25
  • Business Wire•Sep 22, 2026
    BJ’s Wholesale Club Celebrates 42 Years of Delivering Unbeatable Value … By Delivering Even More Value
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 16
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
Oct 15
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-22
View on SEC →
Oct 15
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-06-18
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR