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SVC

Service Properties Trust Common Stock (SVC) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel · NASDAQ · United States
$6.15-1.13%
Market cap $806MNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 27% above our fair value
Price
$6.15
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$4.83
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a REIT (property company): Price to FFO, Dividend discount, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionService Properties Trust Common Stock (SVC)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$6.70
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $6.15 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
23
out of 100
Analysts
80% buy
5 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 21.4x
1-year return
-48.3%
Dividend yield
3.28%

Service Properties Trust Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Service Properties Trust owns a portfolio of hotels and net-leased service-oriented retail properties, with the Sonesta, Hilton and Marriott-branded hotels making up most of its footprint and a sizable share of its income coming from its TravelCenters of America truck-stop leases. The structural case rests on that lease income: long-term triple-net contracts give the trust contractual rent that does not depend on hotel occupancy, and the sector is still recovering from pandemic-era disruption. The more immediate question is revenue, which fell 16.4% over the trailing period, and an ROE of -56.3% that reflects a balance sheet still absorbing losses and heavy leverage. At 21.4 times forward earnings the stock is priced on a recovery that has yet to show up in reported revenue, so the case for a deeper look depends on whether hotel operating margins (14.6% at the operating line) can stabilise and whether the lease base holds. The 27/100 score says the quantitative profile is weak for now, which makes this a name for a closer look at the balance sheet and rent coverage rather than a conclusion in either direction.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • severe
    Negative equity and leverage
    Debt/Equity of 8.48 and ROE of -56.3% show a heavily indebted balance sheet with eroding equity, leaving little cushion if cash flow weakens.
  • high
    Earnings and revenue contraction
    Revenue fell 16.4% year over year and earnings fell 66.2%, while net margin is -25.4%, so the business is shrinking on both lines.
  • high
    Score collapse over 90 days
    The ACCE score dropped 18 points, from 45 to 27, over the last 90 days, driven mainly by weak quality and momentum readings.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, and their mean price target sits well above the current share price.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was $118M, and the free cash flow yield is 14.8%.
  • The dividend yield of 3.2% pays shareholders while the business works through its difficulties.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 16.4% year over year, a sharp break from a five-year average that was still growing.
  • Debt to equity of 8.48 leaves the balance sheet heavily leveraged, with little room for a downturn.
  • Net margin of -25.4% and return on equity of -56.3% show the company is currently losing money on its capital.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where SVC's valuation models land
Price
$6.15
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$4.83
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Price to FFO
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish80% buy · 5 covering analysts
● Strong buy 4● Buy 0● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+0.0%
1 month
-6.1%
3 months
-27.3%
6 months
-20.1%
YTD
-33.2%
1 year
-48.3%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$6.70first publication$7.15

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value37Quality30Momentum17Total23
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
21.4x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.05x
EV / Revenue
3.3x
Book value/sh
$6.23
Enterprise value
$5.4B
Profitability
ROE
-56.3%
FCF yield
14.62%
ROIC
-2.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
8.48
Dividend yield
3.28%
Beta
1.70

Price

-48.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about SVC

Answered from Service Properties Trust Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 175.4x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -56%-56%high 17%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%3.3%high 4.9%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
SVC Service Properties Trust Common Stock$6.15----56.3%3023
INN Summit Hotel Properties Inc. Common Stock$6.90$920% below--0.8%3855
CLDT Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) Common Shares of Beneficial Interest$14.03--175.4x1.6%5971
YATO.MC Atom Hoteles SOCIMI, S.A.€17.60€3143% below10.7x16.5%8154
RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust Common Shares of Beneficial Interest $0.01 par value$12.06$1112% above-1.3%4258
XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc. Common Stock$19.51$2624% below--0.6%3957
SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Common Shares$12.51$942% above59.6x2.8%5564

Sector report card

Where SVC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 15, 2026
    TKO Hotels Calls on Service Properties Trust to Engage on $2.0 Billion All Cash Offer to Acquire Hospitality Portfolio
  • Business Wire•Oct 13, 2026
    Service Properties Trust Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call Scheduled for Thursday, November 5th
  • Business Wire•Oct 9, 2026
    Service Properties Trust Confirms Receipt of Unsolicited Proposal for Hotel Portfolio From TKO Hotels
9 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 19
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 21
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-17
View on SEC →
Sep 21
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-17
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR