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STLA
ACCE-researched

Stellantis N.V. Common Shares (STLA) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers · NYSE · United States
$4.06-4.92%
Market cap $12.4BNext earnings 2026-10-28Updated Oct 22, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 42% below our fair value
Price
$4.06
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $6.96
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionStellantis N.V. Common Shares (STLA)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$4.60
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $4.06 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
37
out of 100
Analysts
38% buy
8 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 5.2x
1-year return
-62.3%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Stellantis N.V. Common Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Stellantis makes mass-market and premium vehicles across Jeep, Ram, Peugeot, Fiat, Alfa Romeo, Chrysler, Dodge and Opel, and sells them through a global dealer network, with a sizeable share of its profit historically coming from North America. Its brand portfolio is broad enough to spread model-cycle risk, but the data here gives little evidence that this breadth is converting into durable margins: gross margin is 6.6% and operating margin 2.2%, while return on equity is -28.7%. Revenue growth of 13.1% is the main positive in the numbers, and the near-term question is whether that top-line recovery can be carried down to operating profit as the company works through restructuring and product refresh. At a forward P/E of 3.7 the market is pricing very little earnings recovery, which makes the stock a valuation question as much as an operating one. The score of 35/100 and absence from major indices suggest the screen has already filtered it out, so a deeper look should focus on margin trajectory, cash generation and whether the low multiple reflects cyclical trough earnings or permanent impairment.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • severe
    Negative free cash flow
    FCF of -$3.3B signals the company is burning cash at scale. Unsustainable without asset sales or capital raises.
  • high
    Earnings collapse
    Earnings down 45.5% YoY while revenue grew 13.1%. Net margin -12.1% and ROE -28.7% indicate severe profitability deterioration.
  • high
    Valuation distress signals
    Negative P/E, EV/EBITDA of -107.7, and P/S of 0.1 reflect market pricing in distress. Fair value range $2.50-$7.50 is wide.
  • moderate
    Long-term revenue decline
    5-year revenue CAGR of -5.1% shows structural headwinds despite recent quarterly bounce of +14.0%.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue jumped 13.1% year over year, suggesting demand recovery and pricing power in key markets.
  • Share buybacks reduced diluted share count by 3.0%, concentrating earnings among remaining shareholders.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin of negative 12.1% and ROE of negative 28.7% show the core business is destroying shareholder value.
  • Free cash flow burn of EUR 3.3B over the last 12 months signals ongoing operational distress, not temporary restructuring.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 28, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where STLA's valuation models land
Price
$4.06
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $6.96
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish38% buy · 8 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 0● Hold 1● Sell 3● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-7.1%
1 month
-12.1%
3 months
-28.6%
6 months
-49.6%
YTD
-62.7%
1 year
-62.3%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$4.60first publication$4.60
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$5.97$6.07$4.40
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$6.07$6.23$4.66
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$6.23$6.41$4.55
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$6.41$7.77$4.73
7 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$7.77$8.52$5.67
31 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$8.52$8.17$6.11
28 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$8.17$8.26$5.68
25 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$8.26first publication$5.70

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth40Value68Quality22Momentum17Total37
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
5.2x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.20x
EV / Revenue
0.2x
Book value/sh
€21.77
Enterprise value
$38.0B
Profitability
ROE
-28.7%
FCF yield
-146.25%
ROIC
-18.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.86
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.03

Price

-62.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about STLA

Answered from Stellantis N.V. Common Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 22.1x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -29%-29%high 8%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 4.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
STLA Stellantis N.V. Common Shares$4.06----28.7%2237
7270.T Subaru¥2665.00--22.1x3.1%3942
2015.HK Li Auto Inc.HK$45.08HK$3626% above--6.6%3125
LI Li Auto Inc. American Depositary Shares$11.39$112% above--6.6%3127
7272.T Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd.¥1767.00--7.9x7.7%5682
HEROMOTOCO.NS Hero MotoCorp Limited₹5047.00--18.5x-7161
TMPV.NS Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited₹264.60----6743

Sector report card

Where STLA ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 13, 2026
    Stellantis Reports Q3 2026 Estimated Consolidated Shipments of 1.3 Million Units, Down 1% Year-Over-Year
  • PR Newswire•Oct 12, 2026
    Twelve Builds. One Bold Finale. 2027 Jeep® Wrangler Switchback Completes the Twelve 4 Twelve Series
  • PR Newswire•Oct 6, 2026
    Jeep® Brand Named the Official 4x4 of Moab, Reinforcing the Brand's Commitment to the Communities That Helped Shape Its Off-Road Legacy
18 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
27 filings of 40
October 2026
Oct 15
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
Oct 13
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-13
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 16
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-16
View on SEC →
24 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR