AACCE Investments
ScreenerStocksIndicesPicksETFsBlogPricing

© 2026 ACCE Investments. All rights reserved.

ACCE Investments - Institutional-grade stock research for retail investors | BetaList
IndicesStocksETFsScreenerBlogGlossaryCompareMarket dataAdvisors
TermsPrivacyCookiesDisclaimerLegal noticeProfessional termsAboutContact
SWIM

Latham Group Inc. Common Stock (SWIM) fair value

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment · NASDAQ · United States
$6.65+1.61%
Market cap $782MNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 72% above our fair value
Price
$6.65
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$3.87
Model range
$2.68 to $4.92
Fair value $3.87
Price $6.65
4 models fit Latham Group Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 4 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver61
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionLatham Group Inc. Common Stock (SWIM)
Fair value (4 models)
$3.87
ACCE price target
$6.20
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST; previously $4.01 since 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST.
Price used: $6.65 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
71.8% above
-41.8% to fair value
ACCE score
44
out of 100
Analysts
43% buy
7 covering
P/E
132.9x
forward 22.2x
1-year return
-13.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Latham Group Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Latham Group makes in-ground residential swimming pools, pool covers and related equipment, selling mainly through independent dealers and big-box retail in North America and Australia. The company's edge is its installed base and dealer network, which pulls demand through the replacement and remodel cycle as well as new construction. Revenue grew 14.4% and operating margin reached 14.1% on a 33.4% gross margin, which is respectable for a discretionary building products maker, but ROE of 1.3% shows how little of that profit reaches shareholders after a heavy balance sheet. The trailing P/E of 125 reflects depressed GAAP earnings rather than a cheap stock, and the score of 42 and absence from any major index mean the case rests on whether margins keep expanding as pool demand normalizes. It is worth a deeper look if you want exposure to a levered, cyclical recovery in leisure spending, and the first questions should be free cash flow conversion and net debt against trailing EBITDA.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Earnings declining despite revenue growth
    Revenue grew 14.4% YoY while earnings fell 16.5%, and the net margin is only 0.9%. Growth is not reaching the bottom line.
  • moderate
    Score deteriorated over 90 days
    The ACCE score fell 7 points from 47 to 40 over 90 days, with Momentum at 31 the weakest component.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 19, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 14.4% year over year, well ahead of its 6.2% five-year average pace, showing demand has picked up.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $26M, and the stock's free cash flow yield is 3.6%.
Why it could disappoint
  • The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 122.4x against a sector median forward P/E of 23.4x, and earnings missed by 26.7% last quarter.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where SWIM's valuation models land
Price
$6.65
Model fair value
$3.87
Model range
$2.68 to $4.92
Fair value $3.87
Price $6.65
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.

See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed43% buy · 7 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 0● Hold 2● Sell 1● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+8.7%
1 month
+4.9%
3 months
+20.9%
6 months
+10.6%
YTD
+4.7%
1 year
-13.9%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$6.12
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTFair value$3.87$4.01$6.12
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$6.20first publication$6.09
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.01$4.98$6.04
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.98$5.05$6.39
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$5.05$4.95$6.41
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.95$5.02$6.21
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$5.02$5.12$6.24
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$5.12$4.98$6.63
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.98$5.09$6.54

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

Get the full SWIM page, free

Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the full page.

Snapshot

Growth40Value42Quality47Momentum47Total44
Valuation
Trailing P/E
132.9x
Forward P/E
22.2x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.81x
EV / Revenue
1.8x
Book value/sh
$3.50
Enterprise value
$1.0B
Profitability
ROE
1.3%
FCF yield
3.51%
ROIC
1.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.77
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.66

Price

-16.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about SWIM

Answered from Latham Group Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 10.2x132.9xhigh 132.9x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low 1%1%high 18%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 4.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
SWIM Latham Group Inc. Common Stock$6.65$472% above132.9x1.3%4744
1952.T Shin Nippon Air Technologies Co., Ltd.¥2970.00¥449434% below10.2x17.8%5567
LIAB.ST Lindab International AB (publ)kr 131.50kr 15012% below14.8x9.6%5244
INWI.ST Inwido AB (publ)kr 190.90kr 15226% above18.9x11.2%5673
FMM-B.ST FM Mattsson AB (publ)kr 124.50kr 7859% above30.8x16.3%6871
1979.T Taikisha Ltd.¥3670.00--15.9x9.6%5254
SYSR.ST Systemair AB (publ)kr 85.20kr 7613% above22.3x12.9%6864

Sector report card

Where SWIM ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 6, 2026
    Latham Group, Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call Date
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 25, 2026
    Latham Named One of “America’s Greatest Companies” By Newsweek for Second Consecutive Year
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 18, 2026
    Latham Group Appoints Todd Antonelli as Chief Commercial Officer
5 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
38 filings
September 2026
Sep 10
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-09
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 21
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-20
View on SEC →
Aug 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-07
View on SEC →
35 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR