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TCBI

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. Common Stock (TCBI) fair value

Financial Services · Banks - Regional · NASDAQ · United States
$101.99+3.25%
Market cap $4.4BNext earnings 2026-10-28Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 8% above our fair value
Price
$101.99
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$94.51
Model range
$79.38 to $117
Fair value $94.51
Price $102
3 models fit Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)
Valued as a bank: Residual income, P/E comparison, Dividend discount, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionTexas Capital Bancshares Inc. Common Stock (TCBI)
Fair value (3 models)
$94.51
ACCE price target
$98.00
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST; previously $93.12 since 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST.
Price used: $102 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison, Graham number, and Residual income.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
7.9% above
-7.3% to fair value
ACCE score
71
out of 100
Analysts
31% buy
13 covering
P/E
13.3x
forward 11.1x
1-year return
+20.7%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Texas Capital Bancshares is a Dallas-based regional bank whose core business is commercial lending to middle-market companies and a private wealth and trust unit that runs through its Texas Capital Bank franchise. The bank's edge is an unusually disciplined, relationship-driven commercial book in one of the fastest-growing business markets in the country, which has kept revenue growing at 8.6% against a regional banking peer group that has mostly struggled to grow at all. The obvious near-term driver is operating leverage: at a 36.7% operating margin and a 12.0x trailing P/E, falling funding costs or a steeper rate curve would flow through quickly to earnings. The stock looks interesting now because it trades at 11.1x forward earnings on a 10.2% ROE, a combination that prices in little growth for a bank still compounding its top line. The 66/100 score and the absence from major indices suggest the market is not paying much attention, which is worth checking against the credit quality of the commercial book before anyone takes a view.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Score down sharply
    ACCE score fell from 79 to 66 over 90 days, driven by a Momentum sub-score of 38. Quality remains strong at 85, but the trend has weakened.
  • moderate
    Heavy short interest
    Short interest stands at 14.1% of shares outstanding, a meaningful level that can amplify volatility in either direction.
  • moderate
    Revenue growth slowing
    Quarter-on-quarter revenue fell 1.1% even though year-on-year growth is 8.6%, suggesting recent momentum has softened.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $348M, and the shares yield 8.8% on that cash generation.
  • Revenue grew 8.6% year over year, and the business has averaged 11.2% annual growth over five years.
  • The company cut its diluted share count by 3.3% last fiscal year, lifting each remaining share's claim on earnings.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on equity is only 10.2%, a thin return for shareholders' capital.
  • Return on invested capital is 5.9%, which is modest for a business that needs heavy capital to operate.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 28, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TCBI's valuation models land
Price
$101.99
Model fair value
$94.51
Model range
$79.38 to $117
Fair value $94.51
Price $102
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
Graham number
P/E comparison
Residual income
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish31% buy · 13 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 2● Hold 8● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
2 buys · 0 sells
Since May 29, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
5 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+11.9%
1 month
+8.3%
3 months
+2.8%
6 months
+2.9%
YTD
+12.6%
1 year
+20.7%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTFair value$94.51$93.12$91.15
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$91.15
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$98.00first publication$90.34
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$93.12$89.06$90.34
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$89.06$90.01$93.69
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$90.01$91.74$94.70
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$91.74$92.95$94.90
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$92.95$94.60$99.09
30 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$94.60$96.84$98.64
25 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$96.84$95.20$98.65

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth68Value67Quality85Momentum63Total71
Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.3x
Forward P/E
11.1x
PEG
2.88
P/B
1.23x
EV / Revenue
4.0x
Book value/sh
$75.28
Enterprise value
$2.3B
Profitability
ROE
10.2%
FCF yield
7.84%
ROIC
5.9%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.26
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.63

Price

+19.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about TCBI

Answered from Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 8.2x13.3xhigh 47.2x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 1%10%high 10%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 5.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. Common Stock$101.99$958% above13.3x10.2%8571
PFDAVVNDA.CL Davivienda Group preferredCOP 28740.00--8.2x10.3%5382
BOGOTA.CL Banco de BogotaCOP 38240.00--9.0x9.2%6149
BMA.BA Banco Macro SA BARS 10870.00--15.4x7.1%7957
ITAUCL.SN Banco Itau ChileCLP 22500.00--12.3x9.4%8171
PFAVAL.CL Grupo Aval preferredCOP 780.00--10.8x10.0%5871
GGAL.BA Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.ARS 6260.00--47.2x1.1%5942

Sector report card

Where TCBI ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 8, 2026
    Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Now Trading on the Texas Stock Exchange
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 7, 2026
    Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Announces Date for Q3 2026 Operating Results
  • PR Newswire•Oct 1, 2026
    Linea Energy Closes Project Debt Financing and Preferred Equity Commitment for 250 MW / 500 MWh Mesa View BESS in Texas
7 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 22
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
Oct 21
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-21
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 16
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-16
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR