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SHG
ACCE-researched

Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd American Depositary Shares (SHG) fair value

Financial Services · Banks - Regional · NYSE · United States
$66.30-2.37%
Market cap $32.0BNext earnings 2026-11-13Updated Oct 24, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 17% below our fair value
Price
$66.30
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$79.59
Model range
$53.79 to $119
Fair value $79.59
Price $66.30
3 models fit Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd American Depositary Shares and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Discount(i)Silver61
Valued as a bank: Residual income, P/E comparison, Dividend discount, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionShinhan Financial Group Co Ltd American Depositary Shares (SHG)
Fair value (3 models)
$79.59
ACCE price target
$71.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $42.83 since 2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST; previously $88.00 since 21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CEST.
Price used: $66.30 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount, Graham number, P/E comparison, and Residual income.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
16.7% below
+20.0% to fair value
ACCE score
70
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
1 covering
P/E
8.8x
forward 6.5x
1-year return
+28.7%
Dividend yield
3.01%

Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd American Depositary Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Shinhan Financial Group is a South Korean bank holding company whose American Depositary Shares trade in New York, with banking, credit card, securities and insurance arms under one roof. The structural argument is scale and cheapness: at a 35.4 billion dollar market cap, a 10.0 trailing P/E and a 7.4 forward P/E, the market is pricing the group as a low-growth domestic lender despite 5.7% revenue growth and a 44.8% operating margin. The return on equity of 8.9% is the weak point and the reason the discount may persist, so the question for a deeper look is whether that ROE can rise toward the level its earnings growth implies. The name scores 75 on our model and sits in no major index, which limits passive demand and may be part of why the multiple is this low. Worth a closer look for the earnings trajectory and capital return, not for a re-rating story.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    ROE below cost of capital
    ROE of 8.9% is weak for a financial services company and likely below Shinhan's cost of equity, suggesting value destruction at current capital levels.
  • moderate
    ACCE score deterioration
    Score fell 4 points in 90 days (75 to 71). Quality subscore of 55 is notably weak, dragging overall confidence despite strong valuation and margins.
  • moderate
    High leverage for bank
    Debt/Equity of 2.48 is elevated even for a regional bank, limiting financial flexibility in stress scenarios or rising rate environments.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-09 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Shinhan trades at just 7.4x forward earnings with a 19.1% free cash flow yield, suggesting deep undervaluation.
  • Shinhan generates a 26.2% net margin while returning cash to shareholders through 1.9% annual share buybacks and a 2.7% dividend.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on equity of 8.9% and return on invested capital of 2.2% are well below cost of capital, destroying shareholder value.
  • A 2.48x debt to equity ratio leaves the bank vulnerable to credit losses if Korean household or small business lending deteriorates.
  • As a Korean ADR, currency depreciation of the won directly erodes dollar returns regardless of local earnings performance.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 13, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where SHG's valuation models land
Price
$66.30
Model fair value
$79.59
Model range
$53.79 to $119
Fair value $79.59
Price $66.30
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
Graham number
P/E comparison
Residual income
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 1 covering analyst
● Strong buy 1● Buy 0● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-5.7%
1 month
-16.9%
3 months
-7.3%
6 months
-0.1%
YTD
+23.6%
1 year
+28.7%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $SHG ACCE Score Drops 21 Points to 79 on Composite Weakness
    Shinhan Financial Group's ACCE composite score fell from 100 to 79, a significant 21-point decline that signals potential headwinds across key metrics.
    2026-05-06

Held by ETFs

ETFs we cover that hold Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd American Depositary Shares among their largest holdings, by weight.

  • EWY · iShares MSCI South Korea ETF1.7% of the fund
Holdings as of 2026-10-24

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$66.30
18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price target$71.00$88.00$70.31
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$79.69$42.83$71.33
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$42.83$43.39$77.67
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$43.39$43.87$80.95
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$88.00first publication$80.14
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$43.87$44.68$80.14
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$44.68$45.22$81.71
8 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$45.22$44.46$82.28
30 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$44.46$46.42$79.15

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth56Value83Quality71Momentum68Total70
Valuation
Trailing P/E
8.8x
Forward P/E
6.5x
PEG
0.40
P/B
0.86x
EV / Revenue
9.9x
Book value/sh
KRW 96.40
Enterprise value
$-68,104,600,158,208
Profitability
ROE
8.9%
FCF yield
21.47%
ROIC
2.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
2.90
Dividend yield
3.01%
Beta
0.67

Price

+26.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about SHG

Answered from Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd American Depositary Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 8.8x8.8xhigh 18.8x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low 5%9%high 19%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.1%3.0%high 5.9%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
SHG Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd American Depositary Shares$66.30$8017% below8.8x8.9%7170
8308.T Resona Holdings, Inc.¥2141.50--18.8x9.2%6170
8309.T Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc.¥1600.00--12.1x10.8%6183
CIBEST.CL Grupo Cibest ordinaryCOP 89880.00--11.3x19.2%7086
AXISBANK.NS Axis Bank₹1217.50₹104217% above12.7x13.9%6867
6178.T Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.¥2342.50--16.5x5.1%4068
PFCIBEST.CL Grupo Cibest preferredCOP 76800.00--9.7x19.2%7089

Sector report card

Where SHG ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
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40 filings
October 2026
Oct 21
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-21
View on SEC →
Oct 21
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-21
View on SEC →
Oct 20
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-20
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR