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SPSN.SW
ACCE-researched

Swiss Prime Site AG (SPSN.SW) fair value

Real Estate · Real Estate - Diversified · SIX · Switzerland
CHF 125.70+0.16%
Market cap CHF 10.1BNext earnings 2027-02-11Updated Oct 22, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 91% above our fair value
Price
CHF 125.70
Model fair valueConfidence: good
CHF 65.97
Model range
CHF 51.61 to CHF 97.70
Fair value CHF 65.97
Price CHF 126
3 models fit Swiss Prime Site AG and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionSwiss Prime Site AG (SPSN.SW)
Fair value (3 models)
CHF 65.97
ACCE price target
CHF 121
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CEST.
Rating published on 22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST.
Price used: CHF 126 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
90.6% above
-47.5% to fair value
ACCE score
46
out of 100
P/E
24.6x
forward 29.2x
1-year return
+8.6%
Dividend yield
2.79%

Swiss Prime Site AG in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Swiss Prime Site owns and manages a portfolio of commercial office, retail and mixed-use properties in Swiss cities, with Zurich and other major urban centres forming the core, and it develops and redevelops sites itself. Its edge is the scarcity of prime Swiss commercial real estate, where tight zoning and long permitting timelines keep new supply thin, supporting rents and occupancy in its best locations. The main near-term driver is rental income and portfolio revaluation as its developments complete and leases roll, though revenue growth is currently flat at -0.1%, so the case rests on asset quality rather than top-line expansion. It trades at a trailing P/E of 24.7 and a forward P/E of 29.2, a premium that only holds if margins stay high, which they do at a 76.9% operating margin, but a 5.9% ROE shows how little of that operating profit reaches shareholders once leverage and property values are accounted for. Worth a deeper look mainly to test whether the valuation premium is justified by lease durability and the revaluation outlook, given that the stock is priced for stability rather than growth.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Revenue shrinking over five years
    Revenue is down 0.1% year on year and has compounded at -6.9% over five years, so top-line growth has not supported the valuation.
  • high
    Price well above model fair value
    The stock trades 90.6% above the model fair value of CHF 65.97, leaving little margin for error if fundamentals stay flat.
  • moderate
    Leverage elevated for a property owner
    Debt to equity sits at 0.83, which is worth watching if rates or property valuations move against the company.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached CHF 301M, showing the business still generates real cash.
  • The dividend yield of 2.8% gives income investors a meaningful cash return while they wait.
  • Analysts' mean price target of CHF 129.67 sits 3.7% above the current share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • The share trades 90.6% above the model fair value of CHF 65.97, so most of the price rests on optimism.
  • Revenue growth was -0.1% last year and has averaged -6.9% a year over five years, so the top line is shrinking.
  • Return on invested capital of 2.4% sits far below a typical cost of capital, so new investment destroys value.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Feb 11, 2027
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where SPSN.SW's valuation models land
Price
CHF 125.70
Model fair value
CHF 65.97
Model range
CHF 51.61 to CHF 97.70
Fair value CHF 65.97
Price CHF 126
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

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  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+2.5%
1 month
+0.2%
3 months
-3.1%
6 months
-7.8%
YTD
+2.0%
1 year
+8.6%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CESTACCE price targetCHF 121first publicationCHF 125
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair valueCHF 65.97first publicationCHF 125
22 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publicationCHF 125

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in CHF. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth27Value35Quality76Momentum47Total46
Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.6x
Forward P/E
29.2x
PEG
1.68
P/B
1.44x
EV / Revenue
29.5x
Book value/sh
CHF 87.17
Enterprise value
CHF 16.1B
Profitability
ROE
5.9%
FCF yield
2.98%
ROIC
2.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.83
Dividend yield
2.79%
Beta
0.47

Price

+9.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about SPSN.SW

Answered from Swiss Prime Site AG fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 9.3x24.6xhigh 52.6x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low 6%6%high 21%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%2.8%high 7.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
SPSN.SW Swiss Prime Site AGCHF 125.70CHF 6691% above24.6x5.9%7646
3003.T Hulic Co., Ltd.¥1773.50--11.1x13.1%6565
PHOENIXLTD.NS The Phoenix Mills Limited₹1872.30--52.2x-9560
1878.T Daito Trust Construction Co.,Ltd.¥3253.00--10.8x20.7%6252
PRESTIGE.NS Prestige Estates Projects Limited₹1392.50--52.6x7.8%6245
NRP.AS NEPI Rockcastle N.V.€7.57€916% below10.4x10.3%8165
BALD-B.ST Fastighets AB Balder (publ)kr 49.02kr 6626% below9.3x7.0%7148

Sector report card

Where SPSN.SW ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…