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RLJ

RLJ Lodging Trust Common Shares of Beneficial Interest $0.01 par value (RLJ) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel · NYSE · United States
$12.06-0.66%
Market cap $1.9BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 12% above our fair value
Price
$12.06
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$10.74
Model range
$6.45 to $15.02
Fair value $10.74
Price $12.06
2 models fit RLJ Lodging Trust Common Shares of Beneficial Interest $0.01 par value and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Gold81
Valued as a REIT (property company): Price to FFO, Dividend discount, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionRLJ Lodging Trust Common Shares of Beneficial Interest $0.01 par value (RLJ)
Fair value (2 models)
$10.74
ACCE price target
$11.50
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $10.63 since 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $12.06 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
12.3% above
-11.0% to fair value
ACCE score
58
out of 100
Analysts
17% buy
12 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 2000.0x
1-year return
+73.5%
Dividend yield
4.88%

RLJ Lodging Trust Common Shares of Beneficial Interest $0.01 par value in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

RLJ Lodging Trust owns and operates a portfolio of upscale and upper-upscale select-service and full-service hotels in the US, with the revenue base concentrated in urban and convention-driven markets. Its structural edge is the scale and quality of that owned real estate, which gives it pricing power in major gateway cities and the balance sheet to keep reinvesting in renovations. The near-term driver is top-line recovery: revenue growth of 5.6% is positive, though the 26.8% gross margin and 14.5% operating margin leave limited room for error if group and business travel soften. The stock looks interesting now mainly because the trailing P/E of 0.0 and forward P/E of 2000 are distorted by near-zero or depressed net earnings (ROE is just 1.3%), so valuation has to be judged on EBITDA and asset value, which needs a deeper look. At a 58/100 score and a $1.8B market cap with no index membership, this is a name to examine on cash flow and leverage, not one that screens cheaply on earnings.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Heavy short interest
    Short interest sits at 10.1% of shares. With the stock trading 12.3% above the model fair value of $10.74, shorts are betting on a fall.
  • moderate
    Leverage elevated for a REIT
    Debt/Equity of 1.07 and ROE of just 1.3% leave little cushion if hotel demand softens. Net margin of 2.0% is thin.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months came to $117M, and the stock offers a 6.6% free cash flow yield.
  • Revenue grew 5.6% year over year, and the company paid a 5.1% dividend yield at the current price.
  • The diluted share count fell 2.5% last fiscal year, and the latest quarter beat expected earnings by 18.2%.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on equity of 1.3% and a net margin of 2.0% leave very little cushion if business weakens.
  • The stock trades 12.3% above the model fair value of $10.74, and 4.9% above the ACCE price target of $11.50.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where RLJ's valuation models land
Price
$12.06
Model fair value
$10.74
Model range
$6.45 to $15.02
Fair value $10.74
Price $12.06
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Price to FFO
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish17% buy · 12 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 0● Hold 7● Sell 2● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+3.5%
1 month
+10.5%
3 months
-2.3%
6 months
+51.3%
YTD
+61.9%
1 year
+73.5%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$11.65
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.80$10.63$11.29
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$11.50first publication$11.21
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.63$4.38$11.20
6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.38$4.32$11.22
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.32$4.38$11.05
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.38$4.50$11.20
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.50$4.37$11.20
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.37$4.03$10.91
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.03$4.08$10.91

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth48Value46Quality42Momentum97Total58
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
2000.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.93x
EV / Revenue
2.8x
Book value/sh
$11.91
Enterprise value
$3.9B
Profitability
ROE
1.3%
FCF yield
6.31%
ROIC
0.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.07
Dividend yield
4.88%
Beta
1.14

Price

+73.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about RLJ

Answered from RLJ Lodging Trust Common Shares of Beneficial Interest $0.01 par value fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 59.6x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low -5%1%high 10%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.2%4.9%high 7.5%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust Common Shares of Beneficial Interest $0.01 par value$12.06$1112% above-1.3%4258
XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc. Common Stock$19.51$2624% below--0.6%3957
SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Common Shares$12.51$942% above59.6x2.8%5564
PEB Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Common Shares of Beneficial Interest$20.39----1.6%3957
DRH Diamondrock Hospitality Company Common Stock$13.76$1218% above19.1x9.9%6173
PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. Common Stock $16.35----4.9%4351
COVH.PA Covivio Hotels€20.00€2623% below9.3x9.3%8158

Sector report card

Where RLJ ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 15, 2026
    RLJ Lodging Trust Announces Dividends for Third Quarter of 2026
  • Business Wire•Sep 14, 2026
    RLJ Lodging Trust Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call Dates
  • Business Wire•Aug 6, 2026
    RLJ Lodging Trust Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
32 filings
August 2026
Aug 7
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
Aug 6
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-06
View on SEC →
May 2026
May 8
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-05-06
View on SEC →
29 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR